ProTips
VSiN ShowSportShow DateVSiN Pro Tip
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-08-30If there is a wide-open futures market (e.g. ROY) don't be afraid to build a portfolio
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-08-30SB winners are 19-3 SU, 14-6-2 ATS in week 1 going back to 2000
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-08-30NFL Week 1 home underdogs cover 56.67% ATS (2017-21, 30 games)
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-08-30Don't undervalue O-line injuries for NFL season win totals
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-08-30Take the Saints to win the NFC South +325
A Numbers GameNFL2022-08-30Jimmy Garoppolo signing provides bettors with security to go out and bet 49ers futures
A Numbers GameNFL2022-08-30Good value on betting Kirk Cousins to win MVP at 50-1
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-08-30Patriots have a tough time in Miami (2-8 ATS last 10 in MIA)
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-08-3049ers offense is more open (playcalling) with Trey Lance as QB vs Jimmy Garoppolo
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-08-30Consider the season-long value on San Francisco: 49ers now have the best backup QB situation in the NFL
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-08-30Ben Leber: more concerned with Tampa Bay's O-line than Tom Brady missing the last couple weeks
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-08-30Storylines matter when it comes to Comeback Player of the Year
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-08-30Don't overreact to known names getting cut from NFL rosters. There's a reason why and they are likely not affecting the betting the odds
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-08-31Mike Palm: Avoid road teams in Survivor
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-08-31You can wait and see what happens Week 1 before betting win totals -- you may be able to get a better price then
A Numbers GameNFL2022-08-31Historically, Super Bowl winners usually have QBs that are on rookie deals or have HOF potential. Keep that in mind when making a Super Bowl bet
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-01NFL Week 1 home divisional underdogs are 63% ATS (last 20 years)
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-01Beware of trends heading into Week 1 of the NFL season. Good chance they could be dated and therefore useless if team has had a lot of turnover
The Lombardi LineNFL 2022-09-01In survivor contests, stay away from road teams and division matchups in Week 1
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-01Adam Burke: Aim to cross 3 and 7 in any NFL teaser
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-01Dean Blandino says there will be an emphasis on illegal contact. It could lead to more overs early in the season
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-02With the Steelers not officially naming a starting QB yet you can still find some good value with the other players in the Offensive Rookie of the Year market
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-02Think of handicapping like creating a game plan similar to how coaches prepare for a game. It's important to focus on particular games instead handicapping every game on the board
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-02Adam Chernoff: If Gabriel Davis' Rec. Yd total in Week 1 is Under 70, the number is too low
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-02For the First game of the Year in the NFL, wait until Thursday, if you see the Rams get to +3 take the Rams.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-02Taking the Eagles +185 to Win the NFC East due to their Roster and Looking at their schedule they are set up best to capitalize
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-03If you are thinking of teasing, you should be more open to teasing the Home team and when you can tease though the key numbers of 3 and 7
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-03This might be the best week to tease games due to so many Road Favorites, while your still feeling out each of the teams in the NFL.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-09-03Heading into the First week of the Circa Survivor Contest, Make sure to use the Thursday game and if you get bounced out you have the opportunity to rebuy and get back in the contest.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-03Don't get carried away betting road favorites in week 1 of the NFL. Look to bet more home dogs.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-03Try to forecast where you think the money will be going in a matchup and take that team.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-03Watch Circa's Friday Football Invitational because they will have 16 well known handicappers competing against eachother. You will get amazing insight on betting lines.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-04Weather is a bigger factor than home-field advantage
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-04Try to understand when handicapping the Football Contests and handicapping the games are different and your bet on the game straight up doesn't always have to line up with how you bet the Contest.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-04When betting the early in the season you have to look for continuity with teams, it usually bodes well for teams that have been in the same system than teams in their first season together.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-04When looking at Week 1 make sure to look at Super Bowl losers, they are 8-9 SU and 4-13 ATS in Week 1. 2-9 when facing a team in week 1 they played in previous season.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-04When picking for the a Football Contest, take a day off to re-evaluate and get ready for the next week. Create a routine for yourself and wait as long as you can before you make your selection.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04Do not overvalue home-field advantage in the NFL, it's not worth nearly as much as college football
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04Don't underestimate the impact of preseason narrative on NFL futures
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04Teams with poor public perception present buy low opportunities
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04You can still find value throughout the season on the adjusted futures market
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04Be patient if you don't get the line you were looking for. If you read the market and wait closer to kickoff, you can get a better line.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04For betting NFL player props on a week-to-week basis, you want to shop around and get involved ealier than later
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-04If you have conviction on a team and they have a tough start to the season or an injury, wait and get involved in the adjusted win total market
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-05Alt win totals can have great value in NFL betting, but just like any other bet, make sure to shop around for the best odds and compare them to regular win totals
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-05NFL Survivor Contest: Don't be afraid of playing division games
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-05When handicapping games, don't forget to account for each team's special teams unit
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-05Michael Lombardi: Take the surest bet for Survivor, don't hold them for later in the season
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-05Teams that win between 4-6 games covered nearly 60% of games the following season. That is something to look at going into week 1 with so many road favorites.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-06Just because you placed a futures bet on a team does not mean you have to bet them week to week
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-06Colts are 1-12-1 ATS in Week 1 last 14 seasons
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-06(2011-2021) NFL home dogs week 1 covered 54.69% ATS
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-06If you're looking to play Kenny Pickett in the Offensive Rookie of the Year race, hold off. There is no reason to bet him at the current numbers since his odds will get longer each week he doesn't start. Wait to pounce when he gets named the starter
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-06Disciplined teams with continuity, catching points at home are valuable and worth adding to your teaser
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-06If you want to use the Vikings in Week 1 NFL teasers, you need to bet soon. They are trending towards becoming the favorites vs Green Bay
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-06Peter King has picked the last three Super Bowl winners correctly and likes Buffalo more than any team he can remember, if you're considering betting futures on them
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-06Look for value on teams who are playing against popular preseason darlings. Example: everybody loves the Eagles, so look towards the Lions
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-07For NFL Coach of the Year, target coaches of teams you think will exceed 10 wins
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-07Despite the lack of star wide receivers, be careful on betting over on Aaron Rodgers interception prop. He hasn't had more than 8 INTs since 2015
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-07Just because football is starting up, it doesn't mean you have to bet spreads. If you're more comfortable with money-line betting, stick with it
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-07If you're betting an underdog on the spread, take some of the money and put it on the moneyline as well
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-07Week 1 NFL Underdogs went 12-4 last season
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-07Be wary of road favorites in the NFL
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-07Do not try to tease all the road favorites in the NFL Week 1
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-07Don't overreact to anything that happens in Week 1 in the NFL. There will be upsets. Don't immediately move off from your preseason opinions of teams
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-07In Week 1, two offensive-minded head coaches facing each other tend to have the point total go over, and two defensive-minded head coaches tend to have their games go under the point total
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-07Just because a team is leading on the scoreboard does not mean they're in control of the game, which adds value to the underdog on the in-game line
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-07Sean McVay is 9-6 ATS as an underdog. LAR are +2 Thursday
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-07Tua Tagovailoa was 82% inside 5 YD line: 9/11 with 8 TDs. T. Hill is interesting TD leader play (16/1)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08Week 1 NFL Division Game Underdogs 28-9-1 ATS Since 2015
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08Take the full time allowed before submitting your contest entries
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-08Do not bet outside your means in first TD scored props
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-08Do not be afraid to wait and see NFL teams before betting on them after a long offseason
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-08Don't be reluctant to make mult-day teaser bets if you like a Monday night or Thursday Game
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-08Look for overs in the first couple weeks of the season. The NFL is expected to call illegal contact fouls more this season
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-08When betting Chargers games, keep in mind Brandon Staley's aggressiveness in 4th-and-short situations
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-08Not all home fields are created equal. Home field advantage shouldn't always equate to 3 points
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-08Not all first head coaches are created the same, handicap accordingly
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-08Only three preseason favorites have won the Super Bowl since 2000, and Buffalo is shortest favorite since the 2007 Patriots. There is usually value in this market
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-08Sean McVay has never lost a season opener. LAR is +2.5 vs BUF tonight
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-08Wait to bet on win totals and make/miss the playoffs markets for teams with injury concerns
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-08Target a select few bad teams in survivor and map out the season that way
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-08When betting on NFL awards, keep in mind this is decided by human voters. Players in bigger markets and ones that are on national TV often could sway voters
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-08If you are interested in betting Bills to win the AFC East but the number isn't good enough for you right now, you'll likely be able to get something better if they lose to the Rams
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-08On a primetime game, the second half over could be hit hard by chasers, be aware of that when finding your number
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-08Know the juice at each book when placing teasers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08If you expect an NFL team to have a sluggish start to the season, dont't be afraid to hold off and look for better value in the futures markets after weeks 2 or 3 of the regular season.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-09Of all the great performances last night, Von Miller made more progress in the NFL Defensive Player of the Year market than anyone else in any other market
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-09Todd Wright: Despite all the love for Nyheim Hines, don't expect Jonathan Taylor's touches to go down this season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-09Be sure to consider heat and humidity when handicapping NFL Week 1 games
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-09Divisional home underdogs are 16-6-1 SU, 19-4 ATS in Week 1. Be careful backing the road favorites this week
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-09Under Frank Reich, Indianapolis is 0-4 SU and 0-3-1 ATS in Week 1. The Colts are also 1-12-1 ATS in their last 14 openers, so it's tough to bet them -7 at Houston
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-09Aaron Rodgers is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS vs NFC North in Weeks 1 and 2. There's hype on the Vikings, but this has always been Rodgers' division
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-09Don't come off your prior thoughts if a player or team has a bad performance in Week 1
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-09Contest picks don't have to line up with your actual bets for the week
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-09If you like the Cowboys to win the NFC East, you can now find the best odds on them you likely have seen all offseason
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-09Make sure to study the injury report before making your NFL picks
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-09Derek Stevens mentioned if you want to beat the crowds to signing up for the Circa Millions or Survivor is to signup before 10am Saturday.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-09In the early weeks of the College and Pro Season, manage your bankroll carefully. You don't want to run out of your bankroll halfway into the season. Just because a game is on TV doesn't mean you have to fire away on it at a bad number
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-09Don't fall for the trap of betting NFL road divisional favorites in Week 1
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-10Take a look at home underdogs of 7 points, they typically cover 60% of the time
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-10Don't be a prisoner of the moment after week 1 going into week 2. Many teams like the Bills for example will make you pay a premium on them in week 2
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-09-10When making your Contest Picks, There are three catagories, a team that everybody is on A team that nobody is on and a team that you are opposite of everyone on and that one is the most advantages, but also the most dangerous to pick.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-11Fade new coaches making their debut, they struggle in week 1 going 3-19-1 straight up in the last 4 years.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-11Make sure when you're checking the weather, check for humidity. It should factor into your handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-11NFL Week 1 Monday Night Home Underdogs with a total 41.5 or higher are 12-5 ATS (71.5%)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-11NFL teams that lose as an AWAY favorite in Week 1 are 65.4% ATS in Week 2 since 2010.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-11When betting Sunday Night Football, most people want to bet the over. You should look at the under most times when betting Sunday Night Football.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-11For recievers like Cooper Kupp, Justin Jefferson and Davante Adams take a look at the prop market. Being true No. 1 recievers, they will certianly get the most tagets in the the game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-11When betting the second half of games, try to trust the opening total number and bet accordingly.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11Consider live betting the UNDER if teams get off to a hot start in a game with a low pregame total.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11Teams behind on the scoreboard but are showing urgency on offense have value on the in-game line
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11Regardless of the matchup, large divisional favorites are never a lock in survivor contests
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11If both offenses have quality drives but the drives are stalling early, it can lead to low in-game totals and an opportunity to buy over on a low total
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11If you're confident in a side but want a shorter line, it's ok to wait and let the game get close to buy the line you want
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-11It's important to trust your own process, and not overreact to a losing bet
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-12If you're betting opening lines, make sure you're confident you're jumping in on a side that's going to move against you. Otherwise, no rush, wait till later in the week
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-12Only three defensive players matter to the point spread: T.J. Watt, Aaron Donald, Micah Parsons
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-12The Week 1 box score can be deceiving. Players and coaches will learn and rebound in Week 2
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-12Whether they admit it or not, players are aware of the point spread and they use it as motivation
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-12Jump on numbers you like early and monitor the movement. You could have hit both sides of Browns-Panthers
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-12Adjust Survivor plans based on injuries, news and how teams look. You can't save Dallas for Thanksgiving now
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-12If you don't mind laying -140, this is the shortest the Eagles will be to win the NFC East based on upcoming schedules
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-12Mike Golic Jr.: Throw out performances where extreme weather played a factor, like the 49ers-Bears this week
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-12Lines are coming out earlier and earlier, be ready to make bets ASAP
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-12With teams with quarterback injury issues and statuses up in the air, wait until you have solid information to go off of before making a bet
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-12Pay attention to teams that had new coaches/coordinators in week 1, and apply the knowledge for week 2
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-12Don't focus too much on week 1 when making week 2 bets
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-12Maximize NFL teaser value by going through as many key numbers as possible (3, 6, 7, 10)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-12Since Week 1 of 2021, NFL Unders are 156-129-3 (54.7%)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL 2022-09-12The Denver Broncos are 14-4-4 ATS in home openers and 18-4 SU
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-12Look at WR-CB matchups, along with injuries when betting NFL totals and player props
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-12Early go-ahead touchdowns by an underdog allow a buy-low spot on the pre-game favorite
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-13When looking at teasers, take the total into account. Better to tease with lower totals
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-13NFL Week 1 underdogs that didn't cover are 2-12 ATS when favored in Week 2 since 2015. (Applies to Raiders in Week 2)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-13Geno Smith is 9-0 ATS in his last 9 starts
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-13Avoid recency bias when wagering on Week 2 of the NFL
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-13Question the veracity of any win probability models you see, especially when it comes to the NFL
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-13For betting NFL teasers, know your expected value and have a strategy. Don't tease through zero
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-13For teams that struggled in Week 1, don't automatically fade them. It's a case-by-case situation and you should give yourself a few weeks to evaluate
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-13Denver struggled vs TEs on MNF and have Travis Kelce and Darren Waller in division. Store that away for props when they face off
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-13Take notes on how coaches (like Nathaniel Hackett on MNF) handle in-game strategy so you know who you want to back in live betting
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-13Road Teams are on 13-4-1 ATS run in LAC-KC rivalry, and the Chargers are getting 3.5 points
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-13Learn the tendencies of head coaches when considering a live bet
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-13Reminder for NFL Week 1 next season: It's always smart to at least sprinkle the money line on underdogs. We saw many big favorites go down outright in Week 1
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-13Teasers and parlays can be profitable, but if you love a team in a good spot, just take that dog on the ML or lay the points with that favorite
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-14Pay attention to injury reports early in the week
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-14Survivor strategy: Make sure you avoid teams playing on Thanksgiving and Christmas
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-14In-season win totals are a relatively new betting option across the country, but make sure to check in on them throughout the season because you can often find great value
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-14When betting live drive props, know coaches' tendencies
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14NFL underdogs win outright 37% of the time on the moneyline since since 2021
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14Thursday Night Football Week 2 NFL Underdogs are 7-0 ATS
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14Mike Tomlin is 14-3-1 ATS as a home underdog
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-14First down production in the fourth quarter can be an indication of a team's ability to control the game or come back late in the game
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-14You can't ignore handicapping the kicking matchup and how much of the betting outcome hinges on their results
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-14Josh Appelbaum: Prime-time underdogs are 61-44 ATS (58%) since 2020. The Chargers are up to +4.5 on TNF
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-15Patrick Mahomes is now 10-8 (.556) in his career when he trails by 10+ after the first quarter. Everyone else is 147-832 (.150) in such situations since 2018.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-15After quarterbacks, WR and CB injuries are the biggest factor in point totals
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-15Make sure to keep an eye on in-season win totals throughout the season. They can provide great value to bettors in a market that isn't as heavily bet into as the preseason win totals
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-15The top wide receivers delivered in Week 1. The prop market has not caught up to the production of most wide receivers
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-15Because it's streaming and there will be a delay, be careful live betting Thursday Night Football tonight
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-15Be careful with live betting on tonight's Thursday Night Football game. Now on a streaming service, the coverage could be lagging behind the actual game
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-15Wong Teasers are a profitable strategy and you should learn about them, but they are not the only way to play teasers. Remember, it's your money, bet it the way you want
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-15If you can act quickly, you can potentially get a great line if you bet during a reviewed play
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-15Aaron Rodgers is 17-12 at home (58.6%) vs NFC North
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-16When betting the Chargers this season, keep an eye on Brandon Staley. He might not be the aggressive coach from a year ago, often going for it on fourth down
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-16The 49ers lost in Chicago last week, yet the updated win total did not adjust enough. Maybe look to bet under now or next week IF they beat the Seahawks
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-16The sportsbooks know when to set a higher total with two good quarterbacks. If a number seems too high, it likely is.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-16Pro bettors bet numbers, not emotions. Try not to get emotional when placing a wager
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-16Teams that lost by double digits in Week 1 have hit at 63.1% ATS in Week 2 over the last 10 yrs: NYJ, NE, LAR, DAL, ARI, GB
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-16Packers have won 11 straight and are 11-0 ATS following a loss in that time. They're -9.5 vs Chicago
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-16Matt Rhule is 15/4 to be 1st coach fired and CAR faces NO, ARI, SF, LAR & TB after NYG this week
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-09-17Don't blindly look at the National splits on NFL games as it differs depdending on region that is betting that game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-17When looking at an injury report if a player is a full participant and listed as questionable you should bet on the fact that he is going to play.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-17When Teasing games in the NFL, always try to tease through the key numbers, but only if it betters the position.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-09-17When betting big numbers don't be afraid to lay big numbers if that is the correct side.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-18Multiple Odds: importance of being able to bet a different book. Finding the best number over the season will be more profitable.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-18NFL Unders are on fire so far this season! 21-9 (70%)
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-18Be careful when betting road favorites this early in the season they have struggled.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-18When betting 2nd half totals, trust the original total on the game and bet accordingly.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-18Try to stay away from double digit favorites early in the season until the teams can truly reveal who they are.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-18Look for reasons behind the numbers. Sometimes a bad gameplan can lead to bad statistics.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-18Try to fade a team who isn't used to being up early in game
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-09-18Be Aware of massive live movement following an inury. Its mostly an overreation.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-19Don't be surprised to see these whacky early weeks in the NFL continue in future years and be careful with your betting. The switch to three preseason games is clearly affecting teams
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-19Make sure to monitor practice reports for banged-up QBs this week. For example, the Chargers-Jaguars line will swing wildly based on Justin Herbert news
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-19If you wait until 10 minutes before kickoff, you're getting the worst of the number. That's not a profitable strategy over time
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-19Coaches can lose credibility in the locker room causing players to have less motivation. Denver Broncos backers, beware
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-19Jimmy Garoppolo's return changes the 49ers' futures market. The odds will only get shorter from here on out
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-19Saquon Barkley gashed the Titans for 164 Rush Yards in Week 1. Bills rushing props are interesting tonight
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-19A reminder that you can stretch teasers and parlays into the next week as well. For example, teasing Vikings up to 8.5 tonight combined with something next weekend
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-19Bills aren't taking their foot off the pedal this season until things get well out of hand, bet in-game accordingly
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-19Since 2010, teams that start 0-2 straight up are 55-40-1 ATS in Week 3
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-19Since start of 2020, NY Giants games have gone UNDER the total 76% of the time. (8-25-2)
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-19Look at fullbacks and backup TEs for first TD props in the NFL
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-20If you like the Eagles, now is the time to jump in on futures markets. Their schedule does not get tough anytime soon
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-20If you have conviction on a side and the line is moving that way, don't wait for the line to move too far and end up chasing a bad line
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-20You should consider the tempo of the game and how much pace of play will have an impact on the game total
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-20The NFL is a week-to-week league. Don't overreact to teams that looked great or awful in Week 2 this coming week
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-20Adam Chernoff: Packers are still underpriced for how good this team could be. They're +2.5 at Bucs
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-20Look to bet quarterbacks in the MVP market and non-quarterbacks for Offensive Player of the Year
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-2191% of bets are on BAL -3 at NE but the line has not moved at all
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-21Kyler Murray is 17-8 ATS as an Underdog and ARI is +3.5 at home vs LAR this week
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-21Make sure to check schedules when looking at betting division winners. You might be able to find a better spot to make the bet in a week or two
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-21Continuity matters in the NFL. Especially when it comes to quarterbacks and their offenses. Don't be surprised to see QBs struggle in new offenses
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-21Early in the season, focus on turnover variance and the impact it's having on a team's success/failures
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-21Don't wait to bet a future on a team you like and they're going into the weekend as a heavy favorite. If they win as they're expected to, the value could be gone after the odds are updated
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-21Mike Tomlin as an Underdog is 46-23 ATS, 20-6 as a Divisional Underdog. PIT is +4.5 vs CLE
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-22Don't chase season win totals. Be OK with your preseason opinions changing throughout the season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-22Rushing TD's per team per game are at the lowest rate since 1937. Keep this in mind when examining the RB prop market
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-22Scoring is down in the NFL a touchdown per game since 2020. Through two weeks Unders are cashing at 22-10 and 6-1 in primetime
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-22CLE has rushed for an NFL best 10+ yds on 17.5% of their carries since 2021. PIT is 3rd worst in allowed. Chubb has cleared tonight's longest rush prop (19.5) in both games this year
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-22Bet against perception when stats back you up. Kevin Stefanski is regarded as a good coach but is 1-11 ATS in division
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-22NEVER cross the moneyline (0) in teasers. 15 ties since 1990 (8,240 games). That's .18% of games
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-22Look for ways to take advantage of weather conditions with your betting. i.e. high winds in Cleveland tonight could affect passing and kicking games
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-22Keep in mind how many games have been played on the road early in the NFL season. A team's performance on the road early in the season may distort your perception.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-23Expect the Broncos' luck to turn around. They have some of the most trips into the red zone in the NFL and just haven't come away with TDs
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-23No reason to force a bet pregame, especially when dealing with major injury questions like the Chargers are with Herbert. Wait for the game to start, and see how he looks before betting
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-23Sportsbooks are looking more and more at in-game adjustments. Bettors need to handicap the coordinators as well; certain coordinators are better at adjusting than others.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-23We saw a D/ST TD last night. There is usually a 60-70 cent difference on that prop. Always shop around.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-23Don't force teasers. Check the payout of ML parlays before teasing favorites down.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-23Bears have allowed 128 rush ypg to RB and are ranked 29th in run defense. D. Pierce props are in play
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-23Don't overreact to line movement before you get confirmation on an injury
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-23Just because a kicker is injured, don't always assume that means fewer points will be scored. I.e. Chiefs this week with Butker out. Mahomes going for it on 4th is not necessarily better
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-24When handicapping NFL games, try to get to Week 4 before you start relying on data and trends
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-09-24When your looking to tease games in the NFL, shop around to look for the right number to tease up or down to through key numbers
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-09-24Try to guess what the concensus picks will be before they come out and try stratagize your picks accordingly.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-09-24If you think a key player won't play; bet the line for the opposing team. You can always middle your bet
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-26Don't gamble on a quarterback's injury status. If you're unsure, stay off the game, or wait to bet in-game
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-26Chris Andrews: If you're seeing a game settle in at 2.5 or 3.5, the dog at +2.5 and the fav at -3.5 is usually the side the sharps are looking at
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-26In the 47 NFL games played so far this season, 18 have been decided by 3 points or fewer. Key numbers are crucial when betting pro football
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-26Consider betting against teams coming off miracle wins the week before. Cardinals, Jets and Appalachian State all lost this weekend
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-26Prime-time NFL games are on an 8-1 run and NYG has gone under to a 27-5-1 clip. Under 39.5 is interesting with Cooper Rush-Daniel Jones matchup
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-26From a player prop perspective, be cautious on betting overs on guys who aren't on the field a lot (i.e slot WRs)
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-26Get ahead of any injury news that can impact the prop market that you are interested in betting
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-26Don't underestimate the importance of a reliable kicker. It can completely affect play calling and therefore affect the value of the points you're catching or laying
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-26Not all NFL records are created equally. Look at the context of the early records of NFL teams, i.e. the Raiders are 0-3, but not necessarily the worst team in the NFL.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-26Look at betting splits, if there is 20% more handle than tickets on a particular side, that is a strong indicator that side is where the sharp money is going
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-27Scoring is down in the NFL a TD per game since 2020. Through two weeks, unders are cashing at 22-10 (6-1 in primetime)
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-27It may be a good time to buy low on teams that have the talent, but haven't executed in the first three weeks
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-27Don't hold teams in Survivor. There have been too many injuries to bank on the future
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-27When it comes to betting in the NFL, don't run to bet a dead number like 5. Wait to see where it moves. Games will rarely land on 5.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-28You can't start your NFL handicapping on Sundays. You have to start looking at lines days in advance
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-28When watching games on Sunday, make notes of game situations or looming injuries that you can take advantage of when the opening lines come out. Example: Dolphins defense playing so many plays, or Michael Thomas and Jarvis Landry leaving for the Saints
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-28Last year West Coast teams were 15-8 ATS when traveling to the Eastern time zone. Don't be afraid of taking those teams
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-28The Bengals have an edge vs the Dolphins this week coming in off a short week, the Dolphins not being able to practice due to weather, and Mike McDaniel making his Thursday Night debut
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-28Consider ties to previous regimes when handicapping teams that are unfamiliar, but have coaching connections
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-09-28If you can quantify the penalties a team commits, it is one of the best examples of team maturaty and discipline
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-29Look at situation regarding scheduling, teams on a short week after playing a tight game on Sunday may not have endurance and fade in the second half.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-29Recognize the differences between your theories and reality. With so much parity in the NFL, you have to be willing to change when the two don't match
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-29Pay attention to stats and trends that are completely lopsided. For example, Matt Rhule and the Panthers are 1-25 straight up when allowing their opponent to score 17 or more points
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-29Be aware of Miami's backloaded schedule when betting either side of their 11.5 win total. In December: at SF, at LAC, at BUF, vs GB
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-29Don't just look at player stats of recent games and bet an over/under based on those numbers. You need to know where the opposing team ranks in certain categories
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-29If an NFL game has a spread of -1/-1.5 just bet the team on the ML so you don't have to worry about a missed XP or something crazy. The extra value isn't worth it
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-29Observe the adjusted win total market each week for middling opportunities. For example, the Eagles opened the year at 8.5 wins and now there's a four-game difference on the market at 12.5 wins only three weeks into the season
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-29Handicap the backup quarterbacks heading into matchups where the starter is listed on the injury report. Have an idea of what each QB is worth to the spread because each situation is different and the betting market could overreact to the roster move
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-09-29Bad offensive line play will always lean towards the under. One of the reasons that so many games have gone under this season is due to O-line play
A Numbers GameNFL2022-09-30For playing survivor pools, you have to be willing to take a risk and play the teams you know that most of the pool aren't willing to play. For example, the Packers will most likely be a popular play. Play to win, not just to survive
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-30Track how teams do in quarters and halves. WAS allows 16.3 ppg in the 1st half and only scores 4.7 ppg. DAL is -2 1H
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-30You are not betting teams, you are betting numbers. This why the best handicappers will end up backing bad teams
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-09-30It's always good to back long standing trends. Tom Brady is 13-3 SU/15-1 ATS as an underdog after a loss (10-0 ATS last 20 years)
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-09-30Be sure to adjust your handicap for a team's likely game plan if they change QBs i.e Andy Dalton starting for the Saints compared to Jameis Winston
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-09-30Be careful before getting married to any particular betting trends. You have to consider where each team is currently at with their roster structure, injuries, and coaching turnover
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-09-30With NFL injury reports growing, make sure you check for the latest updates before the game starts, there are many star players designated as questionable
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-01When you back teams on the raod you want a good running team, when you back teams at home you want a good passing team. With teams on the road usually the underdog, you want a team that can control time of possession like the Tennessee Titans.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-01Understand teams tendencies throughout the year. For example try not to bet 1st half sides for the Cardinals as they are slow starters.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-10-01Understand that sometimes you have to burn a team you're holding for the Holiday weeks when they are the clear cut better side.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-10-01Don't believe the myth that west coast teams don't play well on the east coast. It has been a profitable bet over the years.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-10-01If you are betting in the NFL MVP market look first at longshots to play
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-10-01Don't force a play on the Monday Night game if you don't have a strong conviction. Live betting can be a better option
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-02You don't have to bet every game. If something looks fishy with a line, don't feel like you have to place a wager. IE: Commanders vs Cowboys
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-02Weather matters: it's not the rain, it's the wind that truly matters when handicapping football
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-02In the NFL if the line moves 3 points or more, you should look to go the other way.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-02When you have an underdog that wins outright and the following week they are made the favorite you should look to fade them.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-02As the season progresses, try to narrow the number of teams you focus on throughout the year and bet to those teams accordingly. This helps maximize your knowlege of certain teams to bet on.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02Follow beat reporters and listen to press conferences for injury news. You don't always have to wait for the injury report to be released
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02For in-game wagering, you can trust teams that go down by two scores early in the matchup to make up ground. The live market can potentially undervalue the better team down on the scoreboard
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02Take a mental note of teams that blow leads consistently like the Ravens have twice this season. Playing the opposition when they're down early against those teams that can't hold a lead can potentially be a valuable play
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02Be disciplined. Just because the NFL late window is light, does not mean you have to force in-game action
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02Pre-game underdogs that take a lead early in the game can still have betting value on the in-game market because the in-game line hasn't adjusted too far away from the pre-game line
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-02Practice patience. If you're confident in a side but want a shorter line, it's OK to wait and let the game get close to buy the line you want
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-10-02When you're in a survivor contest, you've got to play less obvious teams to stay alive
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-03Keep an eye out for diminishing returns on teams that you were high on at the begining of the season like the Colts. Know when to sell on these teams.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-03Try not to spend so much time handicapping results, use them and move on to the next week. Always play looking towards the future
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-03The notion that a line is a trap is a fallacy, readjust your thinking about trap games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-03Rams vs 49ers: Underdog is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 meetings, but be conscious of the line movement
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-03If you like a team but not the spread, wait to get a better number in-game. It's just like playing poker post-flop
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-03Lombardi: QB play is down in the NFL. Worth looking at more unders until it changes
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-03Don't overreact to a sample size for example Jimmy G making one start this season and struggling in that start
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-03If the number is at +3.5 and you want to back the underdog, wait until it goes to 4. If it goes to +3 it still doesn't hurt you.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-03When looking at team win totals, look at how they won and not just their win/loss record.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-03Be wary of buying points too frequently. Key numbers aren't landing as often as they used to
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-03Look into teasing NFL games, as opposed to Money Line parlays, as a way to pay less juice.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-03Do not rush to double down on your NFL futures bets even if there are better odds now than preseason, the odds have shifted for a reason
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-04Pay specific attention to situational spots during your handicapping process, as many teams have unusual situations to deal with (i.e. London trips in the NFL, Tom Brady's divorce, etc.)
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-04Sometimes a first time starter at QB can be a big advantage ATS because the other team does not have a full complement of game film on the player
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-04Teams with obvious personnel discrepancies such as injuries or just a pure talent mismatch can lead to in-game betting value
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-04Expect the market to adjust to lopsided trends. Just because unders are cashing in the NFL, look for teams to adjust their game plans to get more points on the board and the books to adjust their numbers throughout the season
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-04Do not force bets once numbers move drastically. Adam Chernoff liked New Orleans -4 but can't suggest betting it at 6 now
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-04Don't forget to check out a team's entire schedule, not just the next game (example: Bills just had 2 tough games, and more coming up soon, might be a good idea to stay away right now)
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-04Despite the records, the NFC West is still a two-horse race. Don't get distracted by long odds on Cardinals and Seahawks
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-04If you're looking to bet Colts futures, maybe wait a few weeks. The schedule softens on the back end
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-05It takes more things to go right to hit overs on win totals in the NFL than unders. Injuries can derail a team's season real quick
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-05Lookahead lines in the NFL can offer great value! Consider them as a part of your handicapping process
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-05If you are teaser that is more than two teams, check the odds against a straght money line parlay, you may be getting a better payout
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-05When playing the NFL futures market, put more stock into teams that have a top-ranked defense. Over the long season, top defenses can be the biggest difference in one-score games and have proven to make deep runs in the playoffs
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-05Be aware if an NFL team isn't playing a full 60 minutes. The Titans are being outscored 64-7 in the 2nd half, the Cardinals are being outscored 66-16 in the first half
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-06Look at the juice on a moneyline vs buying off a spread of -3 down to -2.5, because it may be just 10-20 cents, a good value, when you just need the team to win.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-06If betting teasers, make sure you check house rules on whether a push on a leg is a loss or not
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-06Handicap the injury report to get the best number before kickoff
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-06Bad teams are more consistently bad then good teams are consistently good
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-06Pritchard: Scoring is down, rushing is up. Rushing props could provide value right now
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-06In fantasy, keep players with early games out of your FLEX spot in case you need to make changes
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-06For teams with struggling or injured offensive lines, sack props can be incredibly profitable
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-06In overtime, you can get good ML value on a team without the ball. The team with the ball isn't guaranteed to score
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-07Look at the contest line on Thursday and try to gauge line movement off of those numbers
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-07Have options when placing bets. No TD in Colts-Broncos odds ranged from 50/1 to 125/1
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-07We have reached the point in the season where you must factor byes into your handicapping. Even the week before the bye is a factor
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-07Veteran teams are more susceptible to lookahead spots, younger teams are hungrier and less comfortable so they aren't looking ahead
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-07Not all backup QBs are created equal. Some of them are formidable and therefore you shouldn't just automatically bet against their team because they have a backup starting
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-07Laying 7+ points with NFL favorites is not a winning proposition long term
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-08It's not always sexy, but home dogs playing a traveling West Coast can often be profitable
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-08Don't overreact to a team that has an excess of turnovers in one game when your handicapping their next game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-08Make sure to check the weather and more importantly check the wind as this will more than likely affect teams that throw the ball more often than teams who run the ball like the Chargers going to play the Browns.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-10-08Understand that sometimes you miss the number, but don't bet into a bad number. Try to keep emotions out of your handicapping.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-09Be careful with in-game betting, it's easy to chase, but be conscious of the number. And it seems obvious, but make sure you're watching the game to get the feel.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-09Make sure to vet your trends and ask yourself why these trends are happening and don't blindly head to the window based on trends.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-09When betting halftime totals, trust the original number before the game started and bet accordingly.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-09In-game betting algorithms often do not adjust accurately for injuries at key positions.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-09Look back at who teams have played and if they're comparable to their current matchup. The market can overreact to perceived big victories or bad losses
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-09Pay attention to extreme betting splits. For the Lions-Patriots matchup, 70% of the tickets were on the Lions but 70% of the money was on the Patriots. Clearly sharp action was on the Patriots while the public favored the Lions in a lopsided Patriots victory over the Lions 29-0
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-09Be careful about backing teams that are not use to being big favorites because the market is most likely overvaluing that team. For example, the Jaguars being favored by 7 vs the Texans today
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-10-09Unders are 18-4 in divisional games through four weeks. There are six such games on the Week 5 slate.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-10Use Guessing Lines as an example as a way to set your own, see where the numbers get posted and see where they move throughout the week
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-1030% attrition rate in survivor should give teaser bettors plenty of concern this season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-10Divisional unders are 21-6 this season, and tonight's Monday Night Football game is another divisional matchup
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-10Raiders vs Chiefs: Money is coming in on the over, so the total is likely to move.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-10Some teams just start slow, remember this for 1H bets. Arizona with Kyler Murray is 6-20 ATS in the 1H at home
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-10SF is staying on the East Coast to prepare for ATL. This isn't a traditional cross-country trip. SF is 7-1 SU since 2019 doing this
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-11Look for role-reversals and play against them. If a team is suddenly favored when they're used to being underdogs, they could play tight
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-11We always talk about schedule analysis before the NFL season when it comes to win totals, but we rarely revisit it. Make notes before the season and don't forget about them, because it will help with in-season bets
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-11Consider the coach that you're betting on. With so many games coming down to a play or two, you have to look back at how each coach handles close games and how aggressive or conservative they may be if the game is close
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-11Do your research on backup quarterbacks and don't blindly follow the market movement after news of a starter sitting out. Each quarterback and each situation is different. The market can overreact to the change and present value on the side that's starting the backup quarterback
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-11Always compare the price for ML to Teasers for value. Chiefs didn't get there on Teasers last night but did on the ML
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-11MNF games featuring a team playing before their bye have gone Over more than 70% since '09. Happens again Wk 8 CLE-CIN, Wk 9 BAL-NO, Wk 13 NO-TB
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-11Beware of teasing games where the spread looks like it could move to 3 or another key number. You may want to hold off and see which way the line moves
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-12TNF Unders are 4-1 this year and 16-7 (70%) since beginning of last year. Total for WAS-CHI is 37.5
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-12Palm: If you want to bet the Rams to miss the playoffs wait until after this week. The # will be better if they beat CAR
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-13After a few empty possessions there is potential to get in a live betting over, study the game state!
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-13Before betting on NFL standalone games, you should be asking yourself whether or not you'd make that same bet on a full Sunday card
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-13When drama is swirliing with a team like Washington, sometimes the best play is no play.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-13Look for team total plays to support your opinion vs laying points with road favorites.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-13Rookie Head Coaches are 8-18 ATS on Thursday Night Football last 26 games. CHI is +1 vs WAS tonight
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-13Don't bet your normal unit size on flash props. You can bet so many of them in a game without a chance to really think it over
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-13Make sure your props are correlated. If you think the game is going under, don't bet a lot of prop overs
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-13In bad NFL games, the value lies on the under.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-14Use your NFL ATS bets to help decide on survivor selections
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-14Favorites play into confirmation bias, don't let favorites play into your handicapping when betting games. Bettors should prove why a favorite should win, treat each side equally before picking a winner
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-14Revenge isn't an important angle for handicapping regular season NFL games
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-14Teams coming off a London game w/o a bye are 6-1 to the over and have all trailed or been tied in 4th quarter
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-14Take into account who a team has played. The Cowboys are 4-1 but haven't played a strong schedule so far. They might be overvalued this week against a very good Philadelphia Eagles team
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-14Teasing teams up is more valuable in games with low totals
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-14If you have strong conviction on a team pre flop, you may want to wait until your eyes validate it, even if you get a worse number
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-15Try not to bet away dogs who don't have good defenses, the ultamate equalizer is a good defense and when your on the road you need to get off the field.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-10-15When playing in a Contest, try to guess what the consensus Top 5 is going to be and bet accordingly from there. Either continue to bet on the consensus Top 5 or try to fade to make up ground or seperate yourself from the field.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-10-16If you're looking to play the total in Bills vs Chiefs, wait until after the 1st quarter is over to see how the game progresses
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-16Instead of playing small favorites (only 1 or 2 points), think about playing the moneyline
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-16Under Matt LaFleur, the Packers are 6-0 ATS when at home following a loss. Packers are back home hosting the Jets
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-16If a team scores on a fluke play early in the game (ie deflected pass INT), look to live bet the other side.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-16When live betting, during halftime you should dive into the boxscore instead of just basing it off of feel and what you think will happen
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-17Make sure to factor quarterback changes into your own numbers when handicapping games this week. I.e. Cooper Rush to Dak Prescott
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-17The Chiefs were a home dog this past week and a road favorite next week. Be careful, the trends all point in the 49ers' direction
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-17Professional bettors will tease games up, recreational bettors typically tease games down
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-17The home team in the Broncos-Chargers matchup has been very profitable in recent years. Home team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-17Think like a contrarian in the NFL. Don't bet on the obvious. 3 Underdogs of 5+ points won outright yesterday
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-17When there's an ugly NFL card, it's important to not force bets while also finding creative bets like props, quarters and halves
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-17If you like an underdog, consider betting a large percentage of a unit on the spread and small percentage on the money line
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-17If you're betting on the NFL regularly, get in the habit of setting your own lines. Use those to help make your bets each week
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-17When going to bet two-team teasers or ML parlays in the NFL, make sure to compare both. A lot of times bettors will go to bet teasers when an ML parlay will actually make more sense
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-17Broncos in-game unders could be attractive. They have not played well in second half
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-17Shop around on NO TD Props, the variance in vegas alone is anywhere from 60/1 to 190/1!
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-17Look to fade the public in NFL bets, every week people act amazed that the obvious sides lost
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-17When betting in game, make sure you have multiple outs because different books have different juice
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-18Be willing to adjust your preseason evaluation of NFL teams, now that we are 6 weeks into the season.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-18When live betting NFL, look for spots later in the game to jump in on the total. You can often figure out roughly how many possessions remain and bet accordingly
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-18Be cautious in playing teasers in games with high totals as that is a perceived increase in variance.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-19Spreads shorter than 2: always better to have ML than lay the points on favorites in this scenario
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-20You don't have to bet every game, especially if you can't find the best number. There's a major difference between finding a 2.5 and a 3.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-20Handicap the referee. Many have tendencies adn when they align with specific teams, it can create huge total or ATS edges.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-20Arizona's failures in the first half (0-6 ATS) are not a trend, they are a reflection of their coaching and game plan
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-20Be patient with the NFL Awards market. Most of the leaders a year ago at this time didn't win
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-20With lines under 3, make sure to check ML price. Sometimes that market gets bet more heavily into than other games, and you might be able to find some value
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-20Make sure to re-evaluate teams as the season goes on. Some losses don't look as bad as the season goes on. i.e. the Packers
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-20Sometimes the obvious prop, particularly when it comes to star WRs, is the right play. See: DeAndre Hopkins
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-20When news breaks, like the McCaffrey trade, look to the futures market immediately to see if you can get a good number on team or player bets
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-21Keep an eye on the Giants' injury report. Saquon Barkley is nursing a shoulder injury, but his rush yards have not been adjusted yet
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-21When teasing games, make sure you're teasing through key numbers like 3,4,7, etc
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-21With the Panthers in sell mode, they have become a team you can fade every week in Survivor. Look for others that do the same
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-21Don't be afraid to back bad teams that play hard. Houston isn't good but is 3-1-1 ATS and has been in every game
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-21Star players coming back from injury don't always result in immediate success. They may take a game or two to shake off the rust, so don't assume they will help their team cover or win right away. i.e. Dak Prescott vs the Lions or Tua Tagovailoa vs the Steelers
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-10-21Don't overreact to player trades and adjustments in the futures market.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-21Be weary of teasing a team through zero, you are losing value if you go throuhg zero because you cannot reach a key number on the other side
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-22If a team has not hit their own game total like the Buccaneers and the Panthers, trust that number and look to the game total going under.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-10-23Elite wide receivers are more important in handicapping then elite running backs
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-23Betting Splits can be a very helpful tool early in the week to let you know if a number may move and where the sharp money is
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-23When looking to tease, find a dog with a low total and tease through the key numbers.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-23When teasing off of key numbers like +7. Do not tease up to +13 as it is more of a benefit to tease a home favorite down like the Cowboys vs the Lions.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-23Now that the season is underway and we have a big enough sample size, you should be identifying teams that are not good teams and handicap them out of your selections. This lowers the number of teams to chose from helping you make your handicap.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23Be careful when adjusting a team's power rating after a big trade. Positions other than QB typically do not impact the betting line much
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23Going into each week, handicap which teams perform well/poorly in the 1st half and which teams perform well/poorly in the 2nd half and then bet accordingly
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23When getting involved in in-season win totals and division futures, pay attention to the schedule and the context of those matchups
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23Know which teams have an actual true home-field advantage. A team like the Saints always draw well at home and the crowd is fully invested in that matchup, the Chargers do not draw a ton of fans in LA and the crowd is normally split between the two teams
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23Don't assume because a favorite is down early that they'll make a comeback and they're worth playing on the live line. Sometimes the market is wrong and it's not worth jumping in on the live line when the favorite is having a bad game
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-23Look to play tight ends over their receiving yards prop total on National Tight End Day. Overs went 11-4 this Sunday
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-24With some of these divisions all bunched up, look for possible opportunities in those betting markets
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-24Rookie of the year beginning to look like a two-horse race with Kenneth Walker and Dameon Pierce seeing so much action. Be careful betting any deeper down the board
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-24Coaches have turned back the clock when it comes to running. Yards per rushing attempt is up across the league. The RB prop market is very much alive and well.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-24There's not much of a difference when hadicapping Mac Jones and Bailey Zappe for tonight's game vs. the Bears
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-24Through seven weeks, we are starting to know the real identity of NFL teams. Look at schedules to find value on futures
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-24Mitch Moss: Cincinnati could be the fourth elite team in the NFL. They're on the rise and the window of value could be closing
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-24Teaser bets don't have to be within the same week. You can add a Patriots/Bears teaser leg to one from Week 8
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-24Mean vs Median in player props: consider the median outcomes for high-variance players more often than the mean. Ex. Equanimeous St. Brown tonight vs Patriots
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-24If you like the Titans to win the AFC South, get to the book right now. You have to move quickly to catch numbers before they move on news like the Matt Ryan benching
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-24With spreads under 3 this season, the spread has not come into play once. If looking at the dog, just play the money line
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-24If you feel strongly on an award or future in-game, shop around. There will often be a book or two that leaves futures markets up during games
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-24Don't overreact to primetime games. There's no difference between them and regular games, but the market will react more to them
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-24If you want to play a 1 game teaser, or parlay, look at playing corrrelated sides, like the UNDER + UNDERDOG or FAVORITE + OVER
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-24Do not fall in love with a pre grame spread, if your eyes are telling you something different than what you expected, do not always fear taking a worse number in game.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-25NFL Coach of The Year is a fun market to debate, but be careful looking too far down the board for a long-shot bet. One of the short shots will likely win this award
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-25Trust your eyes when live betting, if you see an edge before the live line is moved, be ready to move quickly
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-25Look for Sam Ehlinger and his mobility to add a spark to this Colts' offense in the coming games. Could be a betting opportunity in the next few weeks, but stay away from futures.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-25Consider the Falcons in the NFC South division market. They have one of the easiest schedules left in the league and you can get a big number still on this team
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-25Consider the narrative and public perception leading up to certain matchups and how much of it is factored into the line posted. For example, when Bill Belichick and the Patriots are playing well, their line is going to be inflated because of their success in the past
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-25Don't just look at betting the full game. Sometime there's an edge in the first half line when you have a team like the Ravens that have consistently collapse in the second half of games
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-25When Survivor Pools get down to a small enough percentage of people, you have to find ways to monetize your opportunity
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-25Be wary of betting opening lines. Injuries that pop up throughout the week can drastically change them
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-25Hedging is always a hot topic in sports betting. No matter what everyone tells you, remember it's your bet and your money, do what you think is best for yourself and ignore everything else
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-26When betting futures mid-season, look for teams who you think have a favorable schedule going forward and target them. i.e. The Bengals to win the AFC North +170
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-10-26When analyzing trade deadline deals, remember to factor in how the team losing the player will do, not just how it impacts the team getting the player
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-26Consider unders when handicapping NFL lookahead lines because injuries may occur and replacement players are not as talented and impact the total
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-26When looking at in season NFL futures, make sure you look at the schedule ahead
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-26Look beyond the numbers and at the intangibles of the particular matchup you're handicapping. Each team matches up differently to one another, and the numbers may not represent the mismatch
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-26Don't forget about rest advantages. If you look back at the last three weeks, the teams that are coming off of a Thursday night matchup, the following week have been 5-1 ATS
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-27Look to fade teams after a good win vs a team with a chip on their shoulder after an embarrassing loss
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-27Don't bet teasers at more than -120. A lot of people are struggling with them this season, so definitely don't overpay
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-27The NFL Fewest Wins market is an interesting one. The Texans priced at +150 is very short. Some long shots definitely have value in that market
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-27Consider betting the OVER on Chris Godwin's recieving prop tonight vs the Ravens. Bucs coach Todd Bowles wants to throw it deep and Godwin is the only healthy option.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-27If you're betting big in the NFL, make sure to take the points, especially over 2.5, along with the money line
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-28Don't overreact injury news that doesn't relate to the quarterback. Just because you see a star player like Bengals WR Ja'Marr Chase is out this coming Sunday, doesn't mean you have to lay action on the Browns
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-28Trust your own power ratings vs public perception. It's easy to label a team good or bad because everyone says they are, but if your numbers tell you that the result will go against the popular opinion, either trust yourself or just lay off the bet
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-28Before the trade deadline; pick out teams in the futures market who are facing win now scenarios
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-10-28One of the most valuable pieces of information for the morning & afternoon NFL games, is the official injury reports on Fridays. Stay on top of that and anticipate line moves
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-28Don't let Ryan Tannehill's status sway your thinking too much on the Titans-Texans game. The Texans' rush defense ranks last in the league. Expect to see a lot of Derrick Henry
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-28We often talk about how much players are worth to a betting line. Some are tougher to quantify than others. i.e. Deebo Samuel. Keep an eye on his status if looking to bet on the 49ers
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-28Be sure to look at which players participate at Friday practice, more often than not players who miss practice Friday will miss games Sunday
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-29If a team is hot heading into their bye week, their momentum may be stopped with a week off. Consider fading the hot team coming out of their bye. (Ex: Eagles vs Steelers)
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-29When handicapping, look at the continuity of the coaching staff and roster. Teams that have good continuity have the upper hand, especially in games of 3 points or less.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-10-29Try to get as much information as possible, but remember in Football Contests especially the Circa Millions, there is luck involved, take it and move on.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-10-30Colts QBs are 1-17 SU in their first career start in the Super Bowl Era. Sam Ehlinger will make his regular season debut today vs the Commanders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-30Sportsbooks will often bake-in injury uncertainty into an opening number, but public money tends to move the line even more when official news is released. (Ex: Titans at Texans Week 8)
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-30The Eagles lead the league in first-half point differential and are 6-0 ATS in the first half. Consider taking the Eagles 1H number if the full-game line is too high for you.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-10-30When handicapping the Raiders, if they are matched up against a team that is stout against the run, that might be a good oppertunity to take their opponent.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30Turnover-worthy play rate can be a better indicator of a QBs performance than actual turnovers. This stat helps to correct for turnover luck in your handicap.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30Just as you would pregame, shop around while betting the in-game market. Not all in-game markets are the same and if you're quick enough you can find discrepancies in the market
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30There's value in live betting against a team that jumps out to an early lead but has a poor defense like the Detroit Lions did today vs the Miami Dolphins. The market favored the Lions in-game and the Dolphins came back to win 31-27
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30Have a game plan and decide before the game starts whether or not you're going to jump on a matchup. If you have two teams that you don't trust back facing each other, it's probably a good idea to stay away all together instead of searching for a reason to bet it
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30When live betting, if the box score and your eyes agree on a side then you should probably bet it, but if you have to talk yourself into a side, it probably worth holding off placing a wager
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-10-30Avoid placing a wager on an in-game line in a matchup between two teams that can't convert on third downs or in the red zone. Recognize when its just a bad game and has no betting value
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-31Be honest with yourself when it comes to betting NFL. Was it really your handicap that played out on the field, or was it just a plinko ending that went your way
A Numbers GameNFL2022-10-31If you're high on Seattle, look at Pete Carroll for coach of the year. Can still find long numbers on him
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-31Circle teams heading into their bye week and look to back them if you have additional supporting evidence that they have value. Teams usually play well heading into their bye and have gone 8-3 ATS this season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-10-31When handicapping and looking at turnover stats, don't forget to factor in turnover on downs. More teams are going for it now and turnover stats don't count for turnover on downs
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-31Look at some futures for the Ravens to win the AFC North. Their next eight opponents have a losing record.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-10-31Halves matter. The Eagles are now 7-0 ATS in the first half. Take a look at 1H spread moving forward.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-10-31Be careful betting games before a team plays on MNF. A team can take a bad L, or suffer injuries
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-31Utilize the NFL trade deadline in your NFL Week 9 handicapping process, bet the buyers and fade the sellers
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-31If you are going to make a long shot 17 leg parlay that ends on MNF with one single prop, you should make the parlay twice with both sides of the final leg as the conclusion
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-10-31It is worth your time tracking down the hook on a 3 point spread. 3.5 is a huge difference when the number is predominantly 3 in the market
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-01If looking at betting Seahawks' futures, make sure to consider adding Pete Carroll as Coach of The Year. The odds are much longer
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-01Biggest impact of NFL trade deadline movement may be in Week 10, as Week 9 is likely to soon to integrate new players and teammates into existing systems and the lines for Week 10 have not yet moved significantly
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-01Very few elite quarterbacks in the NFL right now you can really trust your money with, so tread lightly
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-01Be careful with betting on the vague awards markets in the NFL like Offensive Player of The Year and Comeback Player of the Year. Just so hard to truly handicap what the voters are thinking there
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-01Look at teams at the trade deadline and how they're altering their rosters. The impact of team like the Bears trading away defensive assets can possibly lead to more overs on a week-to-week basis
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-01Recognize teams that have roster deficiencies as we later into the season and if those teams have the personnel to overcome top players being out. Teams like the Bucs are just as if not more injured than other teams in their division. In a tight race for the NFC South, other teams getting healthier like the Falcons have value on the futures market
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-01Lots of futures hang in the balance this week with adjusted numbers posted. Look at all options to lock in a profit
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-01Don't expect a ton out of newly traded players in the NFL. They will likely take a week or so to really settle in. See Christian McCaffrey in his 1st game with the 49ers vs his 2nd
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-02Sal Pal: Eagles want to win every game and go 17-0 if the opportunity is there. Be aware for futures
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-02Favorites off the bye are 57% the last decade & road favorites are 65%. LAC is -3.5 at ATL this week
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-02Make adjustments to your power ratings when you're seeing poor in-game adjustments from the coaching staff and keep tabs on when the coaching staff is the reason a team isn't covering the spread
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-02If you're a bettor that makes your own spreads, trust your own numbers even when they're dramatically off from the line that's posted. You're making your own number to find discrepancies and edges, and you would rather be wrong with your own numbers vs not cashing a ticket because you didn't trust yourself
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-02Pete Carroll is 45-28 ATS (62%) as an underdog with SEA and they are getting 2 points vs ARI
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-03Make sure you look at multiple books before making player props, this market has wide variation
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-03If a big favorite gets down early, make sure you check the line adjustment on the in-game betting menu
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-03Don't settle for a bad number, shop around for the best number, e.g., tonight's TNF game is foating between 13.5 and 14. Depdning on what you like the hook can make all the difference.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-03Look for tough travel spots in 'out of division games' and take the home dog, e.g., Dolphins -5 vs Bears
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-03M. Sanders averaged 85 rush yds and a score per game in Oct and now faces PFF's worst run def. His props are intriguing
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-03When a top receiver goes out, make sure to quickly look at the props for the secondary receivers, as you can get value on their totals
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-03Even bad teams have professionals. Blowouts are never a gimme in the NFL
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-04When playing survivor, make sure to map out the season ahead of time, as well as multiple times within the season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-04Professional bettors play numbers, not teams. When handicapping games, be cognizant of the key nunbers and identify them before placing a bet.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-04There is value on double digit underdogs TD scorer props like the HOU last night. Quitoriano was part of the field bet (16/1)
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-04When making a Survivor selection always look ahead. Week 11 offers very few options
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-04When considering bets based on this week's trades, don't focus on the players in new places, focus on players whose teammates left. For example, George Pickens might see more targets with Chase Claypool out of town
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-04When players miss practice on Friday it is rare they play on Sunday, and even rarer they make an impact
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-05When you are thinking of teasing games, look at teasing home favorites down to under the number of 3. Like the Bengals being teased from 7.5 down to 1.5.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-11-05When you are trailing the field in Pro Football Contests and you are trying to make up ground try to pick teams that are not going to be in the consensus. This is a high risk high reward. Example taking the Packers vs the Lions at -3.5
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-11-05Don't bet on prime-time NFL games just to have action.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-11-06Andy Reid is 20-3 SU (87%) in games after a bye, the best in NFL history. However, Reid's just 2-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite in those games. Mike Vrabel is 14-5 ATS (13-5 SU) as an underdog of 4+. (Titans +12.5 vs Chiefs)
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-06Weather may play a factor today, but not just the typical fall weather. Keep an eye out for heat and humidy. IE Jacksonville hosting Las Vegas
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-06Unders are hitting at nearly 58% this season and in particular unders in divisional games (hitting at 69%).
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-06Bet with conviction and trust your first instinct. Take in information but don't make it sway you too much especially in games with double digit spreads.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-06When looking at betting angles, look at division home dogs for example the Lions getting points at home vs the Packers and the Jets hosting the Bills. Both Home teams won outright.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06If teams are moving the ball but not scoring due to turnovers, monitor the in-game total. A significant drop is a good opportunity to come in on the OVER.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06Remember the teams that don't play the full 60-minutes on a week-to-week basis. Teams like the Ravens and Raiders have proven this season that they'll let the opposition hang around and can provide in-game wagering opportunities
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06Recognize when the better team is having an off day. Even when the live line seems too good to pass up, even a dominant team like the Bills have off days
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06When looking at the NFL Awards betting market at this point in the season, you should factor in the player or coach's strength of schedule going forward, and same for their closest competitors. If the races are are tight, it could come down to the results in the finals weeks of the season
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06If the Seahawks are playing against an elite run defense team, look at playing over on Geno Smith's passing props. It's been pretty clear throughout the season that the Seahawks will take what defenses give them
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-06If there's value on the in-game moneyline and the the Cardinals are down, look to play their oppositions moneyline. The Cardinals are 6-26-1 SU when losing at the half under Kliff Kingsbury
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-07Interesting game in Munich this weekend... Have books and bettors properly adjusted to both the Bucs and the Seahawks yet? Could be valuable once again on Seattle this week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-07Colts are so volatile at the moment, you're better off not wagering on them.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-07The Ravens under John Harbaugh 16-9-2 on more than a week's rest. Tonight's game vs. the Saints is an example of that nugget.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-07Always be mindful of key numbers when placing your bets. 7 games fell on 3 and 7 points
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-07KC has 4 comeback wins after trailing by more than one score. If this continues you can keep getting better #s in-game
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-07Although non-QBs won't move the line much, recognize the importance of a player being out to the offense/defense. Mark Andrews out is huge for the Ravens tonight.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-07If you're looking for teams that can get to another gear in the second half of the season, look to the coaching staffs that you trust
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-07If you foresee a game with a big spread being cloer than expected, moneyline the dog in game and try to hedge a profit with the favorite in game
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-08At this point, with the spread under 6 and in the dead number range, hold off on any bets in the Bills-Vikings game until you know the status of Josh Allen
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-08Consider key numbers as a part of any handicap. The key number of 3 still prevalent in the NFL, six games last week ended on 3
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-08Don't forget about the rest edge as the season plays out. Since Week 5, teams coming off playing on Thursday night are 8-2 ATS this season
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-08Look to tease short underdogs up. With how tight the NFL winning margins have been, teasing short dogs up have been profitable this season
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-08When placing division bets make sure to check the schedules for the teams in the mix
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-08Depending on which side you like, be patient or ready to pounce on games you like near key #s. Like LVR -6.5 vs IND
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-08Look ahead to teams' upcoming schedules and see who's futures odds could be at their longest. Ex. Ravens have a very easy remaining schedule and you likely won't get better numbers for AFC & Super Bowl than you see today
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-08It's the time of the NFL season where you need to throw out all of your prior thoughts on teams and just look at what you've seen this season when making evaluations
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-09If you're looking at betting Seahawks over on win totals, consider adding the Rams under as well. They play each other two more times this season
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-09If you have a good cashout bet on a long shot bet, it may be best to cash out if the market does not have clear hedging options
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-09Know why line moves are happening and react accordingly. The Giants and Bills line moves happening for very different reasons
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-09Pay attention to recent form. Sometimes the handicap can be as simple as playing the side that has been playing well for the last three to four weeks. Looking at both teams bodies of work can be an easy way to size up the matchup
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-09Highlight home teams going into their bye week, as they have gone 7-1 straight up and against the spread this NFL season
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-09CLE is getting just 24% of the bets but the line vs MIA has dipped down to 3.5. The money is coming in on the Browns
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-10Make sure you have a great source for up to date NFL venue weather information, if the forecast changes the numbers will too!
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-10Survivor: If you have the Bills and Cowboys still available, hold off on using the Cowboys this week just in case Josh Allen is out through Thanksgiving
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-10Don't overvalue Special Teams when handicapping NFL. According to Aaron Schatz, he splits the NFL into 8 parts: 4 offense, 3 defense, and 1 special teams.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-10Professional bettors won't let Carolina's and Atlanta's last shootout influence how their handicap the total. These teams may have combined fofr 71 points last time they met, but it doesn't mean we're headed for another shootout.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-10There are creative ways to bet on how bad weather could impact Thursday Night Football besides the total
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-10If you have to make contest plays early, consider playing TNF because you will have the most information about that game as opposed to a Sunday game full of injury concerns
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-10Mike McCarthy returns to Green Bay this week. Our own Mike Pritchard says the former coach returning is definitely an angle to keep your eye on
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-10Know which coaches like riding the hot hand for running backs. It can impact which rushing props to bet
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-10If you're betting a game early in the week, or in a lookahead, be aware of which teams might switch starting quarterbacks during the week
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-11Betting earlier typically gives you better numbers before the public money pours in. Professional Bettors play numbers not teams.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-11If you're interested in backing the Chargers this weekend on the road vs. 49ers, keep their road record ATS and straight up in mind. Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games and are riding a 3-game road winning streak straight up.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-11Everyone focuses on post-bye week numbers, but don't forget to also factor pre-bye week trends into your handicap. Seahawks are 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS before their bye week since 2011.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-11Division unders are hitting at 75% this year. Carolina-Atlanta went UNDER last night and we have three more division games this week. (ARI-LAR, DET-CHI, WAS-PHI)
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-11Sometimes you can get better odds parlaying the ML on 2 teams instead of trying to do a teaser
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-11Look at players injury history before handicapping a game, players such as Kyler Murray have been on the injury report, but played on Sunday anyway more often than not
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-12If you are playing in a contest try to turn your picks as late as you safely can. For example Josh Allen was listed as questionable while all week had him leaning to not playing. It allows you the most time to make your decsion and get as much information as possible.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-13Look for correlation between a team's best player and taking that team in the game. If you think Etienne is going to go over on his props, you should also look to back Jacksonville today.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-13Try to specialize in certain player props and not spread yourself too thin. For example if you specialize in first touchdown scorers or anytime scores try not to over extend in markets your not familiar with.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-13When betting the player to to score the first touchdown, you should also bet them to score an anytime touchdown. This covers your bet just in case your players team does not get the ball first.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-13If you see a player on the concussion protocol for most of the week, you should really wait as long as possible to fire on those games.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13Don't be afraid to make a bet based off solid information if you believe the pregame line has value. (Ex: Josh Allen starting vs Vikings)
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13If you notice a first half is lackluster offensively, but somehow a few points get scored towards the end of the half. Look for the second half total to be inflated and if you're confident that the same lackluster performance will continue, take a look at playing the under
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13Take notice when teams, no matter how good they are, have a tough time covering and winning straight up in close games. A team like the Bills are 2-9 straight up in their last 11 games of 8-pts or less. If you think the game is going to be close, the Bills might be the team to fade
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13Gather all the evidence to support your opinion. It's lazy to place a wager on a side just because you think they're due. Your chances of losing your bet are higher without doing your homework on a matchup
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13Trust your handicap and bet with conviction. If the game is unfolding exactly the way you predicted and the live line is still in your favor. If you keep hammering the live line, you can double or triple your original investment
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-13Avoid getting involved in-game with less than a minute left in the game or during overtime, unless you feel like you have an edge. Sometimes it's too late to get involved, and you could be wasting your wager on a game that could come down to a coin flip
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-14As we head toward the end of the season, injuries will be piling up for teams across the league. Make sure you are checking injury and practice reports daily to help inform bets
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-14No matter the situation, make sure you truly value how much a QB change should mean to your numbers. I.e. Matt Ryan, Josh Allen, John Wolford
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-14If you're considering betting in-game, make sure you've handicapped the coaching staff. Don't forget to consider how good those coaches are at making in-game adjustments.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-14The Vikings are catching 2-points at home. Vikings catching points at home are a great opportunity to be apart of a tease
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-14Be careful placing bets too early in the week. BUF, IND, ARI & LAR all had QB situations change during the weekend
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-14If you are looking at betting on a team next week that their opponent is playing on Monday Night Football, consider making a bet now. Usually, only bad things can happen (I.e. injuries) to that team playing on Monday
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-14Be aware of player usage rates before betting a player prop, there is a reason for a number being exceedingly high... or low
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-15Keep in mind, NFL awards are voted on by human beings and different voters might have different interpretations on an award like Comeback Player Of The Year. Gives an edge to players coming back from injury
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-15If a line looks too good to be true, it probably is, for example the Vikings catching a point at home vs the Cowobys
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-15Don't completely count out betting on a game. Opportunities may present themselves in-game
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-15Keep an eye on hot trends like Eagles 1H. Books adjust to popular bets like those hitting, and they've now lost twice in a row. You might find value on the other side in the next couple of games
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-15At this point in the season, when you're getting involved in the NFL make/miss playoffs market, don't blindly place wagers. Examine the team you're looking to back and highlight their schedule going forward
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-15NFL divisional opponents the second time around tend to play each other close and getting points can be valuable depending on the matchup. Example, last night the Commanders getting 11-points vs the Eagles and winning the game outright 32-21
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-15Alternate win totals are the best way to make money in the NFL. You can get middles and get off of bets if you need to
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-15Keep the weather in mind when placing bets on Bills-Browns this week. Adam Chernoff sees the total coming down
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-16When it comes to coaches it's not trends that you're betting on it's tendencies. Tomlin as a dog is 48-26 (65%) ATS. PIT is +4.5
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-16Jordan Davis being out for the Eagles has made a major impact on their rush defense. They've allowed over 143 rushing yards in each game last 3 weeks. Look at the Colts and Jonathan Taylor props this weekend
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-16Make sure you know player tendencies when it comes to missing practice, a veteran out for Wednesday practice does not necessarily mean they will miss Sunday
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-16If still alive in Survivor, keep in mind that there are some nice spots for teams like the Chiefs, 49ers, and Dolphins the week after Thanksgiving. If you can save till then, probably the right play
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-16Recognize when the numbers have shifted significantly and value for a particular future is gone. Bettors could have placed action down on Nick Sirianni to win NFL Coach of the Year at 20/1 before the season. Throughout the season the number has come down to +100 on the Eagles head coach
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-16When playing quarterback rushing props, if they're facing a team that low pressure/sack rates, don't look to invest in playing the over. They're likely to stay in the pocket and scramble less
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-17Know the house rules at which book you are betting with, the rules are vastly different form book to book.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-17If you want to play first TD scorer props, but dont like when your team doesn't get the ball first, some books offer Team First TD Props which have lower odds, but you are not beholden to the coin toss
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-17A great week to remind everyone that teasing down has been pretty rough on bettors this year. Despite a lot of good-looking options this week, tread carefully
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-17Sometimes the best bet is the one you odn't make. With all the action going on right now, (NFL, CFB, NCAAB, World Cup, NHL, NBA) it's easy to bleed units on lesser options.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-17Buffalo vs Cleveland: Know the house rules regarding venue change. Every book is different in how they handle these changes.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-17The elements will be important this weekend. Keep an eye on a possible venue change or snow with Browns/Bills, and also elevation in Mexico City
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-17On a short week, look at the number of snaps that a defense played on Sunday to see if they might tire out
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-17When you see a move in a second-half number, it's not always based on sharps, it could just be balancing a position
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-18Check the house rules for games like Buffalo and Cleveland. Every shop has different rules and can handle this site change differently
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-18If you like the Vikings to win against the Cowboys, consider taking the Vikings on the ML rather than paying the -110 tax and taking +1.5
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-18Always know the house rules before placing bets. Each sportsbook is treating pending CLE-BUF bets differently
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-18In games featuring 2 bad teams, don't assume players won't be trying hard. Some have contracts they are working towards. The prop market could be your best bet in these spots
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-18Check out games that have both big spreads and low totals. It's harder for the favorite to cover in a game that isn't expected to have a lot of points. Panthers +13.5 could be the play against the Ravens (Total 41.5)
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-18Make sure to keep an eye on quarterback injuries heading into the weekend. i.e. Lamar Jackson, Matt Stafford, and Kyler Murray
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-18Make sure you are tracking NFL QB practice reports, most of the time a player practicing means they will play on Sunday, but for Monday night games make sure you check the Saturday practice report
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-19Avoid overreacting to last week's results, because perception is baked into the line. For example, the Eagles-Colts line is tighter because the Eagles are coming off a loss and the Colts are coming off a win. The line would most likely be longer if the game was played a week earlier
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-19It’s ok to admit you have zero ‘feel’ on a team and completely fade them. The Rams have been a team that most didn’t believe would be as bad as they’ve played this season, and if you’re not cashing tickets betting on or against them, its better to just fade them all together.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-11-19If you’re still involved in a survivor contest this late into the season, don’t look too far ahead and make moves that you wouldn’t typically make. Stay the course.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-11-19Try not to let outside sources influence your decisions. Some things can be deceiving.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-20DAL vs MIN: The dogs have barked historically in this matchup. Underdog is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-20NYJ at NE: The Jets have struggled to fly in New England. Jets are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings in New England.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-11-20There have been 46 games this season in which a team has come back to win or tie after trailing in the fourth quarter, the second most through the first 10 weeks in NFL history.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Look for opportunities to fade teams in the first week after making a change to their playcaller or offensive strategy.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Try and find in-game coaching mismatches. Today you had Colts head coach, Jeff Saturday playing with a lead for the first time against a well coached Eagles team catching as short line on the in-game market. Eagles came back to win 17-16
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Take notice when one team has historically had another team’s number. The Jets took action early in the week moving the line from +3.5 to +3 vs the Patriots. The Patriots tend to play well vs the Jets, and that remained to be the case on Sunday with the Patriots winning 10-3
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Pay attention to the live line after a quick score on the first drive of the game. Those plays tend to be scripted, which can lead to success early in the game and can over inflate the live line.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Draw a line through a game that has no value on the in-game line. The perception was that the Ravens, coming off a bye, should have steamrolled the Panthers. They play sluggish the entire game and had zero value on the in-game market.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-20Trust your eyes. If you notice a team is allowing the opposition to hang around and not capitalizing on their own opportunities, look to back the team hanging around.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-20Be weary of playing player props of guys coming off of injury. They might be in load management or may even get re-injured.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-20If a team wins a lot of one score games a season prior, look for regression in their next coming season, and maybe take their season win total under.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-21No NFL team is as good or as bad as they look the week before
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-21Remember to factor coaching into your game handicap. There are certainly some coaches out there that are worth something to the spread. i.e. Broncos laying points on the road this week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-21If you're interested in backing the Cardinals tonight, understand Arizona is already down one QB. The Cardinals could be one injury away from investing in a third-string quarterback.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-21The late game on Thanksgiving always gets a lot of bets, if you like the line in Patriots-Vikings, you might want to bet it now, as opposed to minutes before the game.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-21Kyle Shanahan is 4-9-1 ATS as a regular-season favorite of at least seven points and 2-8-1 ATS with Jimmy Garoppolo.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-21The Cardinals have allowed the most receptions, targets, yards and TDs to opposing TEs in the entire NFL this season. Consider betting OVER on George Kittle's MNF player props.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-21Don't forget to factor elevation into tonight's game in Mexico City. Stadio Azteca is nearly 2,000 ft higher in elevation than Mile High Stadium in Denver.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-22If the NFL playoff picture is as clear to you as it is to Gill, that should inform your bets in the weeks to come and yes/no playoffs
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-22In matchups with low totals like the Broncos-Panthers (36), if there’s an early score the in-game total could get inflated and there can be value on buying under the total. Teams script plays to start games and can potentially alter the true value on the total of that particular matchup.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-22Handicap the weather before you place your wager. Games with consistent wind of 15 MPH or more, the under is 27-10 on the season.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-22Be wary of betting super-early look-ahead lines in the NFL. Thanksgiving Day games have changed quite a bit. You may be in a good spot, or need to look for a middle.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-22There are some longshot NFL MVP bets that we've seen get hot down the stretch in previous years. Joe Burrow is at about the same price to be MVP as he was at this time last year to win Comeback Player of the Year.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-23The goal is to win, not survive. You need to start thinking about zigging where people are zagging
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-23With yes/no playoff bets, start figuring out how you think the playoffs will look in each conference and then decide if a bet in that market makes more sense, or maybe it's best to take it week to week with a specific team
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-23When live betting football in-game totals, if you have a matchup between two defensive teams that allow an early score, look for the total to get inflated and potential value on betting the under
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-23Underdogs have well this season, but on Thanksgiving favorites tend to cover the spread. In the last 49 Thanksgiving matchups, favorites are 33-16 ATS, and play especially well on the road going 18-5 ATS
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-23In a short slate of games, deeper shots can have value in weekly props. Like BUF RB James Cook to lead in rushing
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-23If you're trying to bet sports seriously, keep in mind with things like NFL on Thanksgiving, you should only be betting on the games if they are bets you'd like on a normal Sunday slate.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-23Make sure to shop around for the best number, for example one book went to -3 on the Vikings while other books stayed at +2.5.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-23If you find your comfortable or better at betting props, make that your regular bet and stay off sides and totals. Find what your good at and attack it.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-24Remember in the NFL, teams are never as good or as bad as they looked a week before
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-24When playing the first half in the NFL, look for a dominate offense that doesn't have a strong run game.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-24Shaun King: At +650 Tua Tagovailoa is still alive for the MVP
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-24Go ahead and fire on fun props today - just go with smaller bets than your usual unit
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-24Compare second-half NFL lines with the live line. You'll often find slight half-point differences, or even more, that will tell you which bet you should make
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-25Cincinnati vs Tennessee: If you're interested in backing the Cincinnati, the Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tennessee.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-25Washington vs Atlanta: Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings. Look to play the Falcons if you like this trend.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-11-25Don't just take the most convenient number. You have to shop for the best number. Books vary game to game.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-25Do an autopsy on a teams' box scores and avoid putting too much stock into a teams straight up record. Gather all the information on who they've played, how they played against their opposition, and how they size up against the next team on deck.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-26BAL vs JAX: Home team is 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-26With games with so many factors like the Bears and Jets this week with injuries and new starting QB's its sometimes better to stay away from these types of games.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-26For some games where you have a feeling a team is going to score points, but not cover a very large spread like the Chiefs -15.5 look to the total to bet espcially if it is lopsided to where one team will score and the other won't.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-11-26When playing in the contest, stay confident in your abilities and don't let the outside noise influence your decision making.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-27Look at how teams are responding to their quarterbacks, this is sort of a feel tip as some new quarterbacks like Taylor Heineke and Mike White
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-11-27When your looking to tease games, sometimes you have to tease through key numbers, but try to pick these spots sparingly as overtime this will give you less value over time.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27If you’re getting involved in the futures market, look back at a teams body of work. Consider their wins and losses, because they’re not all equal and can tell how they may do when the playoffs come around
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27During a blowout, keep in mind the winning teams next game and whether or not they’re pulling their starters. There can be potential value on buying in on the losing teams in-game line with the thought that the winning team will pump the breaks.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-27WSH at ATL: Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-27GB at PHI: Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in Philadelphia.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-11-27SF at NOLA: Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27Davante Adams has 40 targets over the last three games. The Raiders seem to be force-feeding him the ball, consider betting OVER on his player props vs the Seahawks.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27You can find value on the in-game market if you think a team is going to reverse its first half bad luck. For example, teams that struggled capitalizing on red zone opportunities in the first half can make adjustments and get into the end zone in the second half.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27Quick scores at the beginning of the game and at the beginning of the half can inflate the in-game lines off of their true value. Those plays tend to be scripted which is why teams have success early, while defenses make in-game adjustments.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-11-27Unless you really feel you need to get out of a bet, you don’t have to attempt to hedge when the game isn’t going as you predicted. Hedging is just raises the floor, but lowers the ceiling on you original investment. Unless you’re confident that you’re you’re going to win your hedge, sometimes it’s best to ride out the original bet.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-28Do not over value the idea of "fading a team with nothing to play for..." NFL players are pros, and are incentivized to play with effort for the full season
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-11-28Time of possession and first downs are great indicators of which team is controlling the game. Look for these stats in the box score before you place an in-game wager.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-28If there is a line you love, bet it on the openers or early in the week. Get the best closing line value you can.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-28IND vs PIT: Najee Harris has struggled recently to run the ball. Look to his under prop 63.5 rushing yards.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-28IND vs PIT: Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-28With teams like the Chargers who seem to play every game close, just play the money line instead of laying the points if they laying under 3
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-28With standalone games in the NFL, ask yourself if it's something you'd bet on a Sunday afternoon. If not, it's a game you should probably stay away from
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-29From year-to-year, defenses vary more than offenses in the NFL. Consider banking more on offenses.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-11-29When making in season award winners bets, be aware of which players are coming back, for example Joe Burrow has been solid the last few weeks, and Ja'Marr Chase is slated to return which will further increase Burrow's production.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-29Don’t forget that you can roll teasers over from week to week. If you like a team on Monday Night Football, pair it with a game from next week.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-29This is the time to start handicapping the #1 NFL Draft pick market. With CFB season pretty much over, rumors about which teams like which players are finally important.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-29Pay attention to players’ comments in the media. It can give you insight to what’s going on behind closed doors and may lead you to fade a team if their performance on the field is reflective of the state of the locker room.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-29This late into the season, don’t overreact to getting hot, being on a losing streak, or suffering a bad beat. Stay consistent with your handicapping throughout the season.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-29Check out some dogs in the NFL's most regular season market. Eagles over-valued at -135
A Numbers GameNFL2022-11-29Look at the Steelers to bet on going forward. Pickett getting experience, the team getting healthier, the schedule is lightening up, etc
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-11-30It could be beneficial to target big favorites on the first half line instead of the full game because they could get up big and then let off the gas in the 2nd half. See the Dolphins against the Texans last week.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-11-30If looking to bet most interceptions market, make sure to map out who might actually play every game the rest of this season and who won’t.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-30Pay attention to a teams level of competition on a week-to-week basis. It’s great to support your lean with stats, but look at who that particular team is putting up those stats on, and how they matchup vs their current opponent.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-11-30Be patient and wait for all the injury information to come out. You don’t have to force in a bet early in the week. It’s better to not place a bet and miss out on a number you wanted than playing a bad number.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-01Be weary of players returning from prolonged absences, it is not a guarantee that a player returning will immediately be in their pre injury or suspension form
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-01Wind affects the total more than precipitation, but wind usually doesn't become a factor until it is over 15 mph.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-01If you believe Deshaun Watson will be rusty, there’s potential for live-betting if the scoring is slow early in the game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-01KC vs CIN: These teams roll out high-powered offense. However, the under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. Look to the play the under in this matchup.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-01BUF at NE: Josh Allen carried the Bills the last two times they played the Patriots. Look to go over Josh Allen's run total vs. the Patriots.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-01If looking at betting most interceptions market, make sure to map out which quarterbacks will likely be playing to the final weekend.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-02Be aware of injuries on the offensive line, skill positions get the most publicity, but if an elite tackle is out it could have a huge impact on the game.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-02When you get later in the football season sometimes the full season stats don’t tell the full story. Shorten the sample size to give yourself a sense of how teams are playing right now.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-02If you are watching the Packers-Bears game and realize the Bears are keeping Justin Fields in the pocket, look for an opportunity to bet on the Packers in-game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-02Injury reports will come out today. If you want to bet early, don't forget to check the injury reports before placing a wager.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-03Commanders haven't had their bye week yet, and they are 2 point favorites on the road against a divisional opponent. They might be receiving more public money because of previous weeks.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-03Beware of taking the Browns with the points vs the Texans this week. There's a lot of emotion on both sides for this matchup.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-03If a team struggled against a simple game plan last week, look for their opposing team to attack the same weaknesses.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-03At this point in the season, if you haven't figured out a team, stay away from them and direct your energy to teams you have a better feel for.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-03Don't be afraid to tease either side of a pick'em matchup like in Detroit between the Lions and the Jaguars.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04When looking at getting involved in the NFL Awards betting market at this point in the season, you should factor in the player or coach’s strength of schedule going forward, and same for their closest competitors. It could come down to the results in the finals weeks of the season if the race for a particular award is close.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04Monitor Twitter for injury news and notes. Avoid placing a wager based on the current scoreline and playing an in-game line without gathering all in information.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04Break down the box score when getting involved with in-game totals. Check out how many yards per play both teams are getting, and how they’re doing in the red zone up to that point.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04When handicapping a matchup, look into to a teams level of competition on a week-to-week basis and who that particular team is putting up those stats on.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04Notice when a team isn’t taking advantage of their opportunities to put a team away early. Teams make adjustments and there can be value on the other side if you like the live line.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-04Andy Reid is great at early-drive scripted plays. If the Chiefs get out to a quick lead, consider taking the Bengals in-game if it drifts above +3.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-04GB vs CHI: As Aaron Rodgers noted, the Packers have owned the Bears. Packers are 18-5 ATS in their last 23 meetings in Chicago.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-04TEN vs PHI: If you like Tennessee, the Titans have been successful vs. the Eagles going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-05Be wary of big underdogs down the stretch of the NFL season that don't have much to play for. Players don't quit on Sundays, but they will during the week and preparation will suffer.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-05Tom Brady passed Peyton Manning for most 4th Qtr or OT game-winning drives with 44. Never count out the Bucs and Brady in a live betting situation.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-05Look towards cluster injuries when finding value in the prop market, if a team has a bunch of injuries at nickel, you can potentially target tight ends and wide receivers to go over
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-05NO vs TB: Look to play the under in tonight's MNF game. Under is 11-3 in the last 14 meetings in Tampa Bay.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-05Consider schedules before betting on a team. What happened before and what is coming up can impact if a team is worth backing. Like SEA hosting CAR (off their bye) with SF in Week 15
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-05There are a variety of ways to find betting value after injuries. Consider divisions, awards, wins and playoff odds
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-06When looking at betting futures in season, be sure to see what the upcoming schedule holds because motivation and postseason prospects will play a factor.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-06Always check to see if a moneyline parlay offers better odds than a teaser.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-06Look to fade teams that have a disconnect from the coordinator and players on the field like Russell Wilson and Head Coach Nathanial Hackett.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-06Underdogs of 1-3.5 points when betting against teams in the lower half of the league in teaser legs, underdogs are 15-1.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-06Lions-Vikings is another game where the worse team is favored. Sometimes you need to listen to what the bookmakers are telling you about who is the better bet
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-07Every game in the NFL is tough, when you see double digit lines in the NFL be leery of laying the points.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-07If you like Josh Allen to win MVP, now is the time at 14/1.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-07When betting on season win totals, look at teams that play, successful teams late in the season as they might not be playing for anything in the last week or two of the season.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-07Underdogs of 3.5 or higher are 69-45 ATS (61%) this year. That applies to 10 teams this week
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-08Fade bad NFL teams on lookahead lines, because they get steamed after another bad performance.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-08On these stand alone NFL games, experiment around with props that you wouldn't normally bet. Stepping outside of your comfort zone and betting on something you wouldn't normally bet can show you the potential value in a different betting market.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-08With teams that are coming into a matchup with quarterback issues, take a look at running back props. Teams are going to rely on their running game more with question marks in the passing game.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-08Set your threshold and have an in-game strategy before the game even starts. Having a game plan can help prevent you from getting in on a bad numbers and firing away just to get in on the action.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-08Make sure you check out betting splits, if a vast majority of bets are on a "cant miss" side you probably want to go opposite.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-08This late in the season, understand motivation factors and what will get a team up for a game when they have little chance at making the playoffs.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-08The Rams have lost six consecutive games SU, the longest losing streak under Sean McVay. Rams are failing to cover the spread by 6.7 PPG this season, worst ATS margin in the NFL.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-08Jalen Ramsey has allowed the most Pass TDs as the primary defender this season. Davante Adams Anytime TD is -165
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-09Sometimes you need to just look at the number and not the team associated with the line. The Jets are double-digit underdogs this week in a divisional game against the Bills who have been struggling as of late too.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-09If you are playing in any survivor contest, sometimes it pays to take the largest spread of the week just to advance.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-09Even late in the season, do not over value a team's straight up record, with a sample size as small as the NFL season, luck plays a factor.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-09Stay away from laying -3.5 with the Dolphins vs the Chargers. You could've laid under a FG earlier in the week and the best of the number is gone.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-09Adam Chernoff: DET being favored with a worse record is not a trap. Bookmakers aren't trying to trick you. They are trending up while analytics are down on MIN
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-10You need to handicap coaches just as much as the team and players themselves. Coaches can really hold a team back depending on the locker room.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-10Be careful of teasing NFL sides past key numbers of 7, 3, and 0. Also, pay attention to weather reports, weather can be just as unpredictable as sports betting.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-10Don't assume the sharp side is the right side. Not every expert will be right about every game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-10When you see a game stay at 3.5 for the entire week with no movement like the 49ers vs Buccaneers, it typically means the sharps don't like the dog.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-12-10As we enter the final stretch of the NFL season, consider teams that are on the playoff bubble in your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-11Don't handicap next week's games based on games from 3-4 weeks ago. Players can be returning from injury which can boost their overall rating, for example, the Lions today getting their #1 drafted WR.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-11Eventually, Brock Purey will show why he is a rookie in the NFL. Don't buy too much into his hype after an impressive win over the Buccaneers.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-11If your bets haven't gone your way, don't bet more than you are comfortable with to try to chase your losses on the next game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-11When live betting, trust what the original line was before the game stated.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-11Denver games are 11-1 to the under, the highest under percentage in the league. While the Broncos offense has struggled, the defense is elite, laying a big number of +9.5 vs the Chiefs.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-12-11Beware the home dogs as we Countdown the final 60 minutes before the early NFL window of Week 14. As pointed out by VSIN’s Dave Tully, home dogs are on a 108-85-2 ATS run. One (the Los Angeles Rams) already won on Thursday night by upsetting the Raiders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-11Buccaneers are listed as underdogs for the first time this season. Brady is 23-6 straight up, 14-15 against the spread versus rookie quarterbacks in his career.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-11Since Lamar Jackson’s first start in 2018, four other Ravens QBs have made a start — Robert Griffin, Josh Johnson, Joe Flacco, Tyler Huntley. Those QBs are 6-10 SU and ATS, but Tyler Huntley is 3-1 ATS.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-12When handicapping NFL awards, NFL MVP award typically goes to the best Quarterback and Offensive Player of the Year is generally the best non-QB.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-12The TV prognosticators are caught up on storylines, not numbers, it can be profitable to fade the public sentiment displayed by the pre-game hosts.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-12When looking at player props, be sure to look at opposing team tendencies over skill player star power. An unknown guy can excel if facing a team that doesn't fair well versus his position.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-12New England is 7-3-1 ATS after a loss since the start of last season (3-1-1 ATS this season). Bill Belichick is 62-34-1 ATS following a loss with New England. Belichick is also 21-13-2 ATS in the regular season with at least 10 days of game prep.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-12Dallas' close win vs the Texans is another example of how dangerous laying a big spread in the NFL can be. Consider staying away from betting on these big spreads and avoid teasing 17-point favorites down at all costs.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-12The Lions beating the Vikings on Sunday was another example of bookmakers knowing the true value of teams. Sometimes you have to listen to them when they tell you the team with the worse record is better
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-12Before betting on Yes/No Playoff Odds, know the team's schedule and the motivation of their upcoming opponents
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-13Look to bet on NFL teams that got embarrassed in the previous week, as they tend to bounce back.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-13If you are betting a favorite in the NFL, it is better to wait than fire laying 3.5 or 7.5 points. The value you lose if it moves to 4 or 8 is far less than the value gained moving to 3 or 7.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-13Pay attention to weather reports in the NFL this weekend. Especially on the East coast.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-13If you are looking to bet on an NFL division winner right now, look into the NFC South, it is the most volatile division out there.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-13The Eagles are in a scheduling sandwich spot heading to Chicago in between 2 NFC East opponents. They are favored by 9 points right now.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-14We are approaching the part of the season where teams have vastly different motivation, but do not undervalue the spoiler role.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-14Jared Goff has 22 touchdowns this season but only 2 have come on the road. Beware of Goff props this week when he's in MetLife Stadium.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-14When using data to handicap games try to use the most recent data that dates back to 4 to 5 games. Whole season data can be misleading.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-14If you have a conviction about someone in the offensive rookie of the year market, it is definitely the most wide-open of the award races and can offer the best odds.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-14Appelbaum: Home Underdogs of +3.5 or more are 30-14 ATS (65%). This applies to the Bears, Jaguars, Texans and Buccaneers this week
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-14Pete Carroll is very good as an underdog hitting at 61% ATS in his career and 5-3 ATS this season
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-14Appelbaum: Road teams on Saturdays are 31-16 ATS (66%) over the last decade. We have 3 Saturday games this week with the Colts, Ravens and Dolphins as underdogs
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-15Look down the board when playing the ‘touchdown scorer’ market. Star players tend to be the most expensive and there can be value on a tight end or a 2nd/3rd receiving target.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-15When betting a Thursday night game, be aware game plans will be condensed, unlike Monday Night Football where the teams get an extra day of preparation.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-15Make sure your player props are in correlation with the way you bet the game. If you have the under in the game, don't get a lot of overs for passing & receiving props.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-15As long as the Texans finish with the worst record, they will take a quarterback with that first overall pick. Adjust your draft bets correctly.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-15Be careful backing young teams like Seattle who rely on rookie players late in the season. Attrition wears on guys in their first season out of college.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-15When a player or a team in the NFL shows you who they are, believe them. Don't make excuses for players or teams in your handicap.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-16In a tight awards race, look to see which players are playing in a primetime matchup in the last couple weeks. A great performance in front of a national audience can be enough for voters to make their decision to the player playing in the marquee matchup late in the season.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-16Southern teams playing in northern climates late in the year can be at a disadvantage, the home team practices in this weather regularly.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-16If you’re unsure about how offenses will look in a game with winter weather, wait until after kickoff and play it in-game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-16The Panthers are laying three points at home this week vs the Steelers. Mike Tomlin, as a road dog of three or more after a home loss, is a tempting play.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-16Make sure to keep your eye on weather reports this weekend. There are a few games that could get snow, including ones in Buffalo and Cleveland.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-16Don’t be a prisoner of the moment. Just because the Seahawks aren’t playing well right now, doesn’t mean fading Geno Smith in Comeback Player Of the Year is a good bet.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-12-17Do not be afraid to take a shot in game, when a bad team has a lead, remember they've probably been there before.... ahead but not able to maintain.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-12-17Try to guess which teams will be the most popular selections each week, if you need to make up ground, avoid those teams, or take the other side.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-17When a team or player has a flurry of off season issues, those events have lingering effects, even if not immediately noticeable at the outset of the season.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-17If a team was hot going into the bye, look to fade them coming out, if a team was cold going into the bye, look to support them in their first game back.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-12-17Since 2018, Baltimore is 16-2-1 ATS as an underdog (11-8 SU). That includes 6-1 ATS in games that Lamar Jackson does not start (3-4 SU).
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-12-17If a team gets out to a quick early lead, consider looking at the in-game UNDER. The team with the big lead may start to slow down their offense, leading to less points.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2022-12-17Cleveland is 1-4 ATS against Baltimore under Kevin Stefanski. The Browns are also 4-12 ATS in division games under Kevin Stefanski.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-17Justin Tucker is the best kicker in the NFL, and perhaps in the history of the league. When the Ravens are getting points (like today +3 vs the Browns), a solid place kicker can be the difference between an ATS win and a loss.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-17Since 2017, Miami is 0-7 outright and ATS in games 40 degrees and below (average margin: -20.9 PPG). The Bills are 7-point favorites at home today vs the Dolphins.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-18When gauging teams under .500, look at the recent form and fight in past performances to determine whether or not to fade or back that team.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-18Don't lay off a game because it seems 'easy'. No bet in the NFL is perceived as easy.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-18Don't lay points with a team who has been playing awful lately.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-18When betting on player props, also take a look at how the market perceives the team. ex. Team totals and game totals.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-18Always check the weather before betting any NFL total.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-18Be careful when an underdog wins outright and in the next week they are road favorites. Lions next week apply to this, and history has shown these teams don't win the next week's game.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-18There’s potential value playing player props in-game depending on the shift in a team’s game plan. For example, there can be value playing the in-game passing yards over on a quarterback who is behind on the scoreboard. The team can shift their game plan to more of a passing attack, which will pad the passing stats trying to get back into the game.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-18Not all quarterbacks are worth the same, and unfortunately injuries are a part of football. Handicap the quarterback room to know what the backups are worth so that you can find value on the in-game market in case the starting quarterback goes down.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-18Take notice to pace of play when getting involved in the in-game market. Today, the Steelers clearly had a game plan to slow the game down vs the Panthers. It’s not worth getting involved late with a team that’s down two scores when possessions left in the game may be scarce.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-18The Titans and Chargers' offensive strengths are right in line with the defensive weaknesses of their opponents. Consider looking at the OVER in this game.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2022-12-1892 games (90 decisions and two ties) have been decided by 6 points or fewer, the most through Week 14 in NFL history. In a league full of parity, taking the points is the smart move.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-18Consider the familiarity between the Patriots and Raiders in your handicap of today's game. There is intimate knowledge on both sides in every facet of the game. Every coach on each side of the field has been trained and developed in some aspect of the New England system.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-18Cincinnati is 10-1 ATS in its past 11 games, the best mark in the league in that span. Tampa Bay is 1-9-1 ATS in its past 11 games, the worst mark in the league in that span.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-19Keep in mind with sub-40 totals in late-season NFL games, games may tend to go over these adjusted totals.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-19For teams that need to win out to make the playoffs, consider a Moneyline rollover bet which would likely offer more value than a futures bet.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-19In primetime matchups, for anytime touchdown props, look down the board. Star players like a wide receivers tend to be the most played, which diminishes some of the value. Players like tight ends have longer odds and can be valuable on stand alone games.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-19You don’t have to get a wager in at halftime. It’s ok to wait and be patient and let the first drive of the second half play out. For example, if you like the under and a team goes down and scores right away, the in-game total can get inflated and you can have value on the under.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-19When you bet in game, wait until a commercial break because the data feed the sportsbook is using will be ahead of your TV field.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-19Cold weather is not a big factor for the total, precipitation and rain plays.a much greater factor.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-19You can find great value on opening lines. Don't be afraid to jump on a game as soon as the lines are posted.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-19Be careful chasing steam this early in the week on what appears to be weather bets. A LOT can change with weather forecasts over the next few days. i.e. what happened in Buffalo this weekend.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-19When we say shop around and compare lines, that means shop around for EVERYTHING. Pregame, in-game, futures, etc. i.e. We saw very different live odds being dealt on the Vikings.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-19Be careful laying big points in the NFL, especially on the road. Just tough to win consistently. i.e. Eagles this week in Chicago.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-19Take a look at play selection when evaluating offenses. Great offenses have a good balance of run and pass. One-dimensional offenses are easier to stop because their plays skew one way or the other.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-19The Patriots offensive scheme is not working, Patricia and Judge have not built an effective pass game. Patriots +3.5 might be short this week vs the Bengals.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-19Be careful with weather-based bets. Keep in mind that wind is the most impactful element, and it’s really hard to predict any weather too far ahead of time.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-19Bill Huber: Going from sub-zero temperatures to Miami on Christmas will be difficult for the Packers
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-19If you have tickets with big payouts for the Super Bowl, you can start doing the math on the value of that ticket each week and how to approach guaranteeing ROI
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-19This weekend proved why you should always keep money in a sportsbook app that allows live-wagering
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-20With so many teams within a game of making the playoffs, there are some big numbers you can take for futures bets to win both the NFC and AFC conferences.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-20There are lots of reports of bad weather for this weekend's games and totals are dropping, there is a potential to grab a good number now and middle later when the forecasts are more certain.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-20Always check to see if a ML parlay offers better odds than a teaser.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-20Awards markets can be correlated. If it doesn't look like Jalen Hurts will win MVP, it hurts Nick Sirianni's chances at Coach of the Year. Bet accordingly if you are in both markets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-20Don't buy into the generic betting trends like the Super Bowl loser has a down year, case and point the Bengals are have a great year and look like a real contender this year.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-20If making MVP or yes/no playoff bets in the NFC, make sure to keep track of Hurts' injury news and fully understand the playoff implications of the teams’ remaining schedules.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-20When news breaks you have more options than just that week's game and the Super Bowl to find value. Jalen Hurts' injury has trickle-down impact on COY, MVP and Win Totals
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-21There are hedging opportunities when taking "to make playoffs" odds because the paths are clear, and you will have opportunities to bet against these teams on the moneyline at plus odds.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-21Be aware that cold weather does not necessarily mean stagnant offenses, in the past 10 years there have been numerous games with 40+ points scored with a temperature below 17 degrees Fahrenheit.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-21If you want to bet the Eagles this week, wait until you hear that Jalen Hurts is officially ruled out.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-21When betting win totals, make sure to consider which teams may have nothing to play for in the final week of the season.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-21Don't look too far down the odds board for the #1 overall pick. The Texans are taking a QB.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-21When handicapping bad weather games, make sure to focus on wind rather than precipitation, the wind affects more areas of the game than rain or snow will.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-21Primetime & standalone games could give an advantage to MVP candidates playing in those games. The Bills are at the Bengals on Monday Night in Week 17.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-21Be careful of using seeding implications in your handicap late in the NFL season. Seeding doesn't matter to all teams like the 49ers.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-21Games with 10+ MPH winds or more have gone 40-23 to the Under (64%). Conference matchups the Under went 32-15 (68%)
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-22Notice when a team isn’t taking advantage of their opportunities to put a team away early. Teams make adjustments and there can be value on the other side if you like the live line.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-22Break down the box score when getting involved with in-game totals. Check out how many yards per play both teams are getting, and how they’re doing in the red zone up to that point.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-22Know which side gets the ball first to begin the second half before getting in on a second half wager. Which side getting the ball is factored into the line that's posted, not just how the game has been playing out.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-22Target QB rushing props if the game is being played in inclement weather.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-22Emotions sometimes play a role in a game and don't minimize that i.e. Steelers against the Raiders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-22Look at Teasers later in the year when totals are lower and lines are sharper.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-22In a week with weather-impacted low totals, going over the grand salami total is a good contrarian angle to look at.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-22Teasing the underdog up in a low total game is the smart math play. This week, the Saints are the best example.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-22Bad weather impacts more than just the side and total on games. Kicking props will be directly impacted as teams won't settle for as many long field goals
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-23Your handicap should never be "a team needs to win this week to keep their playoff hopes alive". If they were a reliable team, they wouldn't be in their current situation.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-23Teams who lost all 3 road games and return home as a favorite has not faired well in that matchup. This applies to the Dolphins this week laying 3.5 points to the Packers.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-23If you can make a case for either side of a matchup to cover, it might be a wise decision to hold off on a pregame wager and make an in-game strategy. Having an in-game wagering game plan before the game starts can help you determine value in that particular matchup, and you can fire away quicker on a number that could be available for a limited time.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-23When a line looks fishy, for example Bengals -3 at the Patriots, its probably too good to be true, and you should look at the other side.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-23Be prepared to look at in-game totals in the inclement weather games. Seeing how accurate the weather reports actually were can lead to opportunities.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-23As bettors, we can be too close to the sun when betting award markets. In-season straw polls give a better sense of each award market.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-23Ross Tucker: Gardner Minshew loves throwing to Dallas Goedert. Look at his props this week as good options
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-24Always shop around. If you can find more betting splits from different books, you can compile more information to make your bet.
Live Bet SundayNFL2022-12-24Don't buy too much into an 'emotional handicap'. The media poses stories meant to sway the publics' true opinion.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-24When betting the prop market, if you can see if players are closing in on highlight numbers or leading the league in a stat category that might be an edge to bet on late in the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-25If you are watching a game featuring a quarterback with a history of making comebacks, do not hesitate to make a live wager if they are trailing in the fourth quarter.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-25Today is good for in-game betting opportunities because it is easier to focus on stand-alone games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-26Stay away from the NFL future market towards the end of the regular season, instead play money line rollovers or individual matchups.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-26If you’re getting down action on NFL teams that have clinched playoff spots these next two weeks, be mindful that they could pull their starters as the game goes on to keep them fresh for the postseason.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-26This late in the season, weather and playoff scenarios are priced into the game lines. The books are just as aware of what each team needs, which teams are more motivated, and which teams are ready for their season to end.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-26If the forecast calls for wind, bet the under early in the week, because by the time the game kicks off news will have spread and value will be lost.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-26As we approach the last few weeks of the season, be very aware of teams' playoff situations before placing a bet. For example, neither the Jaguars or Titans need to win this week.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-26Sometimes, dome teams that are out of postseason contention produce higher scoring i.e. Atlanta Falcons
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-26Making the playoffs is not a team's only motivation. The Colts have plenty to play for tonight. Don't dismiss a team based on their playoff hopes alone.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-26Much like motivation in the 1st hour, you need to know who is playing QB i.e Mike White or Zach Wilson starting for the Jets.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-26With only two weeks left in the season make sure you know each team's playoff implications and associated motivations i.e Jaguars & Titans, their games mean nothing to them this week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-26Factor schedules into your handicap. The Lions were favored at Carolina despite being on their 2nd straight road game and lost to the Panthers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-27Take a look at contract incentives as we approach the final 2 weeks of the NFL season and look for correlated player props.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-27Look for opportunities to hedge game moneylines with make/miss playoff futures odds.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-27Points are worth more in games with low totals, so look to tease up underdogs. (excluding the Titans this week)
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-27The way the NFL season has played out has shown that there is a TON of in season value on NFL futures. The market is volatile in a league where anything can happen. Like Saquon Barkley going from 25/1 to +250 for Comeback POY this week
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-28Do not be afraid to bet ugly games, when both teams are going to be making mistakes, look toward the underdog.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-28When a key offensive player is out, don't necessarily rush to bet the opposite side, however there could be an opportunity to bet the under.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-28Despite there only being 2 games left to the regular season, there are several bettable season-leader markets. Take a look at motivation and upcoming schedules and look for players with plus-odds who have a good shot.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-28Meaningless NFL games can provide a good opportunity to tease up favorites.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-28Beware of betting early in the week during these final NFL regular season games. You never know which teams are going to swap QBs or rest players.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-28Other than just factoring in motivation, try to factor in when they play these games, for example, the Jaguars really don't have to win this week as the last game of the season means more.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-28Don't be so quick to buy into the knee-jerk narratives like the Titans and Jaguars have nothing to play for this week.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-28There is no free money this time of the year so when you look at things like yes/no playoff odds and they look too good to be true, trust us they are not, the sportsbooks have done the math.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-29This late in the season, know what each team needs to clinch a playoff spot and their overall motivation. Some teams may pull their starters in the second half, and you may want to avoid getting involved on an in-game line in those situations.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2022-12-29It’s tough to make money in the long run betting double-digit favorites in the NFL, especially on the road. Take your chances on double-digit dogs if it makes sense to your handicap.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-29It is best to not get cute when betting first TD scorer, the players with short odds have short odds for a reason!
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-29It is best to not get cute when betting first TD scorer, the players with short odds have short odds for a reason!
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-29If you have made it this far in your survivor contest, you need to find a way to monetize!
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-29If you are in a spread pick-em contest and need to make up serious ground, it's the point in the season where you should select the teams you think the fewest people will be picking to catch up.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-29Look to bet unders on player props in these essentially meaningless NFL games, or ones where players likely won’t play the whole game (Cowboys-Titans).
VSiN Big BetsNFL2022-12-29With reports Jalen Hurts could play, tease the Eagles now while you can still get them at -6.5
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-29When playing a teaser, you want those 6 points to be as valuable as possible. The lower the total, the more valuable the teaser.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-29Dallas is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Cowboys are also 7-1 to the OVER in their last eight games.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-29For tonight bet Dallas 1H against the Titans. Currently sitting at -6.5 at DraftKings. Playback 7.5 right before kickoff. 7 is so key.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-30Back-up QB's usually performed well in their first start but when teams start to acquire film on them, they show why they are 2nd sting. This applies to Gardner Minshew and the Eagles this week against the Saints.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2022-12-30Do not get excited to play teasers with more than 2 legs, just keep it simple!
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2022-12-30Teasers have been very good over the last month. Lots of great options this week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-30Broncos-Chiefs may be a stay away game. The Chiefs never seem to stay engaged entirely throughout the game. They play above their competition for a certain point, then they lose interest and let their opponent climb back into the game and don’t cover.
The Lombardi LineNFL2022-12-30Don't assume that teams with a lot to play for will automatically play great, while teams without stakes will play poorly.
A Numbers GameNFL2022-12-30Know motivations of not only side and totals but also in the prop market like Matt Brown said with Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes with the most touchdown passes
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-30Betting on Week 18 lookahead lines now will likely provide the best value. Look at the scenarios for each team before Sunday's games
Follow the MoneyNFL2022-12-30Just because a team needs to win doesn't mean they will. So don't blindly bet that situation or lay a higher number. Don't overrate the must-win factor
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-31If you are looking to play player props, sometimes focus on the coach's interview. Josh McDaniels of the Raiders said that Josh Jacobs(RB) should see a higher volume in touches.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2022-12-31Pay attention to who's actually playing in tomorrow's games. The Jaguars will play starters but the question is for how long. If you want to play that game maybe look to play the Jaguars 1Q ML.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2022-12-31When you get late into the season in a football contest and your trying to make up ground. Try to pick games with half points because this will help you jump other teams if you are behind.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2022-12-31If you see teams that are in a must win situation, don't blindly bet these teams. Late in the season, if they are in a must win, they are there for a reason.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-01Week 18 can provide live betting opportunities, unlike any other week. Other playoff teams winning or losing can cause teams to bench starters in the second half.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-01Results from Saturday could determine some of the strategies for some teams on Sunday for the playoffs.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-01When analyzing metrics, take a look at play selection when you're trying to come up with a predicted value for any team.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-01Whenever a head coaching change is made mid-season, the locker room might be fired up to get their new head coach their first win. The Broncos didn't win but covered their point spread with ease.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-01Jalen Hurts has an injury that could potentially lead him to dislocate his shoulder. The Eagles might want to sit him one more week so they have him for the Playoffs. et week we could see Gardner Minshew as the QB again. Grab the point spread now if you like Commanders because the number might be bet away from your liking.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-01Motivation is surely a factor coming into week 18. Some teams are playing for a playoff spot, some are playing for a better seed, and some teams are fighting for the 1st round bye. You may want to bet against the team who are in must -win situations. If they were good teams, they wouldn't be in this scenario.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-01Raiders' QB Stidham has been working with Josh McDaniels for much of his career. There may not be a huge dropoff from Derek Carr.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-01The betting market has continued to refuse to adjust its perception of the Tampa Bay Bucs. They are 3-11-1 ATS but consistently have numbers move toward them.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-01-01This has been a season where underdogs have covered at a rate of 55% but buyer beware these last 2 weeks. Some teams are simply going through the motions, trying to get out of Dodge as fast as they can without risking injury and missing next season’s paychecks.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-01The Jaguars have lost seven straight games outright as a favorite, tied for the fourth-longest streak in the Super Bowl era. Four of those losses came against Houston.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-01Packers (-3.5) vs Vikings will be just the 10th time in the last 20 years a team under .500 SU will be favored over a team with an 80% or better win percentage in December or later. The previous nine teams listed as favorites went 9-0 SU and 8-0-1 ATS.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-02Lay off of teasers for week 18. Teams are resting players and that increases volatility in lines posted. You don't want to bet on lines with high volatility.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-02Take a look at this weekend's NFL schedule because some games may be meaningless pending some results. Wait to bet on these types of games.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-02Look at which players have production incentives in their contracts and try to implement these players into your prop bet card.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-02This is the most important time of the NFL season to keep tabs on news about who is playing and who is resting starters.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-02Tonight's Bills-Bengals game can affect Week 18 lines. So handicap those games based on both results.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-02Buffalo is 15-5-2 ATS when the spread is between +3 and -3 since the start of 2019, tied with Baltimore for the best cover percentage over that span.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-02Try to find a trusted source or process in your NFL handicap and stick to it. Do your best to avoid all of the noise from entering into a handicap you trust.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-02If you can make a correlated parlay this week make one.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-02When it doesn't involve the #1 seed bettors oftentimes will overrate the motivation to get the higher seeds beyond the first seed i.e #2 & #3 seeds.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-02With the NFL futures market always shifting week to week, think about going into next year with a few anchor bets in the preseason and add to your portfolio throughout the year
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-02Know the motivation for teams before placing Week 18 bets
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-04Listen to coaches' press conferences in NFL Week 18 as to whether teams that are not fighting for playoff seeding will play or sit their starters.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-04Make sure to consider all playoff scenarios when betting NFL this weekend. For example, a Cowboys 1H bet might make more sense this week than a full-game bet, because they could be scoreboard-watching for the Eagles.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-04When you handicap the last week of the season, make sure you know who is starting and who is going to play the whole game as many teams might only play half the game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-04If you are handicapping week 18, teams that HAVE to win against teams that don't have anything to play for are 41% straight up. So don't blindly bet teams that just have to win.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-04With teams that have clinched a playoff spot, but can’t move up or down in seeding, be careful involving them in bets. Teams will likely be playing backups, but keep in mind how much better those backups have gotten from the preseason. - Mike Pritchard
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-05Look at underdogs in NFL Week 18 if you suspect a team might bench starters in the second half.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-05Be aware of contract incentives and milestones heading into week 18 when betting NFL player props.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-05If you are still alive in spread pick-em contests and you need to make up ground, try to find picks you think will be very popular, and go the other way.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-05Make sure to compare different NFL betting options this week. For example, moneyline compared to yes/no playoff markets, compared to parlay, etc.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-05Handicapping NFL week 18 is a lot like the preseason; information is king. Bettors who can get in front of the info on who will play can have an edge.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-05In week 18, try to pick out the games that you know each team will try to compete. It's hard to handicap a game with different levels of motivation for each team.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-05You don't always have to take the other side to hedge. Look for opportunities to middle. Like having Raiders Under 6.5 Wins, you can bet Raiders +10 vs the Chiefs and potentially win both bets
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-05Alternate win totals are the way to bet the NFL. You can get plus money in this market and they come in consistently
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-06Teams who are 'win and were in' scenarios have only won around 40% of the game in week 18. If they are in this scenario this late in the season they can't be that good of a team.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-06It’s important this week to really watch these NFL Week 18 matchups to see when teams either pull players or mail it in altogether. Value can still be had on the in-game market, but watching how teams manage their rosters this week could provide some value.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-06Outside of player incentives, look for players who are going into free agency and are trying to make sure they have good tape before entering the market.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-06Be careful overvaluing teams in "must win" situations in NFL week 18, these motivations are built into spreads.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-06Look to bet the Cowboys in the first quarter or the first half. They will be scoreboard-watching might be able to take it easy in the 2nd half.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-06The Ravens at Bengals (-10) game spread is big, but the battles between these two teams are always close and even though the Ravens appear to be outmanned they seem to find a way to make it a close game.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-06Hold off on betting the Lions-Packers game until you know what happens in the Seahawks game. The Lions could have nothing to play for if the Seahawks win.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-06Consider 1H plays in some of the games where teams might be scoreboard watching. Teams like the Cowboys, Vikings, 49ers.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-06Keep in mind the different motivations for these NFL teams in the final week. Some looking ahead to playoffs, some to next season, and some to the draft. Need to make sure you know everything involved before making any bets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-06Be careful betting a big spread like Eagles (-14) vs Giants this week. The Eagles will get the lead early and appear to cover, but once they have control of the game, they will join the Giants in their retreat, opening for a back door cover.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-06Look for live betting opportunities this week in the NFL. There’s a chance of teams pulling starters mid-game, or keeping them in longer than expected because of playoff seeding possibilities.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-06Be careful betting week 18. We have backups in, games with playoff teams vs non-playoff teams, etc. Lots of different scenarios that could lead to odd games. Plenty of good games to bet on the following week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-06Betting markets will be ahead of the breaking news this week. Be sure to monitor to get the best number possible
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-06Know the house rules before placing your bets. Not all books are grading win totals the same after the Bills and Bengals cancellation
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-07There is some big point spreads this week. Maybe consider taking a 1Q or 1H bet with the big favorites. They might sit their starters later in the game.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-07Motivation is a key handicapping factor for week 18. Some teams may be looking forward to their vacation instead of their last game of the season. Cardinals, and Browns and in this situation.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-07Mike Vrabel has spent the last two weeks preparing the Titans and Josh Dobbs to play the Jaguars. He'll have a great game plan and they'll be in a position to push Jacksonville to their limit.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-07Be careful betting week 18 NFL player props based on contract incentives - especially in must-win games like Titans vs Jaguars. Teams and players will not be focused on contract incentives in high-leverage games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-07Titans' HC Mike Vrabel is 21-9-1 ATS when he's getting three or more. He has won 19 of those 31 games SU.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-07With point spreads over 6 points in Saturday's games, it sets up to make correlated bets. If you like the underdog, consider playing the under and vice versa.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08If you feel there is a dominant conference in the NFL playoffs, consider betting a team in the weaker conference to win their conference championship and/or the stronger conference to be the “AFC/NFC Winning Conference” in the Super Bowl.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08Be sure to consider the math on NFL playoff futures, as there could be more value on a money line rollover.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08Consider team form heading into the NFL playoffs, as teams limping into the playoffs teams typically don't make a big run. i.e. Baltimore Ravens, Dallas Cowboys
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-08a good handicapping angle is a revenge. Sometimes you might hear a player or coach seeking revenge on the team they are playing against. This motivation usually carries over for the entire game.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-08Some times there is a point tax on teams like the Patriots, just because of Bill Belechick
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-08The Seahawks will earn a playoff bid with a win vs the Rams, but they are 1-6 ATS in their past seven games. The betting market may be overvaluing Seattle.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-08The betting market tends to overreact to team's motivation in the final week. Teams with something to play for can be overvalued and teams without anything to play for are undervalued.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-01-08The Giants may be getting too many points today vs the Eagles. Starting QB Davis Webb was a 3rd RD draft pick and the Eagles have no reason to win by margin.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-08Keep an eye out for late pregame line movements based off results in earlier games. For example, if the Ravens win vs the Bengals, the Chargers would have to win to lock up the #5 seed so the number will move toward LA.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-08Six straight Browns' games have gone under the total including all five Deshaun Watson starts. Steelers-Browns total is set at 40.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-09Handicap the prior matchups for the Super Wild Card Weekend games, as all games are rematches.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-09The 49ers, Bengals, Bills, Chiefs and Jaguars are all headed into the NFL playoffs on a win streak of 5 or more games. These teams are peaking at the right time, the Super Bowl winner could come from this group.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-09Yes, “Guessing Lines”, is a show that we do, but it is a good practice for new NFL bettors at home too. Start making your own spreads and see how your numbers compare to the oddsmakers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10If you have an inclination that an injured quarterback will or will not return for an upcoming game, bet the line in advance accordingly.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10Bigger games should not equate to bigger bets. There is no need to increase your unit size because there are fewer games in the NFL playoffs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10Be cautious taking double-digit underdogs in the NFL playoffs, because the favorite is in a must-win situation.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-10Even if there is injury uncertainty heading into wild card weekend, look at line movement because it could tell you indicate if a QB will play or not.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-10Betting a Super Bowl MVP candidate right now can be a better way to get a price on a short-shot team you think can win. Ex. Josh Allen is +550 to win SB MVP and the Bills are +400 to win the game.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-10Take everything you hear right now about the NFL Draft with a grain of salt. Some people will make predictions hoping to get interactions online, and some NFL brass are sending smoke screens.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-10Be careful with draft info smoke screens. It’s a great event to bet, but you have to be able to sift thru what’s real info from reporters and what’s just talk from teams.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-10Ross Tucker: Dallas is the biggest threat to the Eagles and 49ers in the NFC. They are currently +500 to win the conference and 12/1 to win the Super Bowl
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-11The narrative of the difficulty an NFL team has beating another team 3 times in the same season is overblown and not statistically significant.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-11Handicap regular season strength of schedule heading into the NFL playoffs, as teams with harder schedules tend to perform better.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-11Getting involved in the ‘Next Coach’ betting market can be valuable if you stay on top of news and information coming out of those camps. Also, highlighting their roster and what kind of coach they need. Example being, a team with a young QB going for an offensive minded coach.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-11Be careful of early week line moves in the playoffs, there is a lot of injury information that will not be released until later in the week, some moves may be premature.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-11Keep tabs on the NFL Draft markets at your sportsbook daily. They will often add things without announcement and you can get great value on markets like positional totals, team to take a position, etc.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-11Shop around in golf. Perhaps more than in any other sport, you can get drastically different numbers depending on which book you're at.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-11The outright winner in the NFL Wild Card Round has a 54-7-1 record ATS in the last 62 games. So if looking at dogs, make sure to play the ML a bit and if looking at faves, don’t get cute with parlays and teasers this week, just lay the points.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-11Make sure to shop around different markets even within the same book. Can find good bets where others aren’t looking often. i.e. Stage of Elimination bet with Bucs and Cowboys.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-11Quarterbacks starting their first playoff game in the NFL and playing as an underdog are 5-21 SU & 7-18-1 ATS (28%) since ’06
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-11Wildcard underdogs the last 5 years are 16-8 ATS (67%) and dogs with the line move in their favor are 16-7 (70%) ATS. When vs a team that missed the playoffs a year ago they are 10-1 ATS. This applies to JAX
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-12Dogs win outright or favorites cover during Wild Card weekend even more than the regular season. The spread doesn't come into play 88% of the time.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-12Do not overreact to early reports of poor weather.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-12Don't over-bet now that your NFL futures have cashed. You likely have more money in your account than you did just recently. Keep your pace.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-12Check out stage of elimination props vs this week’s moneylines. For example if you like the Bucs to beat the Cowboys, you can likely get a better price on “Cowboys to lose in the Wild Card Round” than the Buccaneers ML this week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-12NFL head coaches call games differently in the playoffs from the regular season. HCs with playoff experience have a significant advantage over those without.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-12Teasers can be great bets in the NFL, but make sure you know house rules on how they are paid out with ties.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-12Make sure to compare Super Bowl MVP odds with team odds to win the super bowl. Some MVP bets might make more sense than others.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-13You want to play teams who have been peaking since December. The Buccaneers are in this category, while the Cowboys seemed to regress since December. The cowboys are favorites on Monday however.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-13 During NFL Wild Card weekend, look for potential value on betting under the in-game total in early blowouts with teams potentially pulling players and playing more conservative, trying to stay healthy and move on to the next round.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-13Be weary of over betting on spots that seem "too obvious"
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-13Do not overvalue early season match ups between teams meeting in the playoffs.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-13Make sure your NFL props correlate with how you think the game will go. Don't bet a bunch of Seahawks overs if you think they're going to get crushed by the 49ers.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-13Be careful with things like season-long trends. ATS records can be informative but you need to take into account who they played and at what point in the season they played.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-13Take NFL Week 18 results with a grain of salt when handicapping into the playoffs. Effort level, motivation, and player availability are much different for the last game of the season.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-13If you've waited this long to make a bet for Wild Card Weekend, you should keep waiting until all of the injuries are clear - especially at QB (ie Baltimore Ravens, Dolphins).
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-13Make sure to keep an eye on weather reports for games this weekend, but also make sure you’re not overvaluing the weather's impact on games.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-13Trends are not automatic locks. Trends don't pay the rent. Be careful relying too heavily on these angles.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-14Double-digit favorites in the NFL playoffs have covered 11 consecutive times. -Ralph Michaels of WagerTalk
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-14It’s been a season of underdogs and unders in the NFL. Underdogs finish the regular season 141-118-8 ATS (54.4%) Unders: 149-119-3 (55.6%) Prime-time Unders: 35-19-1 (64.8%)
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-14When looking at Player Props, make sure to handicap the game and try to figure out what the philosophy of a team is. If you know that they will run the QB, that's a good opportunity to take his rushing number over.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-14If you like a team to win the Super Bowl, consider betting them on the ML and rolling over the bets round-by-round as opposed to placing a future. It often increases value and gives you an out.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-14With no playoff experience for Saturday's starting QBs, it makes the playoff experience for head coaches all the more valuable - especially when there's a major discrepancy (ie Doug Pederson vs Brandon Staley).
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-14Doug Pederson is 5-1 ATS in the playoffs, including 5-0 ATS and 4-1 SU as an underdog. Jacksonville is 7-5 outright as an underdog this season. One more win would match the most underdog wins in a season.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-14Teams that have balance on both sides of the ball can advance in the playoffs. When handicapping these matchups, favor teams with balance over just an explosive offense and / or lockdown defense.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-14The spread for the Bills/Dolphins game has been bet out of a good number. Maybe wait till an in-game number if you want to bet on this game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-15Handicap coaches in the NFL. They can make bonehead calls that hinder their team's success.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-15Do not wait until the last minute to look at or bet on, next week's games in the playoffs because some of the best numbers you will get are early in the week.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-15Be aware of live wagering. Wehn a team goes up big to start the first half, maybe consider taking the point with the underdog, since they will fight more to win, rather than the other team fighting to stay ahead.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-15The Buccaneers as an underdog have been 0-3 this season along with being 1-6 ATS at home. They are a 2.5-point underdog tomorrow against the Cowboys.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-15Bet in-game lines only when commercials come on. The books are ahead of the TV streams.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-15In a game with a big pregame favorite, the second half is often lower scoring than the first in blowouts. Consider checking out the in-game total for the second half and betting the under.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-15When live betting a game, make a plan and set a buy point with a specific number you're looking for on the side or total.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-01-15Quarterbacks in their first playoff game are just 17-40 SU & 17-39-1 ATS (30.4%) since ’04 when matched up against an opposing QB NOT in their first playoff game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-15The Giants were a league-best 13-4 ATS this season, including 7-1 ATS on the road. New York has covered four straight games and four straight road games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-15For the first time since 2009, all of the Wild Card games are rematches. You can use these previous results in your handicap, but make sure to note different starting QBs, and other injuries.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-16Weigh out the disadvantages and advantages of playing the ML and rolling it over for the next two games, rather than playing the line posted on the futures board.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-16If you like an underdog with a line posted at a critical number; bet it early because it will likely move.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-16If you know where a number is going, I.E. you know the total will go up, you should take the opening number and have it in pocket, you can get a middle with an under later... or let it ride with the best of it.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-16When a team tells you who they are, believe them, don't expect a magical transition just because your bet needs it.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-16It is often said, but few people actually take the time to line shop, it is worth having multiple account so you can always get the best number.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-16Be careful betting on Tom Brady's rushing prop tonight set at 0.5 yard. His net rushing yards this season in -1 and has rushed over a yard only six times this season.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-16If you think the Bucs are going to win tonight and win big, a correlated play would be Dak Prescott throwing a pick. He was tied for the most picks thrown in the NFL this season
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-16If betting Super Bowl MVP, make sure to compare odds to the team’s odds to win. Some bets will make sense to make, some will make more sense to just bet the team to win.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-16Keep in mind for games in future playoffs that games involving divisional rivals almost always have a better chance of being close games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-16Balanced teams and balanced offenses win NFL playoff games. The Buccaneers are at the bottom of the league in every rushing statistic - putting all of the pressure on Tom Brady and the passing game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-16Tom Brady is 7-3 ATS in his career as a postseason underdog, with four straight outright wins. Brady has never been a home underdog in a playoff game.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-16Look at Daniel Jones rushing props this week. Has had heavy usage his past two starts. 17 carries yesterday, 11 against the Colts.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-16If you think a team can win the Super Bowl, you can currently get a better number on a player from that team to win MVP
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-17Try to find a few early positions you like on NFL draft position props, these markets are fluid so there are lots of opportunities to middle.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-17IF you are closing out a teaser with a standalone game, consider taking the opposite side at the current spread. You should be getting at least 6 points of middle, which greatly reduces your risk and increases your potential profit.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-17Don’t bet preseason short shots to win a futures bet. It’s not worth tying up your money for that long without a bigger payoff.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-17Compare Super Bowl MVP odds with team odds to win the Super Bowl. You’ll see which market makes more sense to bet on.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-17Market moves can give you an indication on injuries. For example, the Eagles moving off the 7 to 7.5 instead of 6.5, can tell you a bit of where bettors think Jalen Hurts is at.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-18Do not take a super short future price in this stage of the NFL playoffs, it may be better to make a manual moneyline parlay.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-18Know your coaches tendencies coming off a bye week, some teams start slow and take time to get going, others come out firing.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-18Stage of elimination props are a great place to hedge a futures bet you might want to get off of.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-18Courtesy Mike Pritchard: The extra time off absolutely matters for the 49ers this week. It’s not as much the extra rest for SF, but it’s the lack of prep time for the Cowboys.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-18Appelbaum: Since 2003, 1-Seeds in the Divisional Round are 13-25-1 ATS (34%) and Kansas City is just 11-18 ATS (38%) when -8.5 or more
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-18Appelbaum: Giants and Bengals are trendy underdogs but the lines have moved against them. NY from 7-7.5 with 70% of bets, CIN 7-7.5 with 72% of bets
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-19Wait to bet any line that is half point off a critical number (3, 7) in NFL playoffs. The value gained if the line moves onto the critical number is greater than value lost if the line moves the other way.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-19The lines for Saturday's games are perfect for teasers on the Chiefs and Eagles. Expect the line to move based off teaser protection before kickoff. Don't wait if you want to tease.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-19Shop the derivative markets when playing futures. For example, the Chiefs to win the AFC is available at +130, but an AFC West team to win the AFC is +145.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-19If you like teams like the Bengals or the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl, consider mixing in some exact bets. Can get some long odds if involving those teams.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-19Be careful betting Bryce Young now IF interested in him going #1. With pro days and combine coming up, a lot of experts think his size could hold him back. Might be able to get better odds after combine.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-19Beware of midweek betting head fakes on current lines. You never know when trusted money can move a line late
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-20The Bengals had trouble with their offensive line in their last game against the Ravens. Look for them to fix those spots before they play the Bills. The Bills are also not a high-blitzing defense.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-20You don't have to bet every game. If a line seems too fishy, maybe wait for an in-game wagering opportunity rather than placing a bet on a number thats been bet on a lot.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-202 of the remaining NFL teams have significant home field advantages thanks to the crowd, the Bills and the Chiefs. Do not underestimate that factor when betting those games this weekend.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-20Remember, you don’t need to fire pregame on any of these NFL games. Betting them live might be a better decision this week, especially with injury issues like the O-line in CIN, Jalen Hurts’ shoulder, etc.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-20The public may be overreacting to the Wild Card Round in the Bills-Bengals matchup. Last week the Bills struggled to beat an injury riddled Miami team, and no one is worried, yet the Bengals struggled and are penalized.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-20If you’re in the camp of thinking teams like the Giants and Vikings far exceeded expectations this season, look at possible under on their win total for next season.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-20If you do have bets on the Bengals, keep an eye on their offensive line early. If it looks bad, you can always live bet off your position.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-20Use previous matchups as a starting point in your handicap of the divisional round, but don't put too much weight on it. Focus instead on matchups and current form.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-20Joe Burrow is 13-2 ATS as and underdog of 3 or more points. He is getting 5.5 points on Sunday
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-21Maybe look towards betting on the Bills in the future market instead of laying the 5.5 points as a favorite or the ML -230. The Bills to win the Super Bowl is +350
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-21A team that didn't look good last week as a big favorite, usually comes back strong the next week. This applies to the Bills/Bengals game.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-21There may be an opportunity to get a great number on the Bengals in-game tomorrow. With the spread drifting toward Buffalo, an early Bills score could tee up a nice number on Cincinnati.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-21Doug Pederson is 6-0 ATS and 5-1 outright as a playoff underdog.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-01-21Jacksonville is 8-5 outright as an underdog this season, tied for the most underdog wins in a single season in the Super Bowl era.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-21Don't underestimate the importance of the kicking game in covering a number. A missed FG is the same as a turnover.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-21Lines don't always move because of action or sharp opinion on a side. When there's an opportunity for a 6-point teaser to go through a few key numbers, books will often move for teaser protection.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-22If you like the Bengals, you might want to look to play them now before any news about Patrick Mahomes gets released.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-22Both #1 seeds are still alive. That means they have been home the longest amongst all playoff teams. The Chiefs opened as the shortest favorite next week.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-22Be active on social media when you want to find out player availability. Patrick Mahomes will be monitored all week long, and the line will fluctuate based on the news that's released about him.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-01-22No. 2 seeds have been arguably more effective than No. 1s when it comes to protecting home-field advantage in the divisional round, going 25-11 SU and 20-16 ATS (55.6%) over the last 18 playoff seasons.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-22Zeke Elliott's production has been way down recently. The Cowboys like giving him the ball in goal-to-go situations, but it'll likely be Pollard who gets the majority of the carries.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-22Injured Bengals’ OT Jonah Williams allowed 13 sacks of Burrow this year, the most of any OL in the NFL. Will the dropoff really be that significant?
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-22For today's NFL games, make sure to shop around. There are both 6s and 5.5s in Bills-Bengals along with 4s and 3.5s in 49ers-Cowboys in the market. If you like the underdog, take the bigger number and vice versa.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-22Yesterday's Giants-Eagles game reinforced an important principle in betting playoff games. Focus on how teams and players match up as opposed to how these teams played in their previous games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-23Don’t force bets on the sides and totals of these last 3 NFL games. There will be plenty of opportunities in the prop market.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-23There is little value with quarterbacks in the Super Bowl MVP market, consider players at other positions if making a future bet.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-23Line movement is also affected by teaser exposure, numbers like 1.5 and 2.5 early in the week may not stick around because people will tease them up.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-23Don't be afraid to look further down the odds board for Super Bowl MVP. Even with just four teams left there are very bettable players at nearly 100/1 (George Kittle)
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-23Look to bet Super Bowl futures in-season. Rarely preseason are you really going to be able to get a much better number than during the season.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-23If you want to bet on the Bengals this week, do it now. This line likely only moves one way because of the Mahomes injury.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-23Balanced attacks are the way to go on offense in the NFL playoffs. Philadelphia and San Francisco both do a great job of avoiding being one-dimensional.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-23Shop around on odds to win the Super Bowl, prices will fluctuate greatly across the board based off individual books' liability in the Super Bowl futures market.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-23If you’re waiting on an actionable Mahomes injury update before betting Chiefs, don’t hold your breath.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-23Try not to get sucked into mass narratives and overrate things like the Bengals' offensive line injuries.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-23When betting Super Bowl futures next year, remember that defense doesn't win championships anymore. The final four team's offensive ranks in the regular season: 1 (KC), 3 (PHI), 6 (SF), 7 (CIN)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-24Don't increase your unit size for bigger games, maintain bankroll management discipline!
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-24Teasers can be more valuable in the teasers because the spreads will be even more tighter with the concentration of money.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-24Cold weather mainly impacts the kicking game when it comes to point totals. Beware of the over in the Chiefs-Bengals game, it's supposed to be very cold.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-24The total and side will likely be pretty correlated in the 49ers-Eagles game. If the Niners win, it will likely be a lower-scoring game, and if the Eagles win, it will likely be higher-scoring.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-24If you like the Bengals or Eagles to win the Super Bowl, at least sprinkle some bets on Burrow or Hurts in the Super Bowl MVP market at longer odds.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-24If you want value on non-QBs to win Super Bowl MVP, the 49ers have a lot of options deeper on the board
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-25Find spots where the market is over reacting to injury news, early in the week situations may be over exaggerated.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-25If you want to bet head-to-head player props that are hard to predict how many attempts they will get (ex. Jake Elliott vs Robbie Gould made FGs), just go with the player who is getting the plus-money.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-25Even though there are only 4 teams left, there's still great value on the QBs to win Super Bowl MVP which offer better odds than the team to win the game.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-25Try not to overreact to NFL injury reports this week. It doesn’t exactly benefit teams to be 100% honest on those right now.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-25Don’t read too much into the odds when it comes to award voting. Some of us who look at this stuff every day can get blinded by that.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-26Ride the team that you think is going to win it all on the moneyline, rather than play the futures market.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-26Be weary of waiting on a number, you may end up getting something worse by waiting, not better.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-26With all four possible Super Bowl matchup look-ahead lines at PK, make your Super Bowl winner bets now, while you can get plus-money on all four teams.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-26If you feel strongly about who will win the Super Bowl, you can get great value in exactas by betting them to beat either potential opponent.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-26If you’re looking to play Super Bowl Exactas, just make sure you compare each to basic team odds to win the Super Bowl.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-26Trust your year-long numbers, we have 3 data points that show Chiefs would be -5 or -5.5 with a healthy Mahomes. Don't overreact to a one-week sample size.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-26For us as handicappers, we need to not assume whether Mahomes is healthy or not. We must bet the game as if Mahomes is a full go—then make “in-game” adjustments.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-26If you’re looking to bet Bengals, just wait at this point. The line has moved Kansas City’s way and likely will a bit more before it closes.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-26Make sure your accounts have money in them to live bet Chiefs-Bengals depending on how Patrick Mahomes looks
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-27If you like the underdog, it is often smart to wait as long as possible to make your bet because books will see an influx of favorite money.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-27Be weary of teasing through zero because zero is not a number the game can end on, so one of the six points you are getting is wasted.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-27Dig deep into all of the props your book have available. Sometimes you can find the same prop in 2 different sections, but with different odds.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-27Keep in mind that all three meetings between the Bengals and Chiefs over the past three years have combined for 51 points or more.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-27Know how your teaser bets get graded if a leg pushes. Places handle that differently, and if it means a push or losing bet, you’re going to want to pay to play teasers that go up to 8.5 instead of 8.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-27As the prop markets get more and more popular, take advantage of the differences in prices / numbers from book to book. Shop around for props just like you would shop for sides and totals.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-27The betting market is telling you something in the Eagles-49ers game. The money is all over Philadelphia, and the vig is inching towards -3 but the line has not yet moved from -2.5.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-27Know if your teaser bets push or lose if a leg pushes. If it’s a loss, you will want to make sure you are teasing up to a half point.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-27If you’re leaning Bengals' side, you don’t necessarily have to fire pregame. You can wait to see what Mahomes looks like and then jump in live if he’s struggling with his ankle.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-28The Bengals' offensive line benefited last week from the poor weather in Buffalo. It's harder to get the spring from a defensive end in poor weather. We might see the true Bengals O Line vs the Chiefs. -Paul Bovi
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-01-28if you are undecided about on betting the AFC Championship game. Wait to bet an in-game number based on the first couple of drives.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-28This is the first time since 1997 that both conference championships are under the key number of 3. Last time this happened, both underdogs won outright.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-28When your QB is injured in-game, you have to come up with a workaround quickly. However, when you know what your QBs limitations are you can gameplan around them. Andy Reid is too smart to not have a plan for how to handle Mahomes' injury.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-29You can still find a bet on the Super Bowl even if you don't like the side or total. The Super Bowl has the biggest prop market of the season, you should be able to find one fun prop to bet on.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-29Big games (The Super Bowl) do not mean bet more money than you're comfortable with losing. Just because it's the only game on, doesn't mean you have to go crazy betting it.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-29Be aware of some lingering injuries whenever a betting player props because they could really easily reaggravate the lingering issue.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-01-29The Super Bowl is the most bet-on game, if you really like a number, jump on it quickly because it will more than likely move. Sometimes maybe not be in your favor.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-01-29Hosts favored by less than 7-points are 15-5 SU & 13-7 ATS (65%) in their L20 tries. Those games have also gone OVER the total at a 13-6-1 (68.4%) rate in that span.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-29If you can find a Patrick Mahomes rushing prop, consider taking a small bet on the OVER - anticipating a market overreaction to his ankle injury.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-01-29Last week, the Bengals' OL injuries were discussed heavily before their matchup with the Bills. Those injuries are still there. Do not let their success last week allow you to forget it.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-29Both the Eagles and the 49ers want to play from in front. If either team gets out to an early lead, it may be difficult for the opponent to come back - especially with rookie QB Brock Purdy.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-29Kansas City is 7-11 ATS this season. However, the Chiefs are 2-2 ATS this year when the line is in the +3 to -3 range.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-01-30Try and avoid correlative betting a lot of your Super Bowl props. Yes, if the game goes your way you’ll possibly have a big night, but you can also get burned and lose more than you should if the game goes against you. Spread out your bets and create a diverse portfolio.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-30Be careful with player props, there are a lot of variables that could impact the results such as injuries and a change of game script.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-30SET YOUR OWN PROP NUMBERS BEFOE BETTING
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-30Another weekend of great opportunities for NFL live betting opportunities. You should enter most games with live betting opportunities in mind. (i.e. how will Mahomes look) BUT be able to react quickly to injuries (I.e. Purdy injury)
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-30The Eagles have yet to have to play their best football so far in the playoffs - it may be the easiest road to the Super Bowl in a long time. This could come back to bite them vs Kansas City.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-01-30The Super Bowl is the most efficient betting market of the year - evidenced by the quick adjustment to the opening line last night. Don't expect too much movement throughout the week unless there's breaking news.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-01-30You are betting numbers, not teams. If you followed the money on Super Bowl line movement you could have set yourself up nicely for the big game
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-31Do not eliminate betting on Super Bowl props due to heavy juice.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-31Take a look at the exact margin prop in the Super Bowl, as 7 out of the last 20 Super Bowls have landed on 3.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-01-31Move on Super Bowl props quickly, there will be a lot of action and value will be taken by the market faster than regular season games.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-01-31It takes a lot more than a coach to turn a team around. Beware of betting on Sean Payton and the Broncos just yet.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-01-31Take a look at a team's salary cap and see if they can make a major move to trade for a QB like Aaron Rodgers and make an according move with the futures market.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-31Make sure to shop and compare Super Bowl props just like you would with any other bet. Also, keep in mind situations where it might make more sense to bet something like a specific player prop maybe more than a Super Bowl Prop.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-01-31People often think the “team to score three times” in a row prop is mispriced. It’s not.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-01Do not bet too much on exotic Super Bowl props, a lot of the markets have an aggressive hold.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-01The Travis Kelce Receiving Yards number will likely increase soon. If you like the over, bet it now.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-01Make sure to compare some of the super bowl props that look similar. One might be longer odds, but there’s usually a good reason why. Come up yourself with how a path to the game will play out, and how certain props do or do not fit it.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-01There might not be an exact bet to make on this now, but just keep in mind for offseason bets, that there’s a better chance than yesterday that Aaron Rodgers is NOT retiring. He won’t want to enter the HOF in the same class as Brady.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-01Sharps bet on more negative money and "No" on Super Bowl props than plus money and "Yes." There are more variables working in favor of the sharp's side
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-02-02When you’re walking up to place a bet at the sportsbook counter to place a bunch of Super Bowl wagers, write down the rotation number to tell the ticket writers. There’s so many different bets available for this game, it’s a tough ask to assume writers will have every single one of them memorized. Make the process easier for them and yourself.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-02Look at cross sport props in the Super Bowl, they are often the best value on the expanded Super Bowl prop board
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-02Adam Burke: "Addition by subtraction" - when betting Super Bowl props, have more minus bets than plus bets, betting a little to win a lot is great (safety, OT, etc), but there's a reason those are long shots.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-02If you haven’t made a bet yet on the Super Bowl, no need to rush. Wait for more injury info, especially on the KC side.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-02In the long run, the Super Bowl is just one game in a year. Don't over bet it simply because it's the Super Bowl.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-02If you want to bet an Over for a player prop in the Super Bowl, you should bet it now because the number will only go up due to casual bettors inflating this number come later on in the week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-02The Super Bowl is the one event where betting favorites on some props is the way to go
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-03Super Bowl Props will likely be posted sometime early next week if they haven't already been. Don't bet on them right away unless you believe that line might not be available later. Wait to see if professionals agree with you and wait for a slight line movement.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-03The Super Bowl isn't the only game to bet on. A lot of lines this week will be stale because the focus isn't totally on all other sports.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-03You don’t have to bet the entire menu of Super Bowl props. Be selective and fire away on the plays you’re the most confident in.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-03Don’t over-bet during the Super Bowl just because there are so many markets. Plan out what you want to bet, and then only bet the ones you feel really good about.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-03Make sure your props correlate to how you think the game will go. If you think it will be a high-scoring game. Don’t bet a bunch of unders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-03There can be some pretty wide discrepancies on prop numbers and vig, shop around and you can create an opportunity for some pretty wide middles.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-03The Chiefs-Titans game is a good comp for Kansas City's matchup with the Eagles. The Titans defensive line is the closest thing KC has seen to the Eagles' front. In the Titans game, Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 68 times.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-03If you’re betting player props, overs - for the most part - have value now and unders will have more value closer to the game.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-04For the Super Bowl, make sure you have an app for betting. You don't want to get stuck in line at the counters behind the public.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-04Don't correlate all the props you like on one ticket. The more you correlate the more your exposing yourself to risk.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-04Last year's Eagles-Chiefs game may not be a great comparison to use in your Super Bowl handicap. Instead, look at a game like Chiefs-Titans earlier in the year. The Titans have a comparable defensive front to the Eagles and put together an effective game plan to limit the Chiefs offense.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-04Most teams have size thresholds for positions like QB in the draft room. It doesn't mean a small player like Bryce Young can't get a good grade, just not an elite one on many teams' boards. Consider that before you bet on the No. 1 pick.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-05Be cautious about overusing trends in your historical Super Bowl analysis, as the players and teams are all different and the sample size is too small.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-02-05These Super Bowl side and total markets are pretty efficient, so consider looking at some props that allow you to be a range of points. For example, with a total at 50.5, it makes sense to take the total to land 50-55 at +475 for a small bet.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-02-05The majority of the handle for the Super Bowl will come relatively late, ramping up a few days before the game. Expect this action to alter the money line prices if not the spread.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-05The Chiefs have FOUR rookie DBs with Trent McDuffie, Joshua Williams, Jaylen Watson, and Bryan Cook. If the Chiefs D focuses on pass rush and leaves the DBs to play man-to-man, the Eagles' pass catchers have the advantage.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-05With so many prop options available for the Super Bowl, it’s important not to contradict yourself. Create a game “script” and bet accordingly.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-06Hold off betting Super Bowl player prop unders until right before kickoff.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-02-06Break it up when you’re handicapping Super Bowl props. The menu is massive and can be overwhelming. Focus on player props first, then index props next, etc. Keep yourself organized.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-02-06Everyone wants to risk a little to win a lot, but when you’re selecting your props for the Super Bowl, look at playing some favorites. Set a threshold of how big of a favorite you’re willing to play, and add some variety to your bets.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-06Do not lay juice at the sportsbook if you are playing heads or tails on the coin toss.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-06Make sure your same-game parlays correlate to how you think the game is going to go. All parts of a parlay need to make sense with each other.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-06Super Bowl prop over/under numbers are constantly shifting. Keep your eye on them constantly to get the best number/juice.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-06Study prop bets before you bet them. Some shops may offer 'bad numbers'. Just because you find a prop you like doesn't mean it's the best price out there.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-06New users get enhanced betting promos for the Super Bowl. If you want to sign up for a betting app... now is the best time to sign up.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-07Consider head-to head player props based on your handicap of the game script.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-07Consider referee trends when handicapping the Super Bowl.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-07Look to middle player prop markets, there will be a lot of movement on the day of the super bowl.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-07If you want to bet the under on the Super Bowl, wait until the last minute. The total is on the rise.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-07Take a look at defensive players to win Super Bowl MVP if you have the conviction that the game will go under the total i.e Haason Reddick
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-07Novice bettors love to bet overs. Expect prop numbers to increase as the start of the Super Bowl gets close.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-07If looking to bet under on super bowl props, usually best to just continue to wait until later in the week. A lot of over bets will be coming in right now.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-07Be aware of your OV/UN bet ratio. An OV-heavy player portfolio is rarely going to end up a net win. This isn't DFS. Look for reasons NOT to bet a player's OV. -Frank B.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-07Don't hedge away your advantage. It's easy to hedge away a good initial bet with a second bet that's a negative value. Roll with your bets if they're now unobtainable in the market. -Frank B
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-08Don’t bet the coin toss at the Super Bowl, find a friend and don’t pay the juice!
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-02-08Look for props off the beaten path because they will not have as sharp as lines.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-08No matter which position bet you might be looking at making for the NFL draft, remember how often teams trade back into the first round.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-08The Super Bowl is a very tempting time to bet on every market. Plan out your bets and stick to the ones you like the most before actually placing them so you don't overexpose yourself.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-08If you’re coming to town for the Super Bowl, try to sign up and download sportsbook apps. Will make betting, and especially live betting, much easier for the game.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-08If betting on super bowl props seriously, try to correlate props with how you think the game will play out from a side/total perspective.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-08If looking to bet on Aaron Rodgers next team now, just be aware a lot of these odds are shifting based on things he said at Pebble Beach. Keep in mind that the Packers still have control over his future.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Take a look at Super Bowl props that correlate with your projected game script.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Have a number in mind that you're willing to pay for props and shop around for the best juice.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Keep refreshing the prop board, because more and more books keep adding markets and betting opportunities.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-09Remember, you don’t HAVE to bet a side or total in the super bowl. There are plenty of other prop bets to make in a game like this where you might be able to find more of an edge.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-09
Keep in mind when looking at Super Bowl bets, we will still see the bulk of the money bet on the game come in over the next few days. 

Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-10Make sure you put money into your account because lines will very long come Sunday. The worst thing is getting stuck behind the public lines.
VSiN Live Bet TonightNFL2023-02-10Don’t let the Super Bowl betting menu overwhelm you. Think about how you think the game is going to play out, and bet accordingly.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-10Stop laying juice on a coin toss. Find a friend to bet it with.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-10Remember, laying more than -110 juice is going to really eat away at your bankroll over time.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-10If it's a high-scoring game, the Chiefs' offense has the advantage. If the Eagles can control the ball with long drives, Kansas City may be in trouble.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-10Look for props you think you can hit no matter the outcome of the side in the game.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-10Just keep in mind when betting on Comeback Player Of The Year in the future, that whatever parameters you might have in your own head don’t apply to the NFL’s process.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-11If you like any prop to go over, make sure to bet it tonight because the public will be betting over tomorrow and the numbers will get out of reach.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-02-11If you like any prop to go over, make sure to bet it tonight because the public will be betting over tomorrow and the numbers will get out of reach.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-02-11The Eagles' weaker path to the Super Bowl won't affect their readiness for the game. However, it is affecting public perception potentially overrating Philadelphia.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-02-11There's a significant discrepancy between the combined receiving props for the Chiefs' and Patrick Mahomes' passing yards prop. One or a few of the WRs with yards props in the 20s or 30s should have a big game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-11If you're betting player props or totals in a Super Bowl, bet OVERs early and UNDERs late. The public will always back the OVERs as we get closer to kickoff and the numbers often drift up.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-11Make sure to not over correlate your props based on a game script you are expecting. If you are betting 1U per prop, it can leave you with a large bet on a specific outcome.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-12Search as many markets and sportsbooks as possible before making any NFL futures bets for next season.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-02-12Teams that allowed fewer points per game during the regular season have won the last seven Super Bowl games outright & are 6-1 ATS (85.7%). Philadelphia holds this edge by 1.5 PPG.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-12Officiating could play a big role in the way the Super Bowl plays out. Chris Jones lines up offsides most plays and the Chiefs' secondary can get "handsy."
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-13Live betting is the best way to get off of a bad bet. Just don't jump the gun and hedge your bets too early.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-13Don’t just shop book to book, but make sure to shop market to market even within the same book. It might not be the exact bet you’re looking for, but it might be a better way to bet the same thing.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-13Be careful betting on NFL futures this far out. Ideally, you don’t want to be tying up your money for 11+ months.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-13Don’t go betting on 49ers quarterbacks in the NFL MVP market right now. We have no idea who will be starting as of now.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-14Be patient with Packers' futures bets because Green Bay doesn't have to trade Aaron Rodgers until June 1st if they decide to move on from each other.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-14Looking ahead to NFL Draft props… keep an eye on where that total number of first-round quarterbacks prop is set. If it’s set at four, bet the over. AT LEAST 4 quarterbacks will go in the first round.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-15Keep an eye out for Justin Fields' reports. If you feel he is going to be traded, only bet QB to be the first overall pick.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-17If considering some of these off-season market bets, don’t rule out the Commanders making some moves this off-season at QB. They say Sam Howell is QB1, but the Big Bets team doesn’t think that will be the case at the start of the season.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-02-18Don't read too much into the prop markets like, "Where will Aaron Rodgers take his next snap?" These markets move on noise and have low limits. Super Bowl futures markets will move based off solid info.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-20Hold off on betting NFL futures until some of the big-name QBs find landing spots (Derek Carr, Aaron Rodgers). You don't want to miss out on a better number.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-02-21Wait to bet on the eagles if you want them to win next year’s super bowl. Their price might be inflated because of recent success. Wait till you watch one game and then make your wager on a futures price
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-22When looking at the Comeback Player of the Year market make sure you take into consideration the emotional attachments voters may have for say Demar Hamlin or John Metchie.
VSiN Final CountdownNFL2023-02-23Don't bet the guy with minus-odds for "who will start in week 1" props. It's just not worth it with so many question marks still out there this offseason.
VSiN Big BetsNFL2023-02-23Remember for NFL Draft props, if you see a flat four on first round quarterbacks taken, hit the over. There will likely be four that go in the first half of the first round, and then MAYBE one more at the end.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-02-24Don't rush to bet NFL futures with so many dominoes to fall in terms of free agency and the draft, unless you feel confident that a team will make a move that'll shorten their odds.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-24Make sure to check house rules when betting markets like these quarterback’s next teams. Some books will include odds on the team they’re currently on and others won’t.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-02-27Gotta take a look at Damar Hamlin at plus-money in the NFL Comeback Player of The Year Market.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-04NFL teams use the combine for player discovery. If you're hearing buzz about a player, take note for when their draft props are posted.
The HandleNFL2023-03-05Be wary of making futures bets on teams who we don’t know who the QB will be. Ex. the 49ers are the short-shot to win the NFC West but we don’t even know who will be taking the snaps.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-05Franchise tag deadline is Tuesday and free agency kicks off March 15th. Make sure you're monitoring offseason moves by NFL teams before placing bets in the futures market.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-06The betting market may be overreacting to Anthony Richardson's combine performance. Keep an eye out for his draft-position props and head-to-head draft props for an opportunity to fade the hype.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-03-10Make sure to shop around markets within the same sportsbook. Some matchup bets will make more sense to make than the first player to go at a position.
The HandleNFL2023-03-11The market shifted, but Bryce Young still has a chance to be the first overall pick. If you have a CJ Stroud ticket with plus-odds, get a Young ticket now and you will make money either way.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-11If you're looking to bet NFL futures, take a look at divisions with uncertainty at the top of the odds board. (Ex: 49ers -160, Rams +250 in the NFC West. Might be value on Seahawks at +500.)
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-15Keep your twitter feed up to date during NFL free agency and you can find value on futures markets if you are quick enough.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-20The hype of free agency happens every year, but for bettors it is important to focus most on the fit. Which teams put most of their puzzle together with free agent pieces?
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-24The Panthers are setting themselves up well with free agent signings - including adding DJ Chark today. With their choice of a rookie QB, Carolina +250 to win the NFC South is an attractive bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-26The NFL owners meetings are this week in Arizona and Michael is hearing a lot of positive buzz about Bryce Young. Consider locking in a number on the Alabama QB to go No. 1 overall while he's still plus-money.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-28Make sure to look at the derivative markets when playing off of news & headlines. Often they are adjusted slower than main markets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-03-29There is a reason books already have NFL futures markets like division odds and win totals up before the Draft. There are very few players who will move these markets. Don't feel like you have to wait until after that to place a bet.
The HandleNFL2023-04-01If you're bullish on the San Francisco 49ers this season, consider betting Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year at 30/1 instead of the much shorter odds for the 49ers team futures.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-03If you're searching for a "Cinderella" NFL team that can outperform the betting market's expectations, make sure they have a favorable schedule and a QB ready to take a leap forward.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-04Look at the specific wording on NFL Draft props to maximize value. With it almost a foregone conclusion of quarterbacks going one and two, the Cardinals are -195 to draft a defensive line/edge at number three while odds for Will Anderson to be the first defensive player picked is -500.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-04When betting NFL win totals this year, consider overs in the NFC and unders in the AFC. The level of QB play is much stronger in the AFC and therefore makes it harder to win games. The opposite is true for the NFC.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-06Don't be afraid to look for plus-money dogs in the NFL draft, as markets are constantly fluctuating.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-07In the NFL draft betting market, the sportsbooks and public are operating on the same information. Mock drafts aren't gospel and your best path to profitability may be fading the noise.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-08The head coach's input is important, but is often not the dominating voice in the draft room. Be careful not to put too much stake into what you think the HC will do when handicapping draft props.
The HandleNFL2023-04-09If you have a CJ Stroud 1st overall pick ticket at plus-money, make sure you put a little on Bryce Young now to ensure a profit if either QB is selected first. Young’s odds are shrinking quickly.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-09QB draft props tend to be over-inflated by the betting market. At DraftKings, Anthony Richardson's position prop is O/U 4.5 and Will Levis is O/U 7.5. Michael doesn't believe either are worthy of going in the top 10.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-10The NFL Draft betting markets are volatile and sportsbooks adjust odds at different speeds, causing high variance in pricing. If you hear information or see a market moving, shop around for the best price.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-11Consider historical trends for teams picking in the NFL draft as a part of your handicap.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-04-11Don’t overreact to the NFL Draft odds movement. We have seen this Stroud-Young rollercoaster for months now. No reason to think it’s going to stop now.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-13There may be some value on betting players other than CJ Stroud in the No. 2 Overall pick market. If the Texans aren't sold on a QB, they could pick Will Anderson, Jalen Carter or another top defensive prospect.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-04-14Create your own mock NFL draft. This exercise will help you handicap and make sense of your NFL Draft props.
The HandleNFL2023-04-15The NFL Draft is an information market. If you have all the prop markets available, be ready to jump on a bet as soon as you hear news regarding a top pick.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-16It doesn't seem the Texans will take CJ Stroud at No. 2 overall. Look for ways to bet Stroud to be drafted after the Texans make their pick.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-18Study dead cap space before investing in NFL teams.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-04-18Be careful running to make a bet on the second overall pick in the NFL Draft. There are a lot of things in play right now, including a possible trade, and if that happens, it could really be up in the air where the new team decides to go with that pick.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-19Create your own NFL mock drafts as a handicapping tool.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-20Michael believes Will Levis will be the second QB taken in the draft. Take a look at Levis' draft props across the market. There may be some value in betting Levis to go before Stroud.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-21Do not dismiss Bijan Robinson because he's a RB. Robinson is an offensive playmaker that can also be a factor in the passing game. He's still plus-money to go Top 10.
The HandleNFL2023-04-22Be sure to check out every betting option for the NFL Draft. Many books will have multiple markets which are based on the same result, but with different odds/juice. Ex. Total QBs in the first round O/U 4.5 vs Hendon Hooker draft position O/U 31.5.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-22The Panthers aren't as bad as teams picking No. 1 overall typically are. Consider betting some Carolina futures with Bryce Young under center.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-23Be willing to lay big prices as you get closer to the NFL draft, as later line movement tends to be the most accurate.
The HandleNFL2023-04-23Make sure you are looking at REAL reporters’ twitter accounts this week ahead of the NFL Draft. The lack of verification badges makes it very easy for spoofers to look believable.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-23As we get closer to the draft, betting limits are higher and big bets typically are more informed. Pay close attention to market movement during draft week.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-04-24Steve Fezzik: If you are betting the Jets to win the Super Bowl, the Aaron Rodgers trade has already been baked into the number for weeks. It is not moving drastically because the trade is official
A Numbers GameNFL2023-04-24If you’re thinking of making a bet like Hendon Hooker to go in the first round, make sure you compare that price to his draft position and and the Total QBs drafted in the first round.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-25When handicapping the NFL draft, consume as much information as you can. Research positions that NFL teams are looking to draft from available public data and news.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-25If you have one of the more robust betting apps and are ready to jump on a bet for the NFL Draft, this is the time where you can guarantee a profit on specific picks if you play it right.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-04-25NFL Draft betting is information betting. So make sure you know exactly where you’re getting your info from. i.e. maybe a reddit user who has posted twice isn’t the best source.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-26Be aware of any “freeze-out” times before betting the NFL draft, as certain markets (Las Vegas) cut off wagers hours before the draft starts.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-04-26The late NFL draft mocks give the best betting information, if possible make your draft bets as late as possible.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-26Remember to get your NFL Draft bets in today. Books in many states will take them down 24 hours before the draft begins tomorrow.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-04-26Lines continue to move on virtually every NFL Draft market. Continue to monitor the latest news and information coming out to give yourself the edge on last second rumors.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-04-28NBA playoffs are the pinnacle of finding in-game middle bet opportunities.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-28The total QBs selected in the first round prop is 6-1 to the UNDER since draft betting began. This year's total was set at 4.5 and 3 QBs were selected.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-04-28Whether you won or lost this year with NFL Draft betting, remember there were still plenty of great opportunities on players at great numbers over the past couple of months.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-04-29Looking ahead to future NFL Drafts. Almost always look to be the Under in the QB market. Only once in the last 8 drafts the QB crop has gone over its Total.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-04-29Don't overlook the 49ers selecting K Jake Moody with the 99th overall pick. A reliable kicker can go a long way for a team's ability to win and cover NFL games.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-05-02If you are interested in the Jaguars to win the AFC South, you should consider a bet now. That -150 will likely only get worse over the summer.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-03When betting the #1 pick in the draft, stick with your gut, but wait for information to come before placing a bet. The odds will likely shift throughout the offseason and you can get a better number on Caleb Williams or another player you like.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-05-09If you find value in NFL Win Totals make sure to bet it before the schedule reveal as the numbers will only regress after the schedule comes out.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-05-10Unless, you have info that you think really gives you an edge betting early, stay away from NFL game betting this far in advance.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-05-11Now that we have NFL schedules, make sure to check out the long road stints for teams and target the unders for their win totals. For example, the Giants have 4 road games in 5 weeks early in the season. That will be a really tough stretch for them.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-05-11Do not bet too many NFL futures just because the lines are out, pick your spots and use proper bankroll management
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-05-12When planning your Survivor strategy, Week 7 and 13 have the most teams on byes at 6 teams each
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-12Consider betting divisional underdogs in week 1. Teams want to play hard vs familiar division opponents and are confident to start the year, no matter the public's perception.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-12Consider betting divisional underdogs in week 1. Teams want to play hard vs familiar division opponents and are confident to start the year, no matter the public's perception.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-05-12You don’t need to be making any NFL bets right now, but this is a great time to analyze each team’s schedule and circle spots for you to jump in with win total bets, division bets, etc.
The HandleNFL2023-05-13If you like the Jaguars to win the division, don’t bother betting them to make the postseason. There is likely only one team coming out of that division and you will get much better odds on them to win the AFC South.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-13Take the NFL game spreads with a grain of salt this early in the offseason. There's still a lot of uncertainty regarding potential injuries and other factors that could influence the spread.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-15If you're using strength of schedule to handicap NFL win totals, put more weight behind opponent's win totals over opponent's win percentage from 2022.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-18To win Rookie of the Year, the scheme must match the talent and most of all, the team needs to win games. So as you read and review all the rookie evaluations during the next few months, remind yourself unless those factors align, the impact won’t be great—at least this year.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-05-19NFL Week 1 lines moves are driven by offseason narratives. Focus more on your confidence in the coaching staff to prepare their team if you're looking to bet these numbers.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-05-24DraftKings has posted a winning record market for NFL teams. If there is a win total close to 7.5/8/8.5 that you like over, make sure to check out that market.
The HandleNFL2023-05-28With the recent news on Jimmy Garoppolo's injury clause, consider fading the Raiders in NFL futures markets now in case Las Vegas does in fact move on from the QB.
The HandleNFL2023-06-11Correlate your NFL season-long player prop bets with your win total bets. If you like the Jets to have a good season, it likely means Aaron Rodgers will be filling the stat sheet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-11When handicapping NFL team win totals, the HC and QB are the most important factors. However, don't discount the ability for an experienced coordinator to elevate the team. Jim Schwartz in Cleveland and Vic Fangio in Miami will improve the defensive unit.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-06-14Keep track of NFL offseason news like who’s getting heavy reps at practices. Could translate to some good season long player prop bets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-06-15Take a look at NFL teams with depth issues in Week 1, rather than the futures market.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-17If you're looking to bet NFL receiving yards OVERS, focus in on teams that don't have a strong running game and expect to be playing from behind often.
The HandleNFL2023-06-18When betting futures, don’t forget to consider the hedging opportunities that they could present to you down the line. One market to look at for this, Super Bowl exactas.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-19If you're looking at the new DraftKings market to be the "Most Improved Team," the Broncos are a good choice with a major upgrade at head coach and a QB that's in a make-or-break year.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-06-20When betting on season-long NFL Player Props, take a look at betting player props Unders simply because it's difficult for players to play a full 17-game season.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-20When betting NFL Awards, don’t put all your eggs in one basket. The odds are long enough for you to bet on multiple players and can likely guarantee a profit if you have the winner.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-22Continuity in the offense is the most important factor if you're looking to bet into the "Highest Scoring Team" market at DraftKings. Consider avoiding teams with a new QB or offensive play-caller.
Pro Football BlitzNFL2023-06-24If you think a player can set the single-season record for sacks, you might want to look at other markets as well (or instead), like Micah Parsons to win Defensive Player of the Year.
The HandleNFL2023-06-25When betting NFL receiving props for the upcoming season, don’t just correlate them with their QB, the offensive schemes are just as important.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-06-25If you think an NFL team is being undervalued, study the division finishing position markets. You can get plus-money on just about every option.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-06-26Alternate season win totals are going to have prices where you're actually going to be getting more bang for your buck than you ought to in some cases. So and all it takes is for you to look at the final NFL standings each and every year, and then juxtapose them against the pre-flop season windows.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-06-27If the Cowboys can somehow navigate the start of their schedule at three and one, which is a big if. But if they can, then you can play the under on the adjusted win total at that point. Could be more optimal than the pre-flop under 9.5.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-06-29When betting the NFL MVP it is important to consider that the only position to win the award since 2012 has been QB, it has essentially become a one position award. Offensive Player of The Year is best when betting the non-QB position.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-02Handicapping head coaches is just as important as handicapping the players. There are really great coaches and really bad ones that can affect lines.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-05Don’t evaluate the entire team in the preseason. Evaluate the part that the team needed to work on the most and take what you learned into the regular season.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-07-05If interested in betting on the Steelers to win the AFC North or even to make the playoffs, consider Mike Tomlin for Coach of The Year at 25-1.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-06Look to play player prop unders on injury-prone NFL players.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-07-08Play the variance game in the NFL offseason. Be willing to fire on NFL longshots over the Summer while bettors are occupied with other sports.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-08If the Detroit Lions futures interest you, like division winner & NFC champion, it might be best to wait out the first few weeks of the season, see if they start the season slow and get extra value on the odds.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-09The Patriots haven't had a win total of 7.5 or lower since 2001. They're also one of the most-bet teams to go OVER at BetMGM. If you like the number, bet it now.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-07-10Look for opportunities to middle win total bets as news breaks and players switch teams or go down to injury.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-10Study teams like the Lions and Jaguars closely this offseason. Don't assume they'll go from good to great just based off of public perception.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-07-10Offensive Rookie of the Year is an award you can bet positions outside of QB. NFL MVP is considered a QB award, but OPOY and OROY give you the ability to bet other positions.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-12The AFC North is going to be pretty good this year. The Steelers are +175 to finish last in the division. This is a solid bet if you like their season win total under. You can get plus money instead of -110, or -115.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-13Even If you're not going to bet a future bet or wait, this is a good time to do the research and start warming up to bet on the NFL this season.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-07-14Try to have a plan for survivor contests, try to fill out your card for the full season early, so you can identify land mines before the season is in full swing.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-14In 10 of the 16 NFL Week 1 games, the spread is within a half point of the key numbers of 3 or 7. If you're looking to bet these games, make sure you're getting the best number.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-15Don't bet NFL awards based off a hunch. Break down how you think the season will play out and correlate your bets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-16Outlier numbers occasionally pop up in the NFL Futures market, numbers can drastically vary so be sure to shop around!
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-07-16Don't buy into any NFL future right after a trade or acquisition happens. Lots of people will flock to bet on that team right away, and the number will be inflated sometime.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-16The Jets have a tough early schedule and the narrative could flip on the team quickly, creating a buy-low spot for in-season adjusted win totals and division odds.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-17Be careful with the season-long props for DeAndre Hopkins now that he has signed with the Titans. With the Titans drafting Will Levis they could make a QB change in the season if Ryan Tannehill struggles.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-17Titans reporter Turron Davenport told us Ryan Tannehill will be the Titans starting QB. With DeAndre Hopkins now on the roster, the Titans could be undervalued headed into this year.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-07-17If you liked the Jaguars in the AFC South before this past weekend, don’t get too distracted by the Titans’ signing of DeAndre Hopkins. The signing might not change the Titans' season much, and you’re now getting better odds on the Jaguars.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-07-17The Kansas City Chiefs divisional win prop is at 4.5 games, after dominating the division for a decade it seems like it would be unlikely they lose two games in the AFC West. Look at division totals for teams that beat familiar competition often.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-19A good value bet in the NFL is the Green Bay Packers to win the NFC North at +400. There is uncertainty with Jordan Love at QB but they have a more manageable schedule after finishing 3rd last season in the division and there are still major question marks with the other teams in the division.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-07-19Note for football season: If you’re trying to attack a bad weather weekend by playing unders on some games, consider just playing the grand salami under.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-20When putting together a strategy for Circa Survivor be wary of betting teams on the road especially if they are a road favorite.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-21A sneaky play for NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year is Jaxon Smith-Njigba who is currently 15/1 to win at DraftKings. Will most likely be lined up in the slot so he will be getting quite a bit of targets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-21If you blindly bet the under on every player prop the past two years, you would have won 61% of the time. Now's the time of year to fade the overwhelming optimism across the league.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-07-21When betting the NFL, offseason movement is crucial. Kansas City has had a very impressive offseason, they should continue their trend of dominance in 2023-24.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-07-22Look to bet unders early in the NFL season on teams with new offensive coordinators and/or starting quarterbacks.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-07-22If you are looking to enter the Circa Survivor Contest, you have to have multiple entries, especially with each person allowed to have 10 total entries this year.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-22Don't underestimate the impact of the Cleveland Browns adding Jim Schwartz as DC. Having a coordinator with experience as an NFL HC will be invaluable to Kevin Stefanski.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-07-23When betting on the Offensive and Defensive Player of the Year Market look at betting Wide Receivers and Edge rushers as these are the players that have the largest impact on the game other than the QB who usually wins MVP.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-24Training camp is the time of the year to examine team's weaknesses and evaluate if they're taking steps to success. Hone in on specific groups rather than the entire team in your preseason evaluation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-25While players getting contract extensions is nice for them, from a handicapping perspective if the player was not a threat to hold out, it's fluff information. Focus on what is happening in camp and the actual stats for edges.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-25If you really like an NFL futures bet but the number is shorter than you prefer, it can be worth waiting to buy low on them following a loss
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-27Bet any bullish NY Jets futures before Hard Knocks starts on August 8!
VSiN TonightNFL2023-07-27If you like the Bills in Week 1 against the Jets, wait until after the Hard Knocks series comes out. People will buy in on the show making the line better for Bills backers.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-07-27If Tua Tagovailoa can stay healthy, look out for the Dolphins to have a good season. If you think the Bills have taken a step back, consider a longer division odds bet on Miami.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-07-27When looking ahead to NFL Week 1 matchups, know that divisional underdogs to open the season are hitting at a high rate, could be a good spot to lean and see if the trend continues.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-07-28Instead of betting juiced totals, you can find division exacts that pay better. If you think Dallas will win the NFC East with Philadelphia in 2nd place, you can get plus money in return on that exacta, instead of laying a price on the Cowboys total
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-28Favor NFL teams with continuity early in the season. Teams with moving parts often are still trying to figure it out early in the year. (Ex: Bills OVER Jets in Week 1).
A Numbers GameNFL2023-07-28If you’re looking for a bet in the AFC West, look under on the Raiders' win total. They have the toughest schedule in the NFL, play in one of the toughest divisions, and have a depleted roster from a year ago.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-07-29Mike Gesicki is on a new team this year. Last year he was a forgotten weapon. Maybe look to playing his overs in the first couple of games before the market catches on.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-29Keep a close eye on how training camp injuries affect Week 1 betting lines. We've already seen movement in the CIN-CLE game and MIA-LAC could hit the key number of 3.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-30If an NFL team has an easy or difficult stretch to start the season, wait until the stretch clears before making any future bets.
The HandleNFL2023-07-30You’re going to see a lot of trends heading into NFL season. Don’t put too much stock into them without doing your own research on the context. They can be very easily manipulated to steer you in a certain direction.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-07-30You can learn a lot about QBs by watching preseason games - especially veteran players. If a QB struggles in the exhibition games, they'll likely struggle in the regular season.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-07-31There is a lot of opportunity for Player of The Year futures, especially on the offensive side in the RB markets. Injuries ahead of the season can mix up depth charts, leading to more opportunity for long shots.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-01When betting NFL preseason games, look to back the side with the defensive minded head coach.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-02When playing survivor contests, look away from playing divisional games.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-02The most improved team market is an interesting addition to the DraftKings menu. There could be some value there but make sure to compare to alt win totals too.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-03Betting preseason NFL football is oftentimes a little easier and can be valuable because when coaches announce their player lineups, they tend to be truthful.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-03Look at head coach winning rates in the preseason before making preseason NFL bets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-03Make sure you know who'll be playing QB in these preseason games. Coaches are typically transparent about who'll get snaps and QB depth is an important factor if you're betting preseason.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-03There are so many different ways to bet win totals. Consider markets like the wins matchbets and others at DraftKings.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-04Look for players down the board for Defensive Player of the Year. The Short shots need to have record-breaking numbers to win the award.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-04Do not freak out about early season suspensions, if the player suspended is not a QB the suspension will likely have minimal affect on the win total
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-04We're all making educated guesses based on offseason assessments in NFL Week 1. Be careful betting big favorites before we know which teams are for real.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-05The Broncos win total is set at 8.5 and winning nine games will still be a challenge even though they will be better coached. Wait for the in-season win totals, as we need to get a better feel for Wilson’s playing skills with Payton.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-06Take training camp reports of offensive struggles with a grain of salt. Defenses are often ahead of offenses at this time of year and mistakes give teams something to coach.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-07Do not read too far into training camp reports during the NFL preseason, many beat reporters are simply creating content and things are not as good or as bad as they seem.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-07John Harbaugh is a ridiculous 38-16-1 ATS in the preseason and has actually won 23 consecutive preseason straight up.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-08When betting on preseason games, always take note of offensive and defensive minded head coaches as defensive coaches tend to want to win more than offensive coaches in the preseason.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-08Take inventory of motivational spots in preseason games. Things like a rookie head coach and players in position battles should be accounted for when handicapping NFL preseason games.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-08When betting on the preseason, make sure you are looking to see who is playing and how long they are planning to play. Quite a bit of teams have said they will not play starters while others have said they will.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-08The sharpest move on season-long player props is to bet on the unders, but sportsbooks have really adjusted this year. Specifically on the quarterbacks. Look to bet some overs this season.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-09Depth charts are important when betting on the NFL preseason. Make sure you study each team's chart and find any news you can on how long a player might be playing.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-09A single player injury outside of quarterback usually isn't a big issue, however cluster injuries have a big impact on futures bets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-09Pay attention to which head coaches have said they want to win in the preseason. Some care about the scoreboard and some don’t care at all.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-09Look at the quarterback rotations during the preseason as it could give you an idea of how teams will choose their QB1 during the regular season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-10Consider including totals when betting preseason NFL teasers as they tend to be much lower than totals during the regular season, offering more value per number.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-10NFL Preseason totals will drop come the second half, so don't overreact to getting off your initial bet in the live market.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-10When betting preseason games, look to back team's who have second string QBs who have potential to start down the line because that team will likely leave more starting caliber players in longer.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-10How teams perform in the preseason can indicate future problems. Washington did not create one turnover all last preseason, so why were we surprised when they ranked 26th in creating defensive turnovers during the regular season?
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-10Take a look at a market like most interceptions and if you don't like it, you can always bet game interceptions instead.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-10The New York Giants got exposed against good teams last season and their roster is still questionable going into the season. Be cautious when betting on the Giants this year.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-08-11Under 37 - Since 2014, betting under a total of 37 or more in the preseason has produced a record of 201-130-8 (60.7%) and a smooth 16.8% ROI. Meanwhile, going under on totals of 36.5 does nothing other than put you on the fast track to a redeposit, generating an ugly 43.5% win rate.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-11Early line moves in preseason football games are very predictive for preseason NFL results.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-11When betting on the NFL or playing in football contests it is very helpful to know the depth and who is playing each week on the offensive and defensive line. A lot of moving parts with those units that can make or break a bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-11The QB who'll be playing in the second half is more important than the starting QB if you're looking to place a full-game preseason bet.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-11The ATS numbers are a key point to look at when betting on this weekend's slate. But also look at the QB rotation for the game as it could affect line movements.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-08-12When betting on the NFL Preseason, don't be afraid to only bet the first half knowing that many teams will be pulling there starters and betting the other way in the second half.
The HandleNFL2023-08-12If a preseason game gets off to a hot offensive start, consider betting an in-game UNDER when the starting QBs exit the game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-12The first line move in an NFL preseason game is often the right move based off of the info available. Go with the move or don't bet the game.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-08-13If you like overs in the preseason, make sure you bet them early, they will be bet up once the lines open.
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-08-13If you don't feel comfortable betting season win totals, take a look at the divisional win total market if you have a really good feel for a certain division like the NFC North, where there could be much parody.
The HandleNFL2023-08-13The preseason isn't always the best time to bet NFL division futures or win totals. Consider waiting to get a better number in-season, especially if you're targeting a team with a tough early schedule.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-13Don't fall for the flash of individual stats in the preseason. Instead, evaluate how specific position groups and units are playing as a whole.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-14Don't just go off of box scores when assessing preseason games. You should at least watch the games to give a better assessment.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-14Teams that execute at a high level in the preseason tell you that there's an established standard for the program. Consider betting on these squads, especially early in the season.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-08-15Look for alternate win totals at plus prices. If you need to get off or hedge, you can still end up profitable or break even if it is a close call down the stretch.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-15Exercise caution when blindly following NFL preseason line moves. In Week 1 you would have gone 6-8 betting line moves that changed at least 2 points.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-16News is everything this preseason. Make sure you know each depth cart, along with who's playing for how long. Follow more team reporters each day.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-08-16Sometimes the teams that aren't making headlines in the offseason are the best to back in the futures market.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-16After an impressive first game of the preseason, the Green Bay Packers are still sitting at +400 to win the NFC North at DraftKings. The division is wide open and the Packers have a favorable schedule after finishing 3rd in the division last year.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-16Focus on underdogs in NFL Division betting where you believe the division has more chances of variance
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-16Future rookie markets could be a smart play this season. Rookie QBs like Anthony Richardson who are learning their systems could be INT leaders as they begin to grasp the offense.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-17Keep in mind the key numbers of 3 and 7 for football teasers. Being able to go through both numbers with a 6 or 6.5 point teaser lends the best value for the amount of juice and pairing up teams on a teaser.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-17When betting NFL Week 1, try to target lines that are at the peak or bottom of the market that you don't expect to move any higher / lower. (ie Chiefs -6.5 won't go to -6)
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-08-18When betting NFL Preseason games, check to see which quarterbacks are expected to play.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-18When betting season-long NFL player props, consider targeting players in positional groups that lack durability. (Ex: WR Quentin Johnston behind Keenan Allen and Mike Williams)
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-18Reminder when it comes to NFL win totals/futures betting, there’s been at least one team to make the playoffs since 2000 that had a preseason win total under .500.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-18The Vikings numbers have been lower potentially because of the amount of one score games they won last season. This may not necessarily be the case this year.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-08-19Look to bet unders on player props in the NFL futures markets.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-08-19When looking at the futures market if you shrink the betting sample like betting divisional totals instead of season long totals it might be easier if it's your first time betting win totals.
The HandleNFL2023-08-19This is the week young QBs get more playing time in the NFL preseason. Pay extra attention to how they fare this week when getting ready to bet Week 1.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-19Pay close attention to reports coming out of joint practices. They are often more indicative than the actual preseason games.
The HandleNFL2023-08-20If you want to bet Joe Burrow to win NFL MVP wait until we see how healthy he is. If he doesn’t play in Week 1 or even beyond that, his odds will only get better.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-20Be careful betting on NFL teams early in the year that overhauled their offensive line in the offseason.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-21While many Vegas books don't offer this, East Coast books often offer in-season NFL win totals. If there's a team you think has very easy or hard schedule to start the season that will lead to a more favorable in-season win total number, wait to bet the season total for that easy/hard stretch to pass and grab a better number in-season.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-21While you're watching the NFL preseason, consider which teams you'd like to avoid betting early in the season. (Ex: Colts vs Jaguars Week 1)
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-21Check out the “NFL Wins MatchBets” market at DraftKings as another way to look at betting win totals.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-21The Ravens bring their 25 preseason game win streak into DC to play the Commanders. The line has moved dramatically in the favor of Washington, it might not be worth it to fade the Ravens quite yet.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-08-22Be careful with Week 1 in the NFL. Week 1 is when the gap between teams is the closest. The 49ers lost to the Bears last year and the Cowboys haven't won in Week 1 since 2019.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-22If looking to bet season-long player props, look as well at the inter-division options posted at DraftKings. Some of those might be more attractive and better bets than going up against the entire NFL.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-08-23Always look at schedules before placing futures. You can find teams to buy low on and find weeks in a schedule where it could be the last chance to get value on another team.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-24Reminder for those playing in Circa Survivor, you will have a chance to re-buy after week 1. So make sure to factor that into your week one selection, as you could always just separately bet the other in week 1.
Saturday Bet PrepNFL2023-08-25Try to bet against NFL coaches that don't care in the preseason and be sure to read the practice reports before making any bets.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-08-25If you can bet half a point at -110 instead of a flat number at -120. You will be much more profitable in the long run.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-25When analyzing the impact of injuries in the NFL, consider whether the players' absence will change their offensive or defensive scheme. If not, don't overreact.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-08-26Look for what teams are signaling as to who they are going to start in the regular season when analyzing NFL preseason action.
The HandleNFL2023-08-26Pay attention to snap counts in the preseason. It will give you a good sense of how much they will be used in the regular season and you can use that when making prop bets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-27If you're looking to bet NFL player props, be careful with players coming off of injury. (ie Cooper Kupp, Jonathan Taylor)
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-28Don't undervalue the kicking position when you're handicapping NFL futures and individual games. A made or missed FG can be the difference between winning and losing your bets.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-28There are always other markets to make bets if you miss the train. Garrett Wilson was 30-1 to have the most receiving yards, that number has come down. You can still get him at 25-1 to win OPOY.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-08-29Don’t assume the home field advantage that used to be there for the Seahawks is still there. It has significantly cooled off over the last few years. Seattle during 2013-2014 was 22-2 at home; since 2020, they are 15-10. From 2015 until now, they are 41-24-17 games above 500. If they get their home-field advantage back, watch out.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-29If you’re looking to bet against the Cardinals this season, check out the last team to win market. The Cardinals will likely be underdogs in every game at least until Kyler Murray comes back.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-29The Arizona Cardinals are being accused of tanking for this upcoming season, they are +1600 to go 0-17, the win total is currently sitting at 3.5. Something to consider when looking at their numbers.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-30Consider looking at Super Bowl exactas bets and keying on a couple of NFC teams if you think there are only a couple of teams you think have a chance to make the Super Bowl.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-08-31If looking to make bets in the NFL yes/no playoffs market, there is definitely value in the NFC if you like a team not named the Eagles, 49ers, or Cowboys
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-08-31NFC and AFC title game exactas are available at some books. With the NFC being as top heavy as it is, an Eagles-Niners rematch sits at +800, it could be an interesting future to play before the season begins.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-01If Cooper Kupp is ruled out Week 1 vs the Seahawks, the line will likely move through the key number of 6. If you're looking for CLV, consider taking SEA -5.5 now.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-09-02Understand the rules of your contest completely. You never want to make a mistake because you didn't know what the specifics were.
The HandleNFL2023-09-02Know the rules and prizes when it comes to pick 'em contests. Quarterly, Half and Booby prizes are lucrative and it’s important to know when to pivot.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-09-02When looking at Circa Survivor you have to think will you ever use that team again after week 1 like the Commanders vs the Cardinals.
The HandleNFL2023-09-03If you’re stuck between two games for your Pick 'Em contest, play the one you think the fewest people will be playing.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-04When looking to make your survivor selection try to stay away from division games if you can.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-05There tends to be more variance in the preseason NFL awards betting markets, be sure to shop around!
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-056-point teasers can be great plays in the NFL week to week but tread lightly early in the season. There are always a couple of surprise teams early in the season.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-06Worst active QBs against the spread in week 1: Mac Jones 0-2 ATS Baker Mayfield 1-3 ATS Russell Wilson 4-6-1 ATS Kirk Cousins 3-5 ATS
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-09-06Know how coaches treat 4th downs and their success rates when betting on teams. Matt LaFleur and Nick Sirianni have been the two best at making the correct calls over the last 2 seasons.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-06 It’s not only QBs who can move lines, there are a handful of other players and Travis Kelce is one of them. Keep your eye out for injury concerns on players with major offensive roles when making your bets.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-06If high on an NFL team, make sure to shop around all markets at DraftKings. You will find the ideal way to play them.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-07Look at the context of a Week 1 win/loss before backing/fading a team in Week 2.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-07Best week 1 QB's against the spread: Jared Goff 7-0 ATS Derek Carr 6-3 ATS Patrick Mahomes 4-2 ATS Aaron Rodgers 9-6 ATS Lamar Jackson 3-1 ATS Josh Allen 3-1 ATS Justin Herbert 2-0 ATS Tua Tagovailoa 2-0 ATS
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-09-07When bettingplayer props early in the season, look at players who's teams made a significant investment to acquire.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-07Especially early in the season and with games with high totals, stay away from buying points in the NFL.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-07If you are betting 1st Touchdown Scorer markets, it is always a good idea to bet on a player from each team. This way you can avoid worrying about the coin toss and who will get ball first.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-08Divisional road underdogs of 6.5 points or fewer have been hitting at a 72% rate since 2013, something to consider Week 1.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-09-09Don’t get too cute early in the season. Depending on the size of your pool, you might not need to go too far off the beaten path early.
The HandleNFL2023-09-09Don’t overreact to Week 1 in the NFL. We need a bigger sample size before we completely change our opinions of teams and jump off our futures bets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-09During the early NFL season, focus on what games you'd like to avoid before putting together your final bets. Avoiding games with uncertainty is important until we have more data points.
The HandleNFL2023-09-10Take advantage of betting the NFL early. Often the best line you can get will be on Sunday or Monday and you are able to create middle opportunities if the line passes through a key number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-11Since 2014, 63% of NFL teams that lost by double figures in Week 1 have covered in Week 2. Don't overreact!
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-11Sometimes teams who perform well are overvalued in week two. Don't be afraid to bet on teams that are still superior to their opponent like the Packers vs the Falcons.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-09-11Do not rush to grade your futures bets as wins or losses based on what you saw in week 1, make sure you monitor the markets and take advantage of monetization options.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-09-11Don't overreact to week 1 in the NFL. Remember the league is full of mostly .500 teams.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-11Don't assume NFL Week 2 will play out the same as Week 1. Every week is different in the NFL. Focus on the matchups in your handicap.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-11After you get done watching NFL games on Sunday, look at the next week’s matchups and create your own lines for the games. Then you can go back and compare to what the books posted.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-11The total this year during NFL primetime games is 2-0 to the under, something to consider before placing a bet tonight.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-12When looking at the injury report during the week don't take too much early in the week into your handicap. The Friday report is obviously the most important.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-12Don't assume teams can’t go 0-2. It’s not a lock that teams we expected to win in Week 1 will automatically bounce back this week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-12Lines will continue to adjust after the Aaron Rodgers injury, pay attention to movement as the Jets look to make a move at that position.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-13Always tease through key numbers NOT to key numbers.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-13When playing Survivor, don't get too far ahead of yourself. The name of the game is to survive and advance. Don't get caught looking ahead.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-13Keep in mind with NFL week two betting, that lines will often over-adjust with teams that got blown out in week one.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-13The Ravens are 18-3-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog, they are currently +3.5 vs. the Bengals this upcoming weekend.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-14Contests are hard. Week two can see some inflated numbers from overreactions from the first week. You may not want to play the biggest favorite on the board in your survivor pool. Week two is a good spot to take a riskier play
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-09-14Look to fade favorites on short weeks.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-14The Eagles are missing their "green-dot" player with LB Nakobe Dean on IR. That means a new player will take over defensive play calling duties on Thursday Night vs the Vikings - which could impact how the defense communicates.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-14Kirk Cousins is 2-16 ATS in his last 18 primetime games, something to consider before betting the game tonight.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-15Keep in mind if you’re getting into betting on the NFL more seriously, make sure you are looking at opening numbers as soon as they come out to find the best value during the week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-15The Cowboys are 9-point favorites over the Jets, but the total is only at 38.5 - a very low number for such a big spread. If you like the Jets to cover, consider also betting the UNDER.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-15NFL teams that lose by 35 points or more in a home or neutral field game have been fantastic bets in the next game, going 18-4 (81.8%) ATS in their last 22 tries.
The HandleNFL2023-09-16Know or estimate the size of your contest pools. It will determine how off the beaten path you need to go early in the season.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-09-16One of the easiest things you can do to stay ahead of NFL injuries is to google “NFL beat writers list” and you can get all of their handles in one place so they are easy to follow.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-16Broncos HC Sean Payton understands how to attack different schemes well and has been around the league long enough to know how each defensive coordinator behaves. His scheme works well against the Jack Del Rio scheme of Washington.
The HandleNFL2023-09-17Unless you think there is a pretty big edge, avoid playing the Thursday game as you have to lock in all five of your picks for the week.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-09-17Teams that get shut out in a game have been solid bounce-back teams in the next outing, going 22-33 SU but 33-20-2 ATS (62.3%) since 2012. Consider backing the Giants in Arizona.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-18Don't be afraid to bet a big single-digit favorite like the Cowboys vs the Jets. If one team is clearly better than the other. Fire on it.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-09-18If ties lose at your sportsbook, never play integer teasers. That way you can avoid a potential tie.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-18Don't overlook the matchup history between these division rivals on Monday Night Football. Since 2004, the Browns are 1-19 SU, 7-13 ATS in Pittsburgh. Mike Tomlin is also 5-1 ATS against Kevin Stefanski.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-18If interested in betting Seahawks in week 3 against the Panthers, get your bet in before MNF. That line could shift toward 6+ if the Saints win big.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-18A great way to fade a QB is to bet on OVER 0.5 interceptions thrown. You can avoid the ups and downs of betting the spread or total, one bad throw wins you the bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-19Don’t believe coaches when they are soft-playing an injury. Coaches do not say the truth about these situations in press conferences.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-19There are some longer shots to consider in the last undefeated and last winless markets in the NFL. The Saints could make a long undefeated push with their schedule, and the Panthers could be battling for the worst record.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-19Pay attention to the news today if you are betting NFL Week 3 lines, Deshaun Watson may be suspended for infractions during last night's game vs. Pittsburgh. The line would move dramatically if the news breaks.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-20Sometimes you have to buy on high numbers. One man's trash could be another mans treasure. The Public probably isn't running to the window to bet on the Broncos, but 75% of the tickets are on the Dolphins this week and the number hasn't moved from +6.5 to +7. That means sharper money has come in on the Broncos and the books will take a stand at +6.5.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-20Don't let personal biases affect your power rankings for NFL teams. Be sure to stick to a rating system that doesn't account for personal biases.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-21In a slim-pickings week 3, remember that the biggest advantage you have over the sportsbook is that you don’t have to bet everything on the board.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-21Since 2005, double digit underdogs on Thursday have gone 12-21 ATS. The Giants are currently +10.5 vs. the 49ers tonight.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-22If betting or looking to bet on the Lions, also consider looking at the Lions in-game. If they get out to a double-digit lead, a live bet on them could still be good because the Falcons should have a tough time playing catch-up.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-22The total going over is 7-0 in the Panthers vs. Seahawks series since 2015, the total currently sits at 42.5. Andy Dalton will be QB for Carolina, his experience could lead to more scoring.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-09-23The Rams are +2.5. If you like them, buy them now because if Joe Burrow is out the number might flip. However, if Joe Burrow does play, the Rams might go up to a +3.5 point underdog. Then you can bet it again with a better number.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-09-23If you don’t love a line before the game, wait to see if an advantageous line presents itself in-game once you’ve been able to watch the early stages.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-23Browns DC Jim Schwartz worked last year in Tennessee helping the Titans with their game plans. Schwartz makes his home in Nashville, which made it a comfortable situation for him and also allowed him to understand the players and coaching of the Titans.
The HandleNFL2023-09-23Monitor player props as the week goes on. They can move dramatically due to handle on either side. Take advantage either early or late.
The HandleNFL2023-09-24Don’t forget about London and the other international games starting this upcoming week. You’ll need to get your bets in early, and consider the neutral locations.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-24Derek Carr is 19-30-2 ATS on the road since 2017, the least profitable road QB ATS in that span (122 of 122 QBs).
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-09-24Teams that start 0-2 SU in the NFL are 23-23 SU but 33-13 ATS (71.7%) against 1-1 teams in Week 3 since 2010.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-09-25Even though prime time games are hyped up, the first thing you should think about is taking the total UNDER.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-25Don't rush to bet Bengals-Rams pregame. This is a good spot to live bet, especially with the uncertainty surrounding Joe Burrow's game status and effectiveness.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-25With how many times the Jaguars have played in London, you should be factoring in a 0.5-1 point “home-field advantage” for them in London.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-25The Bengals line has moved away from them throughout the week, Joe Burrow's health is up in the air, keep that in mind before placing a bet on the game tonight.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-26If you have a team that is +1.5, and aren't sure of the side think of teasing the dog through the key number of 7 like in Packers vs Lions.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-26Be careful with betting teams with players in, or heading for concussion protocol. With the latest guidelines in place, we have seen most guys miss at least one game, if not more.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-26If Damar Hamlin plays a snap this year he will most likely win Comeback Player of the Year. He is currently almost even money to win the award after being a huge preseason favorite.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-09-27Pay attention to injury reports. If a number seems too low, don't just just assume the books are sleeping. It's the NFL... The books are NOT sleeping on the most bet on sport in the fall. Always do your research before confirming your bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-27In terms of stat utilization for handicapping the NFL, whether to fully use 2023 numbers vs prior years should be situational. A team like the Packers with a new quarterback should have more emphasis on the 2023 stats than an offensive core that has been together for awhile.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-27Trends can be a helpful indicator on games to eliminate from your board.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-27Get in the practice of making your own NFL Power Rankings each week. Will help you decide when to come off some of your preseason priors.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-09-28The Lions have played great against the NFC North recently. Detroit has covered 10 straight division games, the 2nd-longest cover streak in the Super Bowl era.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-09-29Look for defensive advantages in this weekend's slate of games. It could help determine how you handicap the over/under on totals.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-09-29Whether it’s a lost bet, or a lost contest play, don’t hold a grudge against a team. You need to be able to mentally move on. So if you think there’s value on that team next week, bet it.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-09-30Make sure you know the rules and prizes of your pick 'em contests. Quarterly, Half and Booby prizes are lucrative and it’s important to know when to pivot.
The HandleNFL2023-09-30Make sure to look at the schedule before betting. Look ahead games and sandwich spots can lead to teams letting down.
The HandleNFL2023-10-01Smart bankroll management is recognizing when to get off your bets when new information changes the way you feel about a game.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-10-01NFL teams that lose on a point spread by 30 points or more in any given game have won SU in each of their last 14 tries outright while going 12-1-1 ATS.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-02With so many tight games this year, big spreads are more dangerous than ever. Look at taking big numbers early in the season until the better teams prove themselves.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-02Including the playoffs, Daniel Jones is 1-12 SU and 5-8 ATS in Prime Time in his career. He's also 0-5 SU at home in those spots.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-02The Bengals laying over 3 points this week to the Cardinals is a good example of not moving off-season priors quickly enough. What we’ve seen in the first four weeks is not a team that should be big favs over Arizona.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-03When betting on voted-on awards, be aware of past voting tendencies. Just because you think “Most Improved Player” or “Comeback Player of The Year” means one thing, doesn’t mean that’s how voters usually see it.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-04If you’re planning out a time to jump in on an NFL-adjusted season win total in the future, you have to be OK not making the bet if some things do change between now and when you were planning to make the bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-04It is extremely valuable to know how teams perform not just in the win/loss column but also against the point spread. The spread is a secondary competition for teams when it comes to gambling.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-05sometimes you want to buy into ugly dogs. a lot of people buy in on recency in this league, and sometimes the public overacts on some games week to week.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-05Take note of teams that went to overtime in their previous games. Straight up and against the spread in recent years, these teams have struggled with the Commanders on Thursday being the latest example.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-05The Bears have allowed 25 points or more in 14 straight games. The Commanders team total is sitting at 25.5 on Thursday Night.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-05Remember “survivor” is not named correctly. The goal of the game is to win, not just survive. Yes, you might be able to get through the early part of the season easier by using the best teams with big spreads but what are you going to be left with at the end of the year?
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-06Avoid betting ANYTIME TD scorers who are favored, you should always be getting plus money when betting TD props.
The HandleNFL2023-10-08 If you're going to tease a game, tease through as many key numbers as possible, especially 3, 4, and 7.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-09Now that we know who the worst teams are in the NFL, expect spreads to get bigger and bigger - especially when a bad team plays a contender.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-09If you are thinking about betting the Cowboys to win the NFC East, hold off for at least 2-3 weeks, their schedule is difficult coming up and the value may increase.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-10News broke this morning that Justin Jefferson will be placed on IR, that means he will miss at least 4 weeks. Keep this in mind when looking at Vikings lines and futures.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-11 It’s the best NFL betting start for the public since 2005, at 44-27-3 ATS through 5 weeks. Check out the betting splits and ride with the more popular team.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-11With these games in Europe, monitor traveling plans. Seems to be an advantage with teams getting into town earlier rather than later.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-11The Eagles are 12-0 straight up and 11-1 ATS against the Jets in their series history. Keep this in mind when diving into this game.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-12A quick reminder that the real-world impact on your bets is less than those numbers suggest. All teams, regardless of price, will win by three about 14-15% of the time. Sometimes it’s an underdog winning by the trey, or a big favorite.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-12There are several lines that'll be popular teaser options this week, especially Browns-49ers. Expect that number to even more towards San Francisco as books look for teaser protection.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-12Remember when looking at odds, we are expected to have heavy winds and possible rain in Kansas City tonight. This will also be the case at a few games this weekend. Make sure you’re aware of the weather before betting.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-12The Broncos have scored 1 TD in 3 of their 5 games this season. The Chiefs have scored 1 TD in 4 of their 5 games. Keep this in mind if looking at TD markets.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-13A lot of NFL games this weekend are hovering around the key numbers of 7 and 3. Monitor the line moves and make sure you're getting the best of the number, even if you have to buy a half-point.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-13There have been 12 teams who have returned from London without a bye week, all of those teams have been either trailing or tied in the 4th quarter. That includes Jacksonville and Buffalo this weekend.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-10-14Don’t forget that awards markets are shifting during games. You can get a great number on a player who has a bad first half, as they might rebound in the second half.
The HandleNFL2023-10-15Teasing in games with low totals are more valuable because the points are more valuable. Don’t just look at the spreads when looking for teaser options.
Brent's Countdown to KickoffNFL2023-10-15Teams that get shut out in a game have been solid bounce-back teams in the next outing, going 22-33 SU but 33-20-2 ATS (62.3%) since 2012. The Patriots were shutout last week are getting three today vs the Raiders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-15Jim Schwartz is 8-1 SU against Kyle Shanahan since they met as coordinators for the first time in 2008. The Browns may be able to slow down the 49ers offense.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-10-16Do not be too proud to hedge on the final leg of a big time parlay!
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-16Justin Herbert and the Chargers have trouble holding leads. Herbert is 7-24-2 against the 2H spread when leading at the half. Take this into account if LA gets off to a hot start tonight vs the Cowboys.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-16Yesterday was a good example of weather impacting NFL betting as we saw many unders hit.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-17Make sure to monitor NFL win totals in-season. There are often great opportunities to make bets in-season, but you’ll want to navigate through the schedule and find the best time to make the bet.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-18It's good to focus on teams that you can at least make sense out of. Don't push yourself to make bets on games where you don't have a feel for either team.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-18If you want to buy back in and back the Jets don't do it with the assumption that Aaron Rodgers is going to return this season. Do it with the assumption they win with defense.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-10-19We are reaching the part of the season where it is becoming okay to hedge your survivor picks, do not feel embarrassed to monetize your appreciating assets (survivor entries).
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-19Keep in mind for the game tonight, the Saints are a major under team. Not only have they gone under in every game this season, but they’ve gone under 12 games in a row dating back to last regular season.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-19The Saints are 1-15 to the OVER in their last 16 games. The total for tonight's TNF matchup with the Jaguars sits at 40.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-20Jared Goff is 17-5-1 ATS in the 1st Half over the past two years, the best mark in the NFL. The Lions are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games. The Lions face the Ravens this weekend.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-10-21Now is the time to pivot to the booby prize if you are near the bottom of your pick 'em contest.
The HandleNFL2023-10-22Shop around for player props. You can find a wide range of numbers available for certain players if you have multiple options.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-23 Try not to be on the big public underdog in the NFL with wacky weekends like week 7 possible. This is hard to predict but always trust your process.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-23Divergent thinking is the best path towards success betting the NFL. Circa Millions Consensus Picks went 1-4, while the least-picked sides went 4-1 in Week 7. If you're thinking the same way as everyone else, you're not thinking at all.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-23Recency bias in the NFL is REAL. Make sure to keep in mind week to week when looking at lines.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-24We have to keep doing what we are doing to break down teams and never assume a team is trying to lose---that’s NBA talk, not NFL.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-25Do not underestimate injuries to key defensive players in your handicapping process. The Bills for instance have seen a dip in their defensive play with Matt Milano on injured reserve and is something to account for.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-25Bad teams play better at home than they do on the road. Ex. The Panthers have only 2 turnovers at home vs 6 on the road. Their average margin of defeat as been 5.5 at home vs 15.7 on the road.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-10-26Do not be afraid to look beyond the chalk in the first touchdown scorer market.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-27Week 8 is shaping up to be a good week for teasers, with plenty of opportunities to tease through multiple key numbers. If you like a big favorite to win but not cover, consider pairing in a teaser.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-27The Dolphins are on a 8-2-1 ATS run when hosting the Patriots. The line sits at 9.5 for this weekend, keep in mind the number has likely never been that high during this particular run ATS.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2023-10-28Don't go crazy trying to always find the best number. The best time to place a bet is when you know exactly who will be in/out of the game instead of trying to predict injuries mid week.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-10-30Be careful betting on teams with backup quarterbacks this week. Some QBs might have stepped in during games last week. It doesn't always translate to next week.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-30Lots of quarterbacks went down with injuries in NFL Week 8, always have a rating in mind as to how much or little of a downgrade the second-string quarterback is to the starter.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-10-30Look to bet futures on good teams AFTER they lose a game as a big favorite.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-10-30Don’t overreact to the transactions we’ll see ahead of Tuesday’s 4PM ET trade deadline - especially in your handicap of Week 9’s slate. New additions often take time to make an impact.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-10-30Keep in mind, that you don’t need to bet a lot of games every Sunday. Some cards will have more opportunities than others.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-31Don't automatically upgrade a team that made a trade deadline move immediately for this week's game. Many of the players acquired at the deadline won't be making a full impact until Week 10 and beyond.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-10-31There is still a lot of room to move in NFL Awards Markets. If you are looking at OROY this may be your last chance to get down on Will Levis if you believe he is the answer for the Titans.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-01Look at betting player words in the place of team futures to get better value, for example an elite QB to win MVP instead of the team to win their division.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-01With all the backup QBs playing this week in the NFL, practice discipline. You don’t have to bet every game preflop. But be ready to jump in live when you see that one of them might actually be decent.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-01The NFL trade deadline has come and gone, there have been big moves made if you are considering betting the 49ers, Vikings or even Bears this weekend. Keep transactions in mind when placing bets now.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-11-02Buy on the dip. When a team doesn't look good but wins, there might be an overreaction in the market. Thats a buy-low spot you want to bet on.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-02Rookie QBs are 5-23 against the Steelers in the Mike Tomlin era. Titans QB Will Levis will start his second-ever game tonight in Pittsburgh.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-03Be careful using the entire season's worth of data when handicapping this week's NFL slate. All data needs context - especially when injuries are involved. (Ex Bengals Offense, Bills Defense)
The HandleNFL2023-11-04When you see a line move go through 5 and 7, realize that there is more value on those key numbers than essentially any other move you could see.
The HandleNFL2023-11-05When looking to bet the following week on Sundays, look to fade MNF teams because those lines can shift greatly after they play on Monday.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-11-06When betting NFL, you have to take more consideration in the situation than the stats and numbers. It's one of the hardest sports to handicap and it is in between the lines where you'll find the edge.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-06With the juice rising on 2 team, 6 point teasers, look at playing 3 team teaser because the juice has not been squeezed there yet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-06If you like the Jets as an underdog tonight, also consider betting the UNDER. If you like the favorite with the Chargers, it correlates with the OVER.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-06Remember to no overreact too much off one performance in the NFL. Teams that look really good or really bad one week, usually aren’t truly that good or bad.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-07Unders have been hitting at an incredible rate. But the tide might start to change with bookmakers catching on and lowering totals. Get your bets in before they catch on.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-07If you’re not convinced the Lions are winning the NFC North, consider some long shots in the coach of the year market. There are plenty of coaches with a path to winning that award.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-07Unders in primetime games have been cashing this year in the NFL. They are currently 21-7 (75%). Be aware of this next time you consider the total on TNF, SNF or MNF.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-08NFL is a week-to-week league so focus on the team’s previous 4 games rather than their full-season outlook when considering betting a team.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-09When looking at player prop overs, look at what the opposition has done vs that position over looking at what the player has done in their last few games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-09Keep in mind when you're looking at betting splits that bets made at different numbers throughout the week count just the same as today's action. Be cautious when breaking down splits on a game where a line has moved - especially around or through key numbers.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-09If looking for an MVP bet, consider Josh Allen at 20-1. We’ve had multiple sharp analytics guests - including one voter - tell us he would be their pick.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-10Don't be afraid to lay the points with Dallas just because it's the biggest spread of the season. Three of the five Cowboys wins this season have been by 20 points or more.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-10Keep in mind, with a change in injury reports, NFL “questionable” tags during the week are far more questionable than they were in the past.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-10The Saints have gone 15-5 SU and 14-5-1 ATS in pre-bye week games since 2003. They take on the Vikings this weekend.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-11-11Know the rules of your contest backwards and forwards. You don’t want to get caught making a mistake when you didn’t think you were making one.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-11Scoring has been down all year, but it could be even worse on Sunday. Nine QBs with 10 or less NFL starts will start in Week 10. Three teams have a third different starter for the third straight week (Cardinals, Vikings and Giants).
Live Bet SundayNFL2023-11-12With tough games to handicap in primetime, don't feel forced to bet it like Jets vs Raiders.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-13Don't be afraid to lay over a TD tonight on MNF. As home favorites of 7 or more the Bills and Josh Allen are 19-1 SU. Josh Allen has 60 career wins, and 45 have been by 7 points or more.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-11-14When betting AFC North matchups, it might be good to look at taking the dogs as thee games have been played close all year.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-14Over the last 5 seasons, underdogs in AFC North matchups are 69-43-3
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-14If you’re still alive in any contests like Circa Millions or Survivor and have the ability to check on what other contestants are playing, make sure at this point, you are using that information to your advantage.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-14The Offensive Player of the Year market has been a fun one to track as of late. Look for players who are making a big push for the award.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-11-15Stray away from laying -3.5 points on a road favorite. It's a dangerous spot for any team.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-15Whenever there’s a change mid-week in Quarterback wait to place your bet. The numbers will continue to fluctuate until game time.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-15With Deshaun Watson out for the Browns now, there are multiple bets to consider that don’t directly have to do anything with the Browns. Does this narrow down the AFC North? Does it eliminate a team from the AFC playoff race? All markets you can take advantage of right now.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-15With Deshaun Watson out for the season, be cautious about betting on the Browns this weekend and other future bets.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-16Do not rush to bet spreads of over 3.5 in AFC North NFL games.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-16The Ravens are 19-3 at home in regular-season night games since 2008. The Bengals have lost 13 straight on the road in that situation.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-17Do not blindly follow trends that are hitting at an unsustainable rate, I.E. "Primetime Unders"
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-17With Joe Burrow's season-ending wrist injury, the AFC is even more wide-open. Break down the top contenders' remaining schedule before you take a position on a conference winner.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-17Keep in mind, unders in the NFL are 61-89 so far this season. So don’t be rushing to look over in some of these games with low totals.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-17Jared Goff and Dan Campbell are 71% ATS as a unit. The Lions take on the Bears this weekend.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-11-18Figure out the best way to make injury news actionable in the futures market, not just in the upcoming game.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2023-11-18NFL Home Underdogs have covered 55.3% of the time last season and are currently on a 17-7-2 (63.4%) run the past 4 weeks.
The HandleNFL2023-11-19You can roll teasers into the next week. Don’t forget to include the next week’s matchups when considering dance partners.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-20Make sure your player props are correlated to the game script you expect.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-20This weekend's NFL action was a good example of why it's important to monitor line moves throughout the week. Also, don't be afraid to bet against the line moves. (Ex: Houston covered -4.5, but not -5.5 vs Arizona)
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-20Don’t read too much into the lack of line movement. There are so many bettors around the country that bets come in at wildly different times.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-20If you are looking to bet a short favorite like the Chiefs tonight who are -2.5, you have a better chance betting the ML straight up. Avoid the small point spreads that can only hurt you.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-21Casual bettors bet a ton on Thanksgiving, and we can expect a lot on Black Friday too, the odds will likely change a lot from now until right before kickoff.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-21NFL prime time unders are now 28-7 on the season. It will be interesting to keep an eye on with a plethora of prime time games during this holiday weekend.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-22Take advantage of the unique prop markets such as Grand Gobbler on holidays like Thanksgiving.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-22Backing the public has been profitable on Thanksgiving. Favorites with more than 60% of tickets are 22-8 ATS
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-22The Lions, under Dan Campbell, are 11-3 ATS in divisional games. They are favored this Thanksgiving against the Packers at home.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-23NFL favorites on Thanksgiving are 36-18 (67%) over the past 54 matchups. With three games today, if that average continues two favorites will cover today. Avoid betting the all-favorites parlay.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-24Young NFL teams like the Packers are still improving at this point in the season. Don't let a slow start cloud your evaluation of a team that has played better recently.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-2413 of the Jets last 15 games have seen the total under 40 points. The game total sits at 40.5 for the first ever NFL Black Friday matchup.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-26The most important data to use in your handicap is the last 4 weeks of the NFL season. The most recent data is always the most actionable.
VSiN TonightNFL2023-11-27Don't get disappointed when you lose games by half a point in the NFL. It's one of the sharpest sports in the business and the spread is certainly a coin flip many times.
VSiN PrimeTimeNFL2023-11-27Use correlated alternate prop totals to create correlated same game parlays.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-27If you didn’t get in on the opener of Browns at Rams, wait for more injury updates out of Cleveland. They have several key players that were injured in Sunday’s game against the Broncos.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-27Monday Night Football games are 12-1 to the under this season. The Bears and Vikings play tonight, and it seems like the trend can continue.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-11-28The calendar is turning to December, for any games not played in a dome, be sure to be checking the weather throughout the week as it can impact a team's game plan and whether or not quarterbacks will have to throw in heavy winds.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-11-29While not all trends have equal value, the primetime unders one appears to be real. While betting overs is fun, 23-3 for SNF & MNF unders is not something to ignore.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-11-29The Minnesota Vikings are 11-0-1 to the first quarter under as a team this season. It's a bet to keep on your radar going forward.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-11-30Be careful running to make bets on Aaron Rodgers winning Comeback Player Of The Year. First of all, he’d need to get back on the field, the Jets would likely need to make the playoffs, and who knows if even that would be enough to sway voters.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-12-02If you are still alive in your survivor contest and there are only a few people left, don't forget to hedge by betting against the team you pick.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-02If you like Brock Purdy to win NFL MVP, Sunday's Eagles-49ers game is a high leverage spot. The number could get drastically shorts in San Francisco wins.
The HandleNFL2023-12-03Take advantage of the overreaction to snow. Snow doesn’t have as much of an effect on games as most people think. Odds will change when the public reacts, and you can go the other way.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-04This Bengals defense has regressed dramatically from last year's team. The problems don't end with the offense in Cincinnati, make sure your properly evaluating both sides of the ball in your MNF handicap.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-04If betting on a team the following week, that plays on Monday night football, just be careful you don’t bet too much in case injuries occur.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-05Be aware of weather games and weather-impacting games this weekend in the NFL.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-05The Patriots Steelers total continues to drop, it currently sits at 30 points which is the lowest total since the 1990's. Prime time unders continue to do well for the season with the exception of this weekend.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-06Reverse line movement isn't related to the number of bets but the percentages on each side and the wagers the sharps are making.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-06Pay attention to weather reports and totals this upcoming weekend in the NFL, heavy wind and rain will impact scoring across the league.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-07There are more ways to bet on a low-scoring game besides the UNDER. Take a look at Punt or Defensive Props.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-07Teasing totals in football is usually not a smart idea, but when you’re looking at a week like this with totals so low, it’s something that’s fine to consider.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-07Finding creative ways to bet tonight's Patriots Steelers game could be profitable with how poor each offense is, and how good the defenses are. Consider 1Q under or Punt on first drive.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-08If you're looking to get involved with the NFL futures market, work backwards in your handicap by first crossing off players / coaches you believe CAN'T win the award before honing in on who you believe WILL.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-12-09If you are alive in your survivor contest, you don't need to get cute anymore. Go with the safest pick every week.
The HandleNFL2023-12-10Don't forget that there are key numbers in totals too. The most common total points scored, and therefore key numbers for point total betting, in order of importance are: 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, 47.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-11There are six AFC teams sitting at 7-6 and all but one are favored to MISS the playoffs. If you like any of those teams to make the postseason, you can get plus-money on your bet.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-11Consider the Chiefs still for the #1 seed in the AFC at 10–1. Compare schedules to Ravens and Dolphins and you might find some value there.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-12Comeback Player of the Year and Coach of the Year markets still have some very real contenders down the list. Flacco's odds have moved significantly with his recent performances in Cleveland.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-13This NFL season has been wildly unpredictable. If a line looks too easy and therefore fishy to you, it might be one to skip.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-13If looking to make a bet on a team to make the playoffs, consider a play on the Rams. You’re getting A nice price at +160 and the schedule gets pretty soft down the stretch.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-14If betting Thursday Night Football, make sure you wait to see full injury news for the Raiders. As of this morning, still plenty of important players questionable.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-14Easton Stick will be starting at QB for the Chargers tonight, he has the ability to run and his Anytime TD odds can be found around +400, could be worth a look for the game.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-15There are a lot of playoff implications for NFL Week 15. Make sure you factor what's at stake for these teams in your handicap.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-15If you like the Bills to win this weekend, consider mixing in some Bills futures. Josh Allen MVP, Bills to win Super Bowl, etc.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-15The Commanders have the worst passing defense statistically in the NFL. They take on the Rams this weekend. Look for Kupp and Nacua props to be in play.
The Football Contest ShowNFL2023-12-16If you are alive in your survivor contest, don't just look at the game you picked for hedging opportunities. You can also look at the most popular game to capitalize upon.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-18The NFL MVP, like all awards, is voted on by humans. And sometimes voters get it WRONG. Don't make the mistake of assuming they'll do the right thing.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-18Keep in mind Trevor Lawrence did get put in concussion protocol after the game last night. Make sure to monitor that before making any bets this week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-18Tonight's matchup between the Eagles and Seahawks is seeing the most lopsided action of the weekend. Over 80% of the money and bets are on Eagles -3, if you like the contrarian play Seattle is the move.
The HandleNFL2023-12-19Sometimes the best bet is the one you don't make. Last night's Eagles-Seahawks game was a perfect example. If you knew earlier in the day that Jalen Hurts would play and Geno Smith wouldn't, you probably would have been on Philly.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-20When you handicap teams, it’s important to break down their wins into these three categories (dominating, dictating, and dangerous). As we move towards the end of the season, we need to be aware of the type of wins each team has accumulated when handicapping.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-21If you like the 49ers as much as Gill and Kelley do, consider mixing them in some Super Bowl exacta bets.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-21Tonight according to the betting splits, over 80% of the bets and money are on the Rams -4. Keep this in mind when betting the game tonight.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-12-22If interested in a division bet, take a look at the Cowboys to win the NFC East at +225. Dallas has been playing well while the Eagles have been sputtering lately.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-22Underdogs are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 games of the Vikings-Lions rivalry in Minnesota.
The HandleNFL2023-12-24Make sure to check the odds of a moneyline parlay before you place a teaser bet. Sometimes that can actually have the better payout.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-25The Kansas City Chiefs are 10-17 ATS in their last 27 games being a 7+ point favorite. They are 11 point favorites today hosting the Raiders.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-12-26If you are like at Lamar Jackson to win MVP, perhaps look at betting over on his player props instead. This protects you in case if another MVP frontrunner has a massive performance and with Jackson at north of -150 to win MVP at most shops, the payout on most Jackson over props in Week 17 is much better.
Sharp MoneyNFL2023-12-26When betting on the NFL MVP this late in the season, you must also look at who they are playing against. For example, Lamar Jackson is playing against the Dolphins & Steelers to end the year compared to Christian McCaffrey who plays against the Commanders and Rams.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-26Just like teaser prices, if you’re buying points at all on the NFL, make sure to shop around as different shops will charge different prices.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-12-27Try to identify players with contract incentives the next two weeks when betting player props. If a player gets a bonus for a 1,000 yard season and is around 175 yards away, chances are the team will look to give that player a few more touches the next two weeks.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-27If looking for a bet on the NFL MVP, don’t rush to lay a big price with Lamar Jackson. He still has two tough games left and might not be the actual favorite in voters' minds.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-27When betting for NFL MVP, don't base your handicapping on one game and major line movements. The regular season isn't over yet, so that means the NFL MVP race isn't over either.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-28There have been 8 different players to have been at least co-favorites to win the NFL MVP this season. Goes to show that awards markets are often impacted by recent performance, not overall play.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-28The Browns are looking to continue their playoff push so their defense should be more motivated in tonight's TNF game. An INT prop is an interesting prop to look at when betting on the last TNF game of the season.
The Lombardi LineNFL2023-12-29At this point in the NFL season, don't fight against media narratives for awards races. Instead, find a way to bet them.
A Numbers GameNFL2023-12-29If you’re betting on the the Ravens this weekend, consider a bet on Bills to win the AFC East. If the Ravens win, you’d likely be getting a better number than the Bills ML vs the Dolphins in week 18.
Follow the MoneyNFL2023-12-29Christian McCaffery is a (-425) to score a TD anytime in their game this weekend. The last time someone's odds were that high, Jonathan Taylor didn't score for the Colts.
The HandleNFL2023-12-30Now is the time to hedge the futures bets you made before the regular season. Pay attention to win totals and division winners that you can guarantee a profit on depending on this week's results.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-01When betting NFL Week 18, be wary of backing teams that could see major changes in the offseason.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-01Take a look at the team's motivations for the final week of the season. For example in the Raiders vs Broncos game, Las Vegas has been playing together for their interim head coach Antonio Pierce while the Broncos have been dealt with many distractions with Russell Wilson being benched.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-02Just because one team has playoff possibilities and another team does not does not mean the eliminated team has no motivation to give a good effort in Week 18. A lot of players on the eliminated team are playing for a future contract and incentives.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-02“Must win doesn’t mean must cover” - Drew Dinsick. Keep in mind when making bets this week in the NFL.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-02Week 18 in the NFL is entirely different than any other week of the regular season. Pay attention to starting lineups and playoff implications to determine a team's motivation.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-03When betting on Week 18, you really have to monitor the injury report and focus on games where you can handicap both teams.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-03If you’re holding a long Joe Flacco ticket, don’t think of Damar Hamlin as a pure hedge for comeback player of the year. Yes, it would be a good ticket to add at this point, but it’s not DEFINITELY one of those two.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-04Be mindful of teams that might have more or less to play for in the late window of Sunday's games. Keep in mind clinching scenarios and perhaps if things are murky with whether or not a team in a late game will have something to play for, wait until the early games are coming to a conclusion to bet the late Sunday games.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-04Just because a team is resting players, doesn’t necessarily mean all starters are resting and doesn’t necessarily mean the fill-in players won’t be trying. Just keep in mind for week 18 bets.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-04Motivations are key in the final week of the NFL season, but they aren't everything. Don't take "win and in" as gospel for betting teams to win this weekend.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-05Don't be afraid to back teams that are resting players. The market tends to overreact to this information, especially in rivalry / division games.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-05With questions about who’s in and who’s out, combined with weather questions this week, pay attention to line moves close to kickoff.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-05Weather appears to be a factor ahead of Week 18 in the NFL. The northeastern part of the country is expecting very inclement weather, keep this in mind when betting totals and spreads.
The HandleNFL2024-01-06While players are aware of, and going for their incentives, they are not as profitable as they used to be. The sportsbooks have adjusted their prop numbers to account for these goals.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2024-01-06Just because a team has the motivation to win, does not mean that they will achieve their goal.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-06Don't just factor in personnel in your Week 18 handicap. Also consider a team's gameplan and if you expect to see a limited playbook.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-08If there's a team that you think will make a deep playoff run but don't like their futures price, consider the NFL Playoff prop market where all you need to do is evaluate one player and can get afford a loss in the big game and still cash a ticket.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-08If looking to bet on the Dolphins this week, keep in mind Tua has struggled in cold-weather games during his career.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-09Weather will be a major factor in multiple NFL playoff games this upcoming weekend. Keep an eye on forecasts if considering betting totals.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-10It doesn’t matter how a team played in October; it only matters how well a team is playing now. Peaking at the right time is so important.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-10If betting NFL this weekend, make sure you’re on top of weather situations in the outdoors games.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-11Keep in mind, at about 15 MPH sustained wind is when we usually see NFL passing games be affected. That could come into play in both Buffalo and Kansas City this weekend.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-12With all these playoff long props, like the highest scoring team, that needs to correlate with your opinion on your team making a long run
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-12Weather continues to be the story ahead of the NFL playoff matchups. Wind will be a major factor in Bills vs. Steelers while extremely low temperatures will be impacting the Chiefs vs. Dolphins.
The HandleNFL2024-01-13We often preach about how the only weather element that can really affect games is wind, but you should also pay attention to extreme cold, like in the Dolphins-Chiefs game and the Steelers-Bills game.
Live Bet SaturdayNFL2024-01-13Patrick Mahomes has been overvalued in the betting market when betting totals. He is 16-3 to the under at home over the last 2 seasons (most profitable under QB during that span).
The HandleNFL2024-01-14If you want to bet unders on player props - wait unitl before kickoff. Everybody bets the totals up as the week goes on and the thresholds only get higher.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-15With AJ Brown and Gabe Davis OUT tonight, consider which players you believe will replace their production if you're looking to bet props.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-15The Bills moved from 10-point to 9-point favorites before the game against the Steelers was moved. Now that it is being played today with better weather the Bills are back up to 10-point favorites. Underdogs have continued to hit during this NFL postseason.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-16Take caution when betting NFL teasers in the playoffs, with it being an all or nothing scenario, teams have a tenancy to go for broke in desperation when trailing and can lead to a lopsided result.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-16All week we thought the Bills game would feature a ton of wind, which is the main weather element that affects games. But upon game time, the wind was a non-factor. Be sure to keep your eye on the forecast all the way up until game time if that is a part of your handicap.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-16Before you run to bet on the Bills this week, you might want to wait to see Buffalo injury reports. They had multiple defenders go down with injuries in that game against the Steelers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-17Look at how much rest all eight teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs have had. All four games this weekend involve a team with a rest disadvantage.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-17If you’re looking to bet the Buccaneers this week, no rush. This spread keeps ticking up. Went from 5.5/6 to mostly 6.5 now. Could see some sevens before kickoff.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-18This Saturday's 49ers-Packers will have a lot riding on who scores first, as neither team is great at playing from behind. Consider betting live after the first score.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-18Keep in mind, especially for live betting, that the NFL OT Rules are different in playoffs.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-19The juice in both the Lions-Bucs (DET -6.5 at -118) and Chiefs-Bills (BUF -2.5 at -120) is pointing towards moving to key numbers. If you want to get under 7 or 3, don't wait.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-19Last week, the Packers took the ball first in their game against the Cowboys and Kyle Shanahan often defers, so consider some prop bets like GB to score first, GB first TD scorer props, etc.
The HandleNFL2024-01-20Don't forget that there are key numbers in totals too. The most common total points scored, and therefore key numbers for point total betting, in order of importance are: 41, 43, 37, 44, 51, 33, 47.
The HandleNFL2024-01-21Take advantage of "ladder" opportunities for player props. If you think a player is going to go well over or under his O/U, you can also disperse some money on the alternate numbers, like 50+, 60+ etc.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-22The public is already rushing to the counter to bet the Lions, but the 49ers just went to 7-point favorites at DraftKings. The public won't drive line moves with oddsmakers' ratings so fine-tuned after a season of data.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-22If looking to bet 49ers in the NFC Championship game this weekend, you don’t need to rush to bet on that side. Wait for Deebo and weather updates, plus see if the line keeps moving toward DET.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-01-22Don't make the surprisingly common mistake of betting the 2025 Super Bowl future when attempting to make a bet on who will win this year's Super Bowl. Always read the fine print of your betting prompt.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-23If you have a strong Super Bowl take and how the teams will play in the AFC and NFC title games this week, a lot of books are offering lookahead lines for hypothetical Super Bowl matchups that can provide value if your reads this week are correct.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-24While looking into NFL referee betting trends, bet with caution as sometimes these trends are noise and the public information could get back to the main referee.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-24Keep in mind with some of these big NFL playoff games that the public will often run to bet the underdog ML which in turn gives value to the favorite ML.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-25If looking to bet on the Lions ML this weekend, look to bet a little on them in the highest-scoring team market too.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-26Consider over looks on both Mahomes and Lamar Jackson rushing props this week. Both quarterbacks have shown in past playoffs that they will look to run the ball more than in the regular season.
The HandleNFL2024-01-27Don't force yourself to bet on totals and sides. Do some research and you can find a prop you like much better in not that much time.
The HandleNFL2024-01-28If you have a book that offers live player props, wait to see how the 49ers are using Deebo Samuel before betting on him.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-29If you are coming to Las Vegas for the Super Bowl from out of state, one of the first things you want to do is sign up for a mobile account. Unlike in most states, you must sign up in person so be sure to account for the time it takes to sign up for all the apps you want for the week.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-29While the Super Bowl line is moving toward the Kansas City Chiefs, it's unlikely that we'll see a flip of favorites - but not impossible.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-29Unlike in years past, don’t necessarily go running to bet Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP thinking he’s the only Chiefs player that can win. There is definitely a strong Travis Kelce case and narrative out there.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-01-30Make sure that your prop bets correlate with the way you think the game is going to go. If you think the total will go over, it's not likely that a lot of players will stay under their prop numbers.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-01-31Make sure to put the time into shopping around when it comes to Super Bowl prop bets. Especially this year. With the game close to a PK, a lot of game props can be easily lined by oddsmakers.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-01Make sure you're getting value with you ML bet. A two-point underdog like the Chiefs should be +124, but that number isn't available anywhere. It may be best to just bet the spread at -110.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-01When you look at betting reporting for the Super Bowl, don’t be overly influenced by big bets or tickets/money splits because you often have bettors making bets that normally never would. No matter how small or big of a bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-02No player has ever won Super Bowl MVP three times in their first three Super Bowl games. Neither Brady nor Montana won MVP in their third Super Bowl. If the Chiefs win, voters may be look somewhere else than Mahomes.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-02If betting on a lot of player props for the Super Bowl, make sure they match up with how you think the game script will play out.
The HandleNFL2024-02-03You can often find the same prop bet but with slightly different odds in different Super Bowl markets. Be sure to look at every page of props, you may be able to find a better number.
Sunday Bet PrepNFL2024-02-03This is literally the most bet on game of the year. Just because you like a prop on your main betting app; (If available in your state) please look at other books to see if they have the same/similar prop.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-03If you're betting Super Bowl props for entertainment purposes, look for good plus-money prices and stay away from laying huge numbers on things like "No Safety", etc.
The HandleNFL2024-02-04If you have reason to believe a starter is more injured than the team is saying, an over bet on his backup's props could be a good way to go.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-04If you're looking to bet player prop UNDERs for the Super Bowl, wait until closer to the game. Public action typically drives these numbers up because fans love an OVER.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-05Everyone in the world is talking about the Super Bowl this week. If you have conviction of how you are going to bet the big game, don't listen to the outside noise. Most have an opinion on how the game will go, and many of those opinions will be wrong.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-05Keep in mind as we get closer to the Super Bowl, there will be more value on unders and NOs since most people are betting overs this week.
Follow the MoneyNFL2024-02-05Getting down on the props you like can be advantageous earlier in the week before the lines move. A majority of the public bets the Super Bowl during the weekend, get the better price now.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-06A bigger game should not equal a bigger bet, while the Super Bowl menu is expanded, by sure to still be practicing bankroll management and unless you see a big edge, doesn't feel the need to increase your bet size.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-06If you are betting on a bunch of props in the Super Bowl make sure they follow the script of how you think the game will go.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-07Look at props that say the same thing with different wording from book to books, it can lead to a better price on betting a similar/same prop.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-08If available at your book, compare O/U rushing/receiving TDs to any time TD prices.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-09Remember, as we get closer to the game the ML on the favorite will be more valuable than laying the points
The HandleNFL2024-02-10If you like a player to win Super Bowl MVP, it might make more sense to build a 3 or 4 leg same-game parlay around their success. That way they can have their big game but don't have to win a somewhat subjective award.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-12NFL futures markets are already up, but this time of the year is more about eliminating teams than placing wagers.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-12Keep in mind for next year’s postseason, the change in overtime rules. Will allow for much more points to be scored, which could affect multiple bets.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-14If looking to bet super bowl futures now, make sure you’re looking at a team whose odds you only think will get shorter.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-15The only reason to attack NFL futures at this point in the offseason is to get ahead of line moves. If you think money will be coming in on a particular team or player throughout the summer, bet it now.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-15If looking at betting on NFL draft props, consider different approaches to betting on Marvin Harrison Jr. to end up on the Cardinals or drafted 4th. Currently, DraftKings is offering that at -200, and if there is no change in the draft order, that number will likely only get bigger.
The HandleNFL2024-02-18Explore all the prop options for the NFL Draft. There are different odds on very similar bets. Ex. Caleb Williams to go #1 is -900, yet for the Bears to draft him, it's -400, which is a much better price on what has a good chance of being the same bet.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-02-18Anticipating free agency and offseason moves can get you an edge in the futures market. For example, if the Vikings re-sign Kirk Cousins their Super Bowl price will shorten from 55/1.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-02-21Keep in mind when looking at markets like NFL Next Team, that guys like Chad Ochocinco are influencing those odds with comments on podcasts.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-23Trying to extract value in the futures market is all about timing, trying to plot out which offseason dominoes fall first/last can allow you to get the best of the number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-25When gauging the NFL, look at teams that are willing to have young quarterbacks sit and develop before being thrown into live action. Most rookie quarterbacks starting week one have had disastrous year one results while guys that get a chance to learn what the NFL is about before starting seem to make a bigger impact both immediately and long term.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-03-01If you’re betting on NFL awards right now, just make sure you’re betting on something that you’re convinced the odds will only get shorter on.
The Lombardi LineNFL2024-03-04If you're placing bets on NFL futures at this point in the offseason, it's because you believe they'll get shorter based on offseason moves. Don't bet a number now that'll still be available closer to the season.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-03-04Just like with some of the awards, if you’re betting NFL division odds right now, make sure you’re betting on teams that you feel are only going to get shorter.
A Numbers GameNFL2024-03-07If you’re betting on NFL futures right now, just be careful with not locking up money for too long if you need it for other bets.
The HandleNFL2024-03-10The incoming free agency moves that happen this week will greatly impact our thoughts on what position each team will take in the draft. I.E. the Patriots trading Mac Jones almost solidifies them taking a QB. Plan your bets accordingly.