ProTips
VSiN ShowSportShow DateVSiN Pro Tip
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-08-30MLB games that are not posted overnight, generally are posted by 8 a.m. ET.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-08-30NFL Week 1 home underdogs cover 56.67% ATS (2017-21, 30 games)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-08-30Huge favorites (37.5 points or more) have been automatic in the opening week(s) of college football since 2013, going 9-0 SU/ATS
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-08-31Do not blindly follow any trend
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-08-31Be cautious of any pitcher making a first start coming back from injury
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-08-31FAVORITES in games between two CONFERENCE OPPONENTS have struggled to both win and cover games recently, going 9-9 SU & 7-11 ATS (38.8%) since 2016 in week 0/1 college football games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-01NFL Week 1 home divisional underdogs are 63% ATS (last 20 years)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-01The Miami Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in 27 out of their last 30 games
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-09-01Always keep in mind key numbers when betting NFL and college football (3, 7, 10)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-04Make sure to check opening lines for MLB games before considering a bet on them before the line moves
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-04Try to understand when handicapping the Football Contests and handicapping the games are different and your bet on the game straight up doesn't always have to line up with how you bet the Contest.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-04Teams coming off Sunday Night Baseball that play the next day are 7-15 Straight Up in 2022 on games played on Monday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-09-05Make sure to gage on how teams play in garbage time to see how to handicap there points totlas going forward throughout the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-05Teams coming off Sunday Night Baseball that play the next day are now 7-16 Straight Up in 2022 on games played on Monday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-05Teams that win between 4-6 games covered nearly 60% of games the following season. That is something to look at going into week 1 with so many road favorites.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-06Colts are 1-12-1 ATS in Week 1 last 14 seasons
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-06(2011-2021) NFL home dogs week 1 covered 54.69% ATS
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-06You can't fire on Wrigley field MLB totals overnight due to the potential wind factor
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-07Week 1 NFL Underdogs went 12-4 last season
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-07Miami Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer 31 out of last 34 games
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2022-09-07Motivation and previous games goal differential are key factors when handicapping soccer matches
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08Week 1 NFL Division Game Underdogs 28-9-1 ATS Since 2015
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08Take the full time allowed before submitting your contest entries
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-08If you expect an NFL team to have a sluggish start to the season, dont't be afraid to hold off and look for better value in the futures markets after weeks 2 or 3 of the regular season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-11NFL Week 1 Monday Night Home Underdogs with a total 41.5 or higher are 12-5 ATS (71.5%)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-11NFL teams that lose as an AWAY favorite in Week 1 are 65.4% ATS in Week 2 since 2010.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-11Sunday Night Baseball teams that play on Monday are 7-17 (29.2%)MLB
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-12Maximize NFL teaser value by going through as many key numbers as possible (3, 6, 7, 10)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-12Since Week 1 of 2021, NFL Unders are 156-129-3 (54.7%)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL 2022-09-12The Denver Broncos are 14-4-4 ATS in home openers and 18-4 SU
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-13The Houston Astros are the best UNDER team in baseball.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-13NFL Week 1 underdogs that didn't cover are 2-12 ATS when favored in Week 2 since 2015. (Applies to Raiders in Week 2)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-13Geno Smith is 9-0 ATS in his last 9 starts
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14NFL underdogs win outright 37% of the time on the moneyline since since 2021
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14Thursday Night Football Week 2 NFL Underdogs are 7-0 ATS
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-14Mike Tomlin is 14-3-1 ATS as a home underdog
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-15Patrick Mahomes is now 10-8 (.556) in his career when he trails by 10+ after the first quarter. Everyone else is 147-832 (.150) in such situations since 2018.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-09-15Never tease college sports!!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-15Aaron Rodgers is 17-12 at home (58.6%) vs NFC North
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-18NFL Unders are on fire so far this season! 21-9 (70%)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-19Since start of 2020, NY Giants games have gone UNDER the total 76% of the time. (8-25-2)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-19Be careful of playing the run line with MLB home teams, as they do not get the extra at-bat when they are winning in the 9th inning.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-09-21Keep in mind win probability when calculating juice. For instance, at -110 juice, you need to win 52.838% of bets to break even.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-21Pay attention to weather in late season baseball games. Less home runs occur in cold weather.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-09-21Don't be afraid to take team totals if you have a preference of one unit dominating another.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-09-22Be wary when a trend becomes public! That is likely the time they are going to go cold.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-09-22In games involving teams with different styles of play, you can often correlate side and total. For example, this Saturday when Ohio State plays Wisconsin, a lower scoring game favors Wisconsin while higher scoring game favors Ohio State.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-22Keep in mind how many games have been played on the road early in the NFL season. A team's performance on the road early in the season may distort your perception.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-09-26Not all NFL records are created equally. Look at the context of the early records of NFL teams, i.e. the Raiders are 0-3, but not necessarily the worst team in the NFL.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-09-27A moneyline rollover can be a good alternative to a futures bet
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-27Be sure to understand how a starting MLB pitcher has been rehabbing in the minor leagues before being called up to make a start in the majors. I.e. Tyler Glasnow (Tampa Bay Rays) has not gone more than 2.2 innings in a rehab start
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-09-27After an MLB team clinches their division, be sure to check the lineup for the following game closely as many of the starters will likely not play
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-03Look into teasing NFL games, as opposed to Money Line parlays, as a way to pay less juice.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-03Tread lightly when betting MLB these last few games of regular season, as motivation will be a factor.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-04When prepping for a season in any sport, be sure to note any roster changes and which teams have most and least returning players and personnel
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-04Pay specific attention to situational spots during your handicapping process, as many teams have unusual situations to deal with (i.e. London trips in the NFL, Tom Brady's divorce, etc.)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-04Some sports don't lend as much value for longshot futures as others. NBA and college football do not offer as much value as NFL because they are top heavy with favorites
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-05Try to specialize in leagues and teams, do not try and handicap every team in every league in every sport. Consider the workload.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-05Lookahead lines in the NFL can offer great value! Consider them as a part of your handicapping process
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-05Don't bet MLB Wild Card series prices! The series price odds are rarely favorable and you are always better off betting game to game
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-06Monitor MLB bullpen usage during the postseason, managers tend to pull starters early which can tax bullpens early in a series
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-06Tread lightly laying 1.5 runs on MLB postseason Run Line wagers, as games tend to be very tight
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-06A team doesn't necessarily need to be upgraded after a win or downgraded after a loss
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-11Be cautious of MLB teams in the postseason that use their starting pitchers in a relief role.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-10-11In college football, there is no official injury report so pay extra close attention to beat reporters and Twitter on day of the game. (i.e. Bryce Young playing vs Tennessee?)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-10-11In college football, preseason rankings are less likely to be adjusted than any other sport. Pay attention to ranked teams that go on losing streaks (i.e. Oklahoma)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-13Consider correlated parlays in your handicapping process, as some teams tend to win or lose when they play to the over or to the under
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-13In bad NFL games, the value lies on the under.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-17Look at advance stats when a teams record does not reflect their overall performance. (i.e. N.Y. Giants are 22nd in Yards Per Play)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2022-10-17A rainout should change your handicap in any MLB game, new pitchers will be available to start and relieve
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2022-10-17Take a look at NBA player prop total UNDERS during the first few weeks of the season, as player rotations are in flux
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-18Take caution betting on teams with aging superstars. The brand name may still be there, but the talent may be diminished. I.e. Tom Brady, LeBron James
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-18When browsing gambling Twitter, be sure handicappers are posting games at current numbers, rather than a number that is no longer available.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-18Be willing to adjust your preseason evaluation of NFL teams, now that we are 6 weeks into the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-20Markets can be over-reactionary after breaking news. I.e. 49ers Super Bowl futures after McCaffrey trade went from 18/1 down to 10/1, back to 14/1
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-20Temper your expectations the first week after a big trade. Players are unfamiliar with the new playbook, teammates, etc.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-23Be willing to adjust your power rankings on older players and teams quicker than younger teams, as older teams hit the wall sooner. i.e. Packers, Bucks, Lakers, etc.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-25If your primary sport has fewer games on the slate, don't feel the need to bet other sports just to have action
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-26When star players get injured, it provides some of your best in-game betting oopporutnities. i.e. Damian Lillard getting hurt in the middle of Trail Blazers' game
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-26Consider unders when handicapping NFL lookahead lines because injuries may occur and replacement players are not as talented and impact the total
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-26If you are successfully betting or fading a team (and no adjustment is being made on the line) keep taking it! i.e. Keep fading the Lakers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-31Pay attention to non-QB injuries, as they can be undervalued in the market. i.e. Ja'marr Chase, Cooper Kupp
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-10-31Utilize the NFL trade deadline in your NFL Week 9 handicapping process, bet the buyers and fade the sellers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-10-31In games with a small point spread, consider the money line as opposed to taking the points. It can offer greater value and a plus-money price
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-01Biggest impact of NFL trade deadline movement may be in Week 10, as Week 9 is likely to soon to integrate new players and teammates into existing systems and the lines for Week 10 have not yet moved significantly
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-02Don't be afraid to go against a trusted handicapper on any game, as most successful handicappers hit 55% on -110 spreads
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-02Take note of rule changes and their impact on scoring and other aspects of the game. I.e. the Take Foul rule in the NBA
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-03Consider lesser bet derivative futures markets like YES/NO to Make Playoffs, as they can offer more value than odds to win a conference or championship
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-03Rather than a 2-team parlay of games in separate windows, consider a Moneyline rollover
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-03Try to jump on player props early when star players are questionable or injured, which leads to more production from the backups
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-06If there's a team that you're not betting correctly consistently, do additional research or take some time off from betting that team's games
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-06Don't overreact to any one week or game
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-07Once you are a few weeks into a season, feel free to update your prior preseason convictions and look at actual data points. I.e. Seahawks vs Buccaneers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-07Not all coach firings are equal, teams react differently depending on a variety of factors
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-07Home field advantage is not always consistent at the same venue, depending on day and time of the event and opponent
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-08Don't let any one bet cloud your judgement or bust your bankroll
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-08Consider key numbers as a part of any handicap. The key number of 3 still prevalent in the NFL, six games last week ended on 3
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-08Don't fnd yourself in a spot where your bets contradict each other. i.e. Ohio State -40 vs Indiana and UNDER 57.5, instead look for Indiana Team Total UNDER in that circumstance
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-09Consider motivation as a part of your handicap when teams are located in the same cities or states, as underdogs tend to have value in those situations
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-11-09Consider weather as a part of your NFL handicapping, as it is constantly changing especially in the winter months
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-10Check lines midweek when there is a suspected injury as bookmakers will typically hedge their bets on a line and you can find good value with good information. i.e. Josh Allen
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-10There are many college basketball games are taking place on a neutral courts this time of year, so don't assume that the team on the bottom row of a matchup is a home team with a home court advantage
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-10Look to fade teams in unfamiliar spots, like favored teams not used to being favorites
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-11-14There is no correct philosophy to middling. You can cancel out a winning bet or double your win, every bettor will gauge it differently
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-14Earlier in the college hoops season, downgrade teams with more turnover of players and coaches as they need time to gel and learn new systems
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-14Don't just use statistics alone for handicapping, as they do not always reflect good coaching, e.g. NY Giants football, Providence basketball
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-15Credit good coaching in your early season college basketball handicapping process, as their value is more prevalent early in the season
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-15Never underestimate the East to West travel with a late start time, as teams get tired as the game goes on
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-15There is more variance in sports like NFL and college football with less games in a season, rather than 162 MLB games or 82 NBA games
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-16Don't overreact to a few games early in the season and fire into college hoops futures, as the value may be distorted after a few early season victories or losses
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2022-11-16Pay attention to sportsbook rules when betting soccer, as there can be slight variations in wording of similar markets that can make the difference between winning and losing. i.e. Golden Boot vs Most goals in the tournament
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-16In college basketball tournaments other than the NCAA tournament, lines are posted in the very early morning. Set your alarm!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-20Don't always trust scoring and point differential because outlier games (like Cowboys vs Vikings) skew the numbers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-20There are a lot of early tip times in college basketball this holiday week. Check your tip times!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-22Have a number in mind when it comes to college basketball openers that open in the early morning hours because they move rather quickly
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-22When handicapping player props, try to look for soft spots on opposing defenses
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-22Take a look at CBB teams with new coaches and their trends playing fast and slow, new playing style will take time to replace the old data points
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-23Plan your holiday betting strategy in advance, as the Thanksgiving holiday can be filled with distractions and annoyed relatives
The Greg Peterson ExperienceWORLD CUP2022-11-23Don't be afraid to dig deep into the soccer betting menu, there is much more to choose from than just win, lose, or draw!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-23Anticipate line movement as a part of your handicapping strategy, try to grab lines before they reach key numbers
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-11-24During CFB rivalry week, be sure to handicap motivation. Teams that have not been playing particularly well may rally for the big game with their in-state or cross-border rivals
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-24Always know house rules for suspended games, games called early, games that move locations, etc.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-24Be careful of misleading picks while navigating gambling social media! When you come across a posted pick, check the line at your book to see if it is actually available
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-27Look at how teams are responding to their quarterbacks, this is sort of a feel tip as some new quarterbacks like Taylor Heineke and Mike White
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-27Don't be afraid to use new data and don't let outside forces like news of the player and his past (Watson) influence your handicapping of the game like the Browns -7 against the Texans.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-27Do not go on tilt if you take a bad beat or two, because that's when you can really do damage to your bankroll.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-28Pay attention to college basketbal teams with hot or cold shooting starts to the season, as they will likely tend to regress as the season plays on
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-28Home court and home field advantage in college athletics can be mitigated over holiday breaks when the student body is not on campus
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-28Don’t be jaded if you don’t maximize a winning bet and have it affect your future bets. (i.e. not taking a Moneyline underdog, instead taking the points)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-29Give more credence to the underdog when you have 2 teams playing from the same city or state, as the crowd is likely closer to 50/50
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-29Pay attention to teammates’ reactions when star players are benched, look for opportunities to bet on those teams.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-11-29From year-to-year, defenses vary more than offenses in the NFL. Consider banking more on offenses.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-11-30Anticipate significant line movement in the early mornings (7-8 ET) after college basketball lines are posted
The Greg Peterson ExperienceWORLD CUP2022-11-30Take a look at surrounding games in the World Cup Group Stage because those games can influence each others’ motivation
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-11-30You don’t necessarily have to adjust a team’s power rankings after each win or loss.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceUFC2022-12-01Look at round props instead of moneylines in the UFC as a way to reduce the juice, especially when there is a large favorite.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-01Look for value in awards markets as the end of season approaches, some awards are not necessarily correlated with their team’s prospects for the rest of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-01Set the same standards for every team in your handicapping process. Don’t knock a successful team for small warts and don't try to build up mediocre teams.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-04When teams have limited turnover with rosters and coaches, past results can have more meaning and value in handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-12-04Have a value in mind for a dropoff to a backup quarterback from the starter, as many QBs are injured at this time of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-04Stick with what’s working in terms of good and bad teams, don't overthink or get too creative. i.e fade the Louisville Cardinals in college basketball
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-05Look to bet on teams that transfer multiple players from the same location. i.e. Deion Sanders going to coach Colorado and bringing players from Jackson State.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-05Do not discredit experience in your handicapping. It is very rare that players and teams are successful in their first big-time spot.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-05Pay close attention to opt-outs as college bowl season approaches. Key players may choose not to risk injury in games that are not in the playoff. Don’t bet too early!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-06College basketball totals are more based on tempo and speed of the teams and less based on made shots.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-06Not every trade or waiver wire pickup is relevant, just because you’re hearing about it on TV or social media.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-12-06Don’t lower power ratings as much for a team playing a backup quarterback when the starter is not playing great or playing injured before leaving.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-07Consider proximity to a player and team’s hometown as a motivational angle when handicapping College Football Bowl games and College Hoops!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-07In NBA and college hoops, place more value on teams that emphasize low post defense. It travels much better than shooting.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-07When looking ahead to College Football Bowl Season, don’t be afraid to trade in a little Closing Line Value in exchange for assurances of who will be playing and coaching! It is ok to wait before placing your bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-08Do not place too much emphasis on one data point or outcome, as outliers occur to the positive and to the negative in all sports.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-08Fade bad NFL teams on lookahead lines, because they get steamed after another bad performance.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-08Be wary of betting on teams with a history of late-game collapses.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-11Be mindful of player prop bets that the juice is not -110. The higher prices you bet, the more you will need to hit to break even.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-11Don't handicap next week's games based on games from 3-4 weeks ago. Players can be returning from injury which can boost their overall rating, for example, the Lions today getting their #1 drafted WR.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-12-11Keep note of the transfer portal in College Football, and always refresh your sportsbook app for the best possible odds.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-12When handicapping NFL awards, NFL MVP award typically goes to the best Quarterback and Offensive Player of the Year is generally the best non-QB.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-12-12Pay extra close attention to teams from the South traveling North, as some road players and teams can be at a significant disadvantage playing in the cold weather elements.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2022-12-12Next offseason, handicap backup Quarterbacks and their dropoff from starters in order to get a jump on when they are inevitably needed during the course of a season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-13Look to bet on NFL teams that got embarrassed in the previous week, as they tend to bounce back.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-13When analyzing futures, consider tiebreakers as a part of your handicapping process.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-13If you are betting a favorite in the NFL, it is better to wait than fire laying 3.5 or 7.5 points. The value you lose if it moves to 4 or 8 is far less than the value gained moving to 3 or 7.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-14Scale down home-court advantage over the next few weeks in College Basketball, as students will be home for the holidays.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceWORLD CUP2022-12-14Look to bet overs during the elimination round of the World Cup, as teams tend to have more aggression in the knockout stage.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-14Keep in mind that playing in bowl games can be motivation enough for many backup players looking for roster spots and playing time for the following season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-15If you are on a cold streak, don’t start forcing plays that you wouldn't otherwise play and don’t lay off plays you might otherwise bet. Keep the status quo.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-15Focus on the bigger college football bowl games where more players are motivated to play and the stakes are higher, as there is less variance in these situations.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-15Don’t be discouraged when your handicap goes off the rails because of a fluke play or a bad call. Variance happens.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-18When gauging teams under .500, look at the recent form and fight in past performances to determine whether or not to fade or back that team.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-18Don't lay off a game because it seems 'easy'. No bet in the NFL is perceived as easy.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-19College football teams playing a bowl game in their home state tend to have fewer distractions, less travel, and more motivation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-19Keep in mind with sub-40 totals in late-season NFL games, games may tend to go over these adjusted totals.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-19For teams that need to win out to make the playoffs, consider a Moneyline rollover bet which would likely offer more value than a futures bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-20If you have a lean on a team that is going to surge late, look for player awards that will correlate with a late-season run.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-20Look at “neutral court” college basketball games for travel involved, the edge goes to the team with less travel.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-20Look to bet underdogs this time of year in college hoops, as big favorites are more likely to rest their starters.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2022-12-21Be wary of firing on the NBA overnight, as injuries and load management are usually unknown factors until a few minutes before tipoff.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-21Hit the Oscars lines early and look for correlations with other awards nominations. i.e. Best Actor and Actress correlate with the SAG Awards, Best Director with DGA Awards.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-21Keep in mind scheduling spots for large favorites, as earlier start times to not bode well for them.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2022-12-22Underdogs in the futures market don't have as much value in soccer leagues because there are no playoffs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-22Take underdogs, especially big underdogs, during the holiday week in college basketball.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-22Take a look at how teams have been playing recently as opposed to over the course of the entire season, as teams get injured, recover from injuries, improve and get worse.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-25Consider player prop unders in general because most people tend to bet overs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-25Santa prefers chocolate milk, consider that next Christmas Eve.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-25Scour the CBB futures board looking for long shots that will advance beyond the first weekend of games, as they will present hedging opportunities during the NCAA tournament.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-25If you are watching a game featuring a quarterback with a history of making comebacks, do not hesitate to make a live wager if they are trailing in the fourth quarter.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-26Don’t judge somebody else’s unit size because if the bet is meaningful to them, it is a meaningful bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-26Stay away from the NFL future market towards the end of the regular season, instead play money line rollovers or individual matchups.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-26Take a look at who is playing or not on bad teams towards the end of the season as an indicator of whether or not they are tanking. i.e. Colts starting Nick Foles = Bad
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-27If you are betting on the Extra Games Board in college hoops, typically you'll see openers from Circa come out around 5 AM PT and those numbers will cause the market to shift.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2022-12-27Take a look at contract incentives as we approach the final 2 weeks of the NFL season and look for correlated player props.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2022-12-27The NBA futures market has not moved much since the preseason. If you believe that some of the teams off to a hot start can maintain, there is value to be found on the board!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-28Consider the history of motivation by coaches in bowl games, as some coaches do a better job of motivation than others.
The Greg Peterson Experience* OTHER2022-12-28Bet the Academy Awards market early before the guild awards have a chance to make their impact.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-28Consider scheduling and travel spots when awarding homecourt advantage in college basketball, rather than just use a boilerplate number of 3.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2022-12-29Be careful who you follow on Twitter and emerging social media platforms. Do your own research!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2022-12-29Respect the opening number in college hoops as it can provide in-game value if the game starts unexpectedly.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2022-12-29Take a look at good news as motivational spots in college football bowl games. i.e. A player coming back or a coach electing to stay with a program.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-01Week 18 can provide live betting opportunities, unlike any other week. Other playoff teams winning or losing can cause teams to bench starters in the second half.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-01Results from Saturday could determine some of the strategies for some teams on Sunday for the playoffs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-01If your handicapping has been successful in the past, don't change your strategies solely because of the new year.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-02Lay off of teasers for week 18. Teams are resting players and that increases volatility in lines posted. You don't want to bet on lines with high volatility.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-02Take a look to play unders for the start of conference play. Teams are more familiar with each other and play more defense.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-02Take a look at this weekend's NFL schedule because some games may be meaningless pending some results. Wait to bet on these types of games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-03Take a look at teams with bad ATS records in college hoops this time of year, as the betting public tends to fade these teams, which adds value.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-03Pay attention to home/road splits in the NBA, as home teams have covered 54.6% of the time so far this season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-03Never tease a college basketball game, as there is too much variance.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-04Listen to coaches' press conferences in NFL Week 18 as to whether teams that are not fighting for playoff seeding will play or sit their starters.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-04When handicapping college basketball, past results and trends in conference play are more useful as long as coaches and systems remain in place.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-01-04If you're unfamiliar with a particular conference, don't fire a bet just because there is a championship game. (i.e. the FCS Championship game)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-05Look at underdogs in NFL Week 18 if you suspect a team might bench starters in the second half.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-05Look towards line movement as an early indicator of injury or load management news.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-05Don’t get overly distracted by line movement and “sharp” money, focus primarily on your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08If you feel there is a dominant conference in the NFL playoffs, consider betting a team in the weaker conference to win their conference championship and/or the stronger conference to be the “AFC/NFC Winning Conference” in the Super Bowl.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08Be sure to consider the math on NFL playoff futures, as there could be more value on a money line rollover.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-08Consider team form heading into the NFL playoffs, as teams limping into the playoffs teams typically don't make a big run. i.e. Baltimore Ravens, Dallas Cowboys
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-09Try to find teams where tempo remains the same regardless of matchup, as teams that play at consistent speed are ones that you want to target for totals.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-09Handicap the prior matchups for the Super Wild Card Weekend games, as all games are rematches.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-01-09Take a look at the transfer portal before firing on any college football and college basketball futures. It has changed the landscape of both sports.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10If you have an inclination that an injured quarterback will or will not return for an upcoming game, bet the line in advance accordingly.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10Bigger games should not equate to bigger bets. There is no need to increase your unit size because there are fewer games in the NFL playoffs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-10Be cautious taking double-digit underdogs in the NFL playoffs, because the favorite is in a must-win situation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-11If a team has historically done bad in the second half of games and they get out to a strong first-half start, consider fading them in the second half.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-11The narrative of the difficulty an NFL team has beating another team 3 times in the same season is overblown and not statistically significant.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-11Handicap regular season strength of schedule heading into the NFL playoffs, as teams with harder schedules tend to perform better.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-12Dogs win outright or favorites cover during Wild Card weekend even more than the regular season. The spread doesn't come into play 88% of the time.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceUFC2023-01-12In UFC pick em fights, consider round props as an alternative to take the judges out of the equation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-12Be wary of false line moves based on bad information regarding a player’s injury status, as reports that come from a player’s camp tend to be less reliable.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-15Look for egregious performances from good teams in hopes of a buy-low spot. For example, the Celtics lost outright as an 11-point favorite to the Thunder.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-15Handicap coaches in the NFL. They can make bonehead calls that hinder their team's success.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-15Do not wait until the last minute to look at or bet on, next week's games in the playoffs because some of the best numbers you will get are early in the week.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-16Look to bet player props overnight instead of spreads and totals because if you bet a star player prop and they don't play, action is void on the prop. On a spread or total, you are stuck with the bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-16Weigh out the disadvantages and advantages of playing the ML and rolling it over for the next two games, rather than playing the line posted on the futures board.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-16If you like an underdog with a line posted at a critical number; bet it early because it will likely move.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-17If you like a favorite in the NBA futures market, wait to bet them until there is clarity on a team's injury situation right before the playoffs start.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-17Take a look at NBA overnight spreads if you anticipate an injury changing the number before tipoff.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-17Don't just blindly bet on or fade streaks.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-18Always be sure to check start times when you make a wager to be sure it is not a quirky scheduling spot.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-18Don’t bet short futures to win the NCAA tournament, as there is little value in the number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-18Sometimes it is better to wait for more information even if you potentially lose value on line movement.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-19Look to play player props UNDERS, especially key players in playoff situations.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-19Wait to bet any line that is half point off a critical number (3, 7) in NFL playoffs. The value gained if the line moves onto the critical number is greater than value lost if the line moves the other way.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-19Take the profit however you can, don’t be concerned with however other people are betting.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-22When handicapping college basketball totals, consider a coach's tendencies to foul or not to foul at the end of games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-22Consider fading the noise around questionable injury situations and corresponding line movements that seem to go too far.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-22Just because it is a public play, does not mean it is the incorrect play.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-23Don’t force bets on the sides and totals of these last 3 NFL games. There will be plenty of opportunities in the prop market.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-23There is little value with quarterbacks in the Super Bowl MVP market, consider players at other positions if making a future bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-23Track your bets in unfamiliar sports before placing any wagers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-24The best numbers in college basketball are generally the openers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-24Don't increase your unit size for bigger games, maintain bankroll management discipline!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-24Take a look at the context of your bets and why they did/did not hit because all bets are not created equal.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-25Look to bet on teams at this time of the college basketball season that start slow and improve.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-25Focus on a single team or smaller conference, as a way into college basketball handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-25Take caution when looking at injury reports and news updates because teams might not be completely honest.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-26Plan in advance for college basketball Saturdays because of the large number of games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-26Consider a live betting angle where injuries are a major pregame concern.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-26Ride the team that you think is going to win it all on the moneyline, rather than play the futures market.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-29You can still find a bet on the Super Bowl even if you don't like the side or total. The Super Bowl has the biggest prop market of the season, you should be able to find one fun prop to bet on.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-29Big games (The Super Bowl) do not mean bet more money than you're comfortable with losing. Just because it's the only game on, doesn't mean you have to go crazy betting it.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-29Thre are more games to bet on other than the Super Bowl. Book will make sure their liability is 50/50. Some of the best lines are in other sports now.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-01-30Overs in CBB are trending (57.5% over the past 7 days), so anticipate regression back to unders.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-01-30Consider the upcoming rule changes in MLB to find value and opportunities for the start of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-01-30Scour social media for injury information before betting any NBA action.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-31Do not eliminate betting on Super Bowl props due to heavy juice.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-01-31Take a look at the exact margin prop in the Super Bowl, as 7 out of the last 20 Super Bowls have landed on 3.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-01-31When handicapping totals over the long term, try to anticipate game flow and overall team efficiencies and inefficiencies.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-01There is no load management in college basketball, so go ahead and fire on those overnight lines.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-01Late-game variance is a part of betting and should even out over time.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-02-01Pay close attention to off-season moves, rule changes, and updated ballpark dimensions to anticipate trends before the start of this upcoming MLB season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-02Don't be afraid to jump off a trend and sell high on teams when you get a fortunate cover.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-02If you are coming to Vegas for the Super Bowl, sign up for the betting apps early so you don’t have to wait in lines on the day of the game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-02When laying points with a favorite, consider a team’s free throw percentage at the end of games as a part of any handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-05Take a look at the first game of rematches to look for game flow and outliers that need to come out of your handicap in the second game. (i.e. shooting 15-22 from 3PT)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-02-05Consider home/road splits as a part of any NBA handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-05Be cautious about overusing trends in your historical Super Bowl analysis, as the players and teams are all different and the sample size is too small.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-06Historic milestones usually lead to overinflated numbers. Keep that in mind when evaluating the Lakers with LeBron's quest for the NBA scoring record.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-06Hold off betting Super Bowl player prop unders until right before kickoff.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-06Consider fading a team that just played in a big rivalry game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-07Look for opportunities to bet underdogs and unders, instead of favorites and overs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-07Consider head-to head player props based on your handicap of the game script.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-07Consider referee trends when handicapping the Super Bowl.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-08Prior to any trade deadlines, monitor the Twitter handles of notable reporters and look for value in the futures markets before the numbers move.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-08Look at teams coming off big road trips or in the middle of a big road trip and adjust your handicap for the scheduling spot.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-08Don’t bet the coin toss at the Super Bowl, find a friend and don’t pay the juice!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Take a look at Super Bowl props that correlate with your projected game script.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Have a number in mind that you're willing to pay for props and shop around for the best juice.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-09Keep refreshing the prop board, because more and more books keep adding markets and betting opportunities.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-02-12Search as many markets and sportsbooks as possible before making any NFL futures bets for next season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-12If you are transitioning sports, take a few days to absorb knowledge before jumping in with any wagers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-12Don't talk yourself out of an obvious play.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-13Keep the people in your life otherwise satisfied, so you have ample time for your handicapping. Don't forget Valentine's Day!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-02-13Consider home-court advantage in the playoffs when handicapping NBA futures.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-02-13Consider MLB win total early before pitchers and catchers report and transactions are highlighted more.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-02-14If you're looking to bet the XFL, take a look at the rules early.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-14Different books can put up varying lines for the same game. Be sure you have multiple outs for placing college basketball wagers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-14Keep in mind a team’s track record in close games when handicapping a game with a tight spread.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-02-15When betting derivative futures markets, play golfers that you think can win outright.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-02-15Keep in mind scheduling changes when handicapping MLB Season Win Totals, as there will be fewer divisional games this year.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-15Consider betting more CBB unders as we head towards the Conference Championship Tournaments, especially neutral court Conference Tournament Games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-02-16Look at previous coaching experience for handicapping the XFL, especially coaches that were in the 2020 iteration of the XFL as they have more experience going for 1, 2, or 3 points after a touchdown.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-02-16Keep in mind the normal key numbers in the NFL will likely be different in the XFL because of the ability to go for 1, 2, or 3 points after a touchdown.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-16Take a look at CBB team shot selection, avoid teams that take terrible mid-range jumpers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-02-19Keep in mind all XFL teams are based in Arlington Texas, mitigating home-field advantage.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2023-02-19Consider goalies and backup goalies when handicapping regular-season NHL games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-19Don't bet on games where you have more invested than the players themselves. i.e. NBA All-Star Game
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-20Chemistry matters in College Hoops, so consider which teams have played together for multiple seasons during your futures market handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-02-20Pay close attention to players in MLB Spring Training to look for ascending players as potential Rookie of the Year candidates in the futures markets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-02-20When handicapping golf tournaments, consider course design, off-season course adjustments, and which player strengths are best suited for the landscape and conditions.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-02-21Consider NBA teams that made less flashy moves at the trade deadline, as they are generally undervalued.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-21Consider players injured before or at the beginning of the season that returned and improved their team’s performance for the remainder of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-02-21Consider a golfer’s historical performance region-to-region during your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-02-22Look at quarter-by-quarter splits in the NBA, as many teams have many demonstrative quarter-by-quarter splits.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2023-02-22When betting on soccer, the more specific you can be with your bets, the better the payout.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-22Do not have a one-size-fits-all approach for games with player uncertainty due to potentially controversial off-the-court/field circumstances. Take each on its own merits.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-23Consider CBB Senior Day can lead to strange results for underdogs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-02-23Most XFL home field crowds are not factors because the stadiums do not sell out.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-02-23Don't blindly back trends. Handicap each game on its own merits.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-26Don’t forget to consider the smaller NCAA tournaments like the NIT, CBI, and the Legends Classic, as oddsmakers have less bandwidth to spend posting numbers for these markets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-02-27Look at the amount of travel teams go through in conference tournament games. Not all neutral courts are truly neutral.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-02-28Consider fading pitchers at the start of the MLB season who have not been getting their normal workload during Spring Training.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-01Check out college basketball conference tournament venues to look for shooting trends. i.e. look for unders in Missouri Valley Conference.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-03-02Handicap golf futures based on who participates in the event. When stars like John Rahm are competing, don’t look for longshots.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-05Instead of betting on college basketball conference futures look at moneyline rollovers. You have better security and a better payout doing it.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-06Take a look at early openers in college basketball tournaments for teams that played the night before, as the numbers will rapidly move around 8 AM ET the following morning.
The Greg Peterson Experience* OTHER2023-03-07Utilize the World Baseball Classic a scouting opportunity for the MLB regular season, as many top players will be going up against top competition and it is a good chance to compare player form.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-08Consider upgrading teams that play at home during conference tournament games. i.e. UNLV at Thomas & Mack
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-09Of all the handicapping angles, one to not use is the game being a "must win." Especially teams that are on the bubble for the NCAA Tournament, are in must-win circumstances because they aren't very good.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-12Do not bet individual games the same way you play your bracket pool. With individual bets you are putting your money on the line, but bracket strategy is to try and win the pool so you can take more risk.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-13Don't assume the bottom team listed is the home team in the NIT, which is the case for Oklahoma State and Sam Houston State.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-14Sign up for the apps as soon as you get to town, as the lines will be overwhelming on Thursday and Friday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-15Do not be afraid to stick with your original read, typically paralysis can happen by overanalysis.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-16Don't bet based on your bracket needs! Do not be afraid to fade your bracket in later rounds.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-18Players playing in lesser tournaments are still motivated. Under are 14-0 in the last 2 days of CBI and NIT action.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-19Pay attention to recent form when handicapping College Basketball, look for teams that are peaking late in the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-20Be aware of all the rule changes when handicapping baseball early in the season, especially their impact on totals.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-21Keep in mind trends when handicapping the NCAA Tournament, but do not exclusively use them.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-22Take note of pitchers that have either been injured or not been able to get their full amount of work in Spring Training. Look to fade them at the start of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-03-23Jump on early openers immediately after Sweet 16 games, find value before the lines move.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-24Look at stadiums with weird dimensions or stadiums with new dimensions for the 2023 season and with these stadiums bet the over run total.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-26Shade down MLB totals early in the season in cold weather outdoor ballparks in the Midwest and Northeast. Balls do not travel as far in cold weather.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-27Factor bullpens more in the first few weeks of the MLB season as starting pitchers tend to be on more of a pitch count.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-28When betting MLB, keep in mind ROI for bets and not winning percentage.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-29Do not overreact or underreact to 1 or 2 days of MLB results. It is a 162-game regular season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-03-30Handicap bullpen use from the previous day and look at which ones are fresh.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-04-02Something to watch is guys a full year removed returning from a catastrophic injury. For position players a torn ACL or something of this nature, Tommy John surgery. Players like Mike Clevinger and Noah Syndergaard looked much better in their first starts of the season after lackluster 2022 seasons coming back from injury.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-04-03The college basketball futures market is best used for taking long shots. Teams that land a big time recruit or transfer can have odds north of 50/1 get cut in half while a lot of teams at 20/1 or less, even with a big move, won't have their odds move as much.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-04Look at the specific wording on NFL Draft props to maximize value. With it almost a foregone conclusion of quarterbacks going one and two, the Cardinals are -195 to draft a defensive line/edge at number three while odds for Will Anderson to be the first defensive player picked is -500.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-04-05Motivation can be overrated during the last few games of the NBA season. Just because a team needs a win, doesn’t mean they are going to win or cover the spread.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-06Don't be afraid to look for plus-money dogs in the NFL draft, as markets are constantly fluctuating.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-04-09Consider rolling over series prices in the NBA playoffs instead of betting futures, as you would individual games in a series.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-04-10In the NBA playoffs, search for derivative series bets like exact games or exact score of a series to look for the best value with similar results.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-11Consider historical trends for teams picking in the NFL draft as a part of your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-04-12Consider betting a series spread in the NBA playoffs in order to get protection betting an underdog.
The Greg Peterson Experience* OTHER2023-04-13Consider continuity when handicapping Week 1 totals in the USFL; look at potential overs for the teams with more continuity.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2023-04-14Don't be afraid to do a rollover ML parlay for the first two home games for teams that are heavy favorites to win the series. Bruins/Avalanche/Oilers fall under this category.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2023-04-16When handicapping the NHL playoffs, keep in mind that series upsets happen much more frequently than in the NBA playoffs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-04-17Look for MLB totals to go up over the next few weeks as there are not enough quality starting pitchers to go around.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-18Study dead cap space before investing in NFL teams.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-19Create your own NFL mock drafts as a handicapping tool.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceXFL2023-04-20Take a look at the results of this Saturday’s XFL games to judge motivation for Sunday’s games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-23Be willing to lay big prices as you get closer to the NFL draft, as later line movement tends to be the most accurate.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-04-24Bet MLB teams on winning streaks overnight before they inevitably get steamed.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-25When handicapping the NFL draft, consume as much information as you can. Research positions that NFL teams are looking to draft from available public data and news.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-04-26Be aware of any “freeze-out” times before betting the NFL draft, as certain markets (Las Vegas) cut off wagers hours before the draft starts.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-04-27Be mindful of upcoming MLB games that are taking place on a neutral field (i.e. Padres/Giants in Mexico City)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-04-30Consider betting role players in the NBA prop market as they receive less attention than the big stars.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-01Look at pitchers coming off an extra day of rest or a rain out, as starting pitchers tend not to do well when they pitch out of rotation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-02When betting on MLB Totals, when west coast teams play in the day look to the over, and when they play at night look to the under as the ball tends to die.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-05-03Evaluate returning superstars after injuries before making any wagers, as they may not be at 100%; don’t restore them to their full value until they are 100% healthy.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-05-04Do not change your handicapping strategy after just one loss.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-07Look beyond ERA when handicapping MLB pitchers. Certain metrics (fly ball rate) can indicate potential regression.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceTENNIS2023-05-08When betting Tennis futures, be aware that some of the top contenders may withdraw from lesser tournaments so that they are in good form for the majors like the French Open.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-05-09If you find value in NFL Win Totals make sure to bet it before the schedule reveal as the numbers will only regress after the schedule comes out.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-10Remove MLB games played in unusual locations (London, Mexico City) from your data set.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-05-11If betting college football season win totals, check the latest transfer portal updates, player movement is still happening at this point of the offseason, know the roster of the team you're betting.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-14Consider fading MLB teams on Mondays that play on Sunday Night Baseball and have to travel. (i.e. the Cardinals)
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-15When trying to handicap pitchers, look at FIP and if you see it going up or down, your pitcher might be due for regression.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2023-05-17Consider the overvaluing of soccer teams that are fending off relegation when making your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-18When an MLB pitcher makes his debut, consider which minor league he pitched in as a part of your handicap. For example, the PCL is terrible for pitchers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-21If you're looking to bet full MLB games, look at both a pitcher's full-season & past 30-day ERA before placing your bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-22DraftKings often offers openers for baseball games more than a full day in advance. If you have a good feel for a projected starting pitching matchup, there can often time be value in these early openers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-05-23If you like the Heat or the Celtics to take down the Nuggets, now is the time to bet it as you won't get a better number the closer you get to The Finals.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceSOCCER2023-05-24When betting on soccer at the end of the season, take a look at overs for teams that need a result (not a draw).
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-05-25Don't put too much stock in College Football Spring games; coaches don’t give away too much and key players may transfer.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-05-28Just because a team is a chalky favorite doesn’t mean it has no value and just because a team is an underdog doesn't make it a good bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-05-29When evaluating splits in baseball, try to use the biggest & longest sample size possible, just because a pitcher has demonstrative home & road splits in 2023 doesn't mean it should be used if that hasn't been the case for their career.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-05-30If your focus is on one sport, this is a good time to switch gears and refocus on the sport you want to zero in on in the Summer.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-05-31There is very little value at the top of the College Basketball futures board this time of year, no need to make any bets this early as the numbers won't move during the Summer.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-06-01Sometimes you need to see it before you can bet on it. If you think a struggling team or player is due for a turnaround, but don't want to take the losses until it happens, start firing in after a turning point or first good game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-04Never put too much emphasis on one position player getting a day of rest in baseball. If multiple players are out, it's a different story, but typically when a line moves more than 20 cents for any position player being out, it is an overreaction.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-05Don't be afraid to make a bet that a lot of people are talking about. Just because something like fading the Oakland A's is something most people are doing, doesn't mean it needs to be avoided as long as it keeps cashing.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-06-06When looking at season-long player props, in order to take an over, you must have a larger edge than on a normal bet since injuries can derail a season-long over.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-06-07Look to bet unders on player props if you expect a player's minutes to be reduced.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-08Consider teams that are playing 1-run games or avoiding 1-run games and bet the run line accordingly.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-06-11Do not be influenced by recency bias, take the full season into account when making your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2023-06-12When looking to bet Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, look to bet the 1st Period over instead of the game total as it is a close-out game this market can become very volatile.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2023-06-12When looking to bet Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final, look to bet the 1st Period over instead of the game total as it is a close-out game this market can become very volatile.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-06-14When you have an unfamiliar golf course, look for the characteristics of the course, like the course designer, and other ancillary factors when trying to form your handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-06-15Take a look at NFL teams with depth issues in Week 1, rather than the futures market.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-18When considering MLB Futures look for teams that are going to be buyers at the trade deadline.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-06-19When betting on the NBA Draft, make sure to focus on NBA Beat Reporters and insiders as it's mostly information-based, and being early is the most important thing before the lines move.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-06-20When betting on season-long NFL Player Props, take a look at betting player props Unders simply because it's difficult for players to play a full 17-game season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-21When betting on MLB totals in ballparks like Wrigley Field and Citizens Bank Park, consider the wind forecast.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-22When teams in any sport play in a foreign environment, research any history from past games played there. This weekend the Cubs and Cardinals play in London, the only other series played there was Yankees vs Red Sox in 2019, there were a combined 50 runs in that two-game series.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceTENNIS2023-06-25Be sure to check start times for ATP Tennis matches, as many of them start very early in the AM.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-27If you think a team will be a buyer at the trade deadline, look at taking a futures ticket on them now because the number will likely be worse after the deadline.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceGOLF2023-06-28Consider wind and weather at different times throughout the day when making your golf handicap.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-06-29There are more than usual MLB games with early start times on Friday, be sure to be aware of them when making your bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-07-02With the MLB All-Star Game approaching, don’t dive into markets you’re not familiar with because you don’t have any action in your normal sport.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-04When you see an opener situation, gauge whether or not the bulk pitcher has had more success coming out of the bullpen as opposed to starting. The Rays have a lot of pitchers with ERAs that are doubled in a starting role as opposed to coming out of the bullpen while openers for the A's don't seem to make a difference.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceTENNIS2023-07-05Many Wimbledon matches start very early in the morning, don't delay in placing your wagers!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-06Look to play player prop unders on injury-prone NFL players.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-07-09Take this week with less going on in the sports world to see where some of your bets this season have gone right/wrong and identify your strengths and weaknesses as a bettor.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-07-10Do not get heavily invested in exhibitions and games that do not count for a regular season standing. You don't want to be in a situation where you heave more than a very small amount in a game that won't have a big affect on the players on the field/court.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2023-07-11When betting a plus-price team to win the division, bank on coaching, good coaching can play a big factor in one-possession games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-07-12NBA Summer League handicapping is purely information based. Keep an eye on social media for the latest lineup news.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-07-13Value is value. Don’t be afraid to make a bet that you believe still has value, even if you missed the best of the number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-14Downgrade pitchers with a blister issue more than you might think.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-16Outlier numbers occasionally pop up in the NFL Futures market, numbers can drastically vary so be sure to shop around!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-17Tread lightly on taking overnight MLB lines the next two weeks with the trade deadline looming. The lineup you handicap overnight might not be the lineup you get the day of the game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-18Do not overreact when betting totals in any sport based on one very high/low scoring game. Just because the previous day had a bunch of scoring doesn't mean to either ride the over train or vice versa, actually handicap each game as it's own separate entity.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceWORLD CUP2023-07-19There is a difference between the Golden Boot and the Top Goalscorer prop in the Women’s World Cup. There can be many top goal scorers, but only one Golden Boot.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-07-20Look at the context of previous year win/losses when looking at the college football season and win total. Example Florida State facing three straight backup QBs last season perhaps inflating their record.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-23With the MLB trade deadline approaching, tread lightly on betting lines overnight on a team that might be a seller since the lineup you handicap overnight might not be the lineup you actually get.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-07-24Betting college basketball futures at this point does not provide value. The number you might currently will be there in a few weeks, take this time to research as the numbers will still be there in the fall.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-25While players getting contract extensions is nice for them, from a handicapping perspective if the player was not a threat to hold out, it's fluff information. Focus on what is happening in camp and the actual stats for edges.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-07-26When betting MLB doubleheaders, bet with listed pitchers because doubleheaders usually involve lots of pitching changes, often times very close to 1st pitch time.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-27Bet any bullish NY Jets futures before Hard Knocks starts on August 8!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-07-30If an NFL team has an easy or difficult stretch to start the season, wait until the stretch clears before making any future bets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-07-31Sometime the best futures market fade is to take a look at the no for championships and playoffs. Try to identify markets that give a no option for winning a division, championship, etc to find value on what is essentially a field bet to fade a team you aren't bullish on.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-08-01Be wary of new coaches and try to figure out if they are going to run the offense the ran at their old school or if they are trying to change to their new school's strengths.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-08-02Consider new rule changes in college football involving cut/chop blocks impacting the service academies which will need to tweak their offenses.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-03Betting preseason NFL football is oftentimes a little easier and can be valuable because when coaches announce their player lineups, they tend to be truthful.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2023-08-06Even if you don't bet games of the year, note the opening number of these games of the year books post. When it comes to the week of the game, it allows you to see how much bookmakers have changed their power rating on a team.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-08-07When gauging double headers in baseball, watching bullpen usage in game one can provide added value in game two to know who may/may not be available.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-08Take inventory of motivational spots in preseason games. Things like a rookie head coach and players in position battles should be accounted for when handicapping NFL preseason games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2023-08-09When watching preseason football, from a long term perspective key in on various formations that might be used during the regular season. Most teams are not too concerned with the final score and want to use these games to experiment.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-10Consider including totals when betting preseason NFL teasers as they tend to be much lower than totals during the regular season, offering more value per number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-08-13Look at a team's schedule when looking at the MLB futures market post trade deadline. Look for teams with easy stretches of games for good buy points and wait when teams have a tough stretch.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-08-14Just because a wager is plus-money does not mean it's profitable. Both yes run and no run 1st inning lines priced at a plus number this season would both have you down north of -50 units each this MLB season if you bet each for one unit.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-08-15Tread lightly when looking to bet NBA win totals. Load management can decide whether or not your season bet cashes & can be unpredictable prior to the start of the season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-08-16Do not ignore right-handed vs left-handed splits when it comes to gauging MLB lineups. The Marlins have a batting average 47 points higher against lefties than right-handers and there's a good amount of teams this season with large splits.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-17Keep in mind the key numbers of 3 and 7 for football teasers. Being able to go through both numbers with a 6 or 6.5 point teaser lends the best value for the amount of juice and pairing up teams on a teaser.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-08-20Know who you are as a bettor, not everybody is a great handicapper of every sport. Know your strengths and weaknesses.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-08-21While many Vegas books don't offer this, East Coast books often offer in-season NFL win totals. If there's a team you think has very easy or hard schedule to start the season that will lead to a more favorable in-season win total number, wait to bet the season total for that easy/hard stretch to pass and grab a better number in-season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-08-22With public teams, sometimes a price adjustment for their struggles never comes. The Yankees for example continue to be a favorite despite being the least profitable team in the American League since the All-Star Break.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-08-23Always check house rules when unusual circumstances (postponements, rain delays) arise during a game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-08-24Be sure to shade down college football totals for the change to no automatic clock stoppage after 1st downs this season.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2023-08-27Don't overreact to the results in the first week of the season!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-08-28For doing offseason college basketball research, keep in mind non-graduate transfers that is transferring for at least the second time. the NCAA did not award waivers for a lot of these players in college football & that might happen in college basketball as well.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-08-29When determining whether or not to bet on a favorite on the moneyline or the run line, look at how many one run wins they have had this season. A team like the Miami Marlins that has won 28 one run games should create run line pause while the Padres have won all but six of their games by multiple runs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-08-30Sometimes the best fade of a player/team is by betting on a different player/team to succeed. Example: the Arizona Cardinals are getting faded like crazy and rather than bet an under 3.5 win prop, banking on the Rams to finish exactly 3rd in the NFC West at plus money where the Seahawks & 49ers appear to be a clear top 2 can be a roundabout fade.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-08-31Consider betting on home underdogs playing at elevation (Wyoming, Colorado State) in College Football Week 1.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-05There tends to be more variance in the preseason NFL awards betting markets, be sure to shop around!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-09-05Just because you might have missed the best of the number in the futures market does not mean that it isn't able to be bet. If you still have great value on a future that has moved and believe it is profitable, still consider shopping around and making the bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL/CFB2023-09-06Bankroll management is most important at the beginning of the season, be careful with your wager size this weekend!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-07Look at the context of a Week 1 win/loss before backing/fading a team in Week 2.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-11Since 2014, 63% of NFL teams that lost by double figures in Week 1 have covered in Week 2. Don't overreact!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-09-12Being quick to bet a future game after in injury can provide great closing line value. Occasionally books are slow to pull a game off the board after an injury like we saw with Aaron Rodgers and the initial reposted line might be either an over or underreaction.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-13In late regular season baseball, don't be afraid to wait for starting lineups to be announced before making bets. Lots of younger players are getting starts and it is important to know who is/isn't playing.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-14Recency bias can be prevalent when betting on MLB awards, late season performances tend to have more weight for the voters.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-18Don't just blindly bet a team that is in a playoff race if they are playing a team out of the playoff race. Many of the players on the non-playoff teams are fighting for future contracts and still have plenty to play for.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-19Shading down totals in the coming weeks is important as games increase in significance and temperatures drop.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-09-20Never feel the need to have an exact amount of bets in a day/week. Bet where you see value & don't be forcing plays on a lighter week or not betting edges on a higher volume week.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-09-21When gauging how much an injury affects a team, handicapping the skill of the player being elevated in a bigger role is the key to how much to downgrade a team as the backup is normally the more unknown variable.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-25Don't be afraid to wait longer than normal when betting MLB games this week, especially with games involving teams that are out of the playoff race as they might look to get experience for their up and coming prospects.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-09-26At this point of the season, value in the MLB futures market is scarce. Betting series to series and rolling over the original unit and winnings provides more value than a futures ticket and gives you the option at the end of a series to hold your winnings if an injury or bad matchup occurs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-09-27In terms of stat utilization for handicapping the NFL, whether to fully use 2023 numbers vs prior years should be situational. A team like the Packers with a new quarterback should have more emphasis on the 2023 stats than an offensive core that has been together for awhile.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-09-28Always check house rules as to how bets will be settled in strange situations like the suspended Marlins vs Mets game from Thursday and they can vary quite a bit.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-02Some of the biggest edges you can find in handicapping can be by finding angles not involving stats. Players fighting for contracts and trying to stay motivated after getting a big pay day are things to keep note of and be mindful of.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-10-03Doing research during the week and timing the market for FCS football games accordingly can pay off big time. FCS games typically do not receive a betting line until the day of the game, so hitting openers on game lead to tremendous closing line value and large edges.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-10-04When betting MLB series prices, consider how you think game one will go before betting the series. If the team you think wins the series has what you believe is a good pitching advantage in game one, taking the series price right away is recommended while in a bad game one matchup, waiting on betting the series might be the best approach.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-05Take note of teams that went to overtime in their previous games. Straight up and against the spread in recent years, these teams have struggled with the Commanders on Thursday being the latest example.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceMLB2023-10-09When it comes to postseason baseball, be sure shade totals up and down based on the ballpark. The ball won't fly the same in Minnesota and Philadelphia as it did in the state of Texas.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-10Do not underestimate the impact the crowd can have on the outcome of a game. A home team with minimal crowd support might actually lose juice while crowds for teams like the Philadelphia Phillies can be an X-Factor that is hard to quantify in numbers and power ratings.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-11When betting series prices, if you think a team that is in a elimination spot will come back and win multiple games in a row to take the series, bet the moneyline individually on the first game of the comeback and roll over the winnings rather than bet the updated series price. The payout will be better and it gives protection in case of an unexpected injury.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-12A lot of playoff formats do favor teams coming in with momentum and minimal rest. Happens a lot with college basketball teams that win their conference tournament and we've seen it with the success of Wild Card teams in baseball the past two seasons in this current format.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-16Sometimes when uncertain about a game changing player's status for a game, it's okay to wait to bet and trade a little bit of closing line value for better intel, like the uncertainty surrounding Max Scherzer going into Game 3 of the ALCS.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-17Be mindful of teams that have seen a reversal in the role they are in. Some teams that do a great job of covering and winning as underdogs often find difficulties when they become the favorite and vice versa.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-18Darn near every sports league on the planet is currently going on, don't feel the need to have action in every one of them. Stick with betting leagues you have a good comfort level with and a track record of success with.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-19While trends can be your friend, often time when a trend becomes mainstream and talked about is when it starts to fail. Never bet based on trends alone, being aware of them is a good thing, but they should not be the sole reason for bets.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-23Never blindly bet/fade a trend, but be aware of them. If you notice there's been a big run on unders, it likely means totals are being suppressed and signaling that things will likely start to iron out soon.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-10-24While you don't want to use historical matchups as gospel for handicapping a specific game, be aware of one team had owned a specific matchup like the Nuggets now having won five straight against the Lakers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-25Do not underestimate injuries to key defensive players in your handicapping process. The Bills for instance have seen a dip in their defensive play with Matt Milano on injured reserve and is something to account for.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-10-26Just because you come into the season thinking you'll be backing/fading a team for the college basketball season, do not just bet any number. Before you see lines on teams that you are looking to bet and fade and make sure you see value. Be mindful that you are betting numbers.....not teams on the spread.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-30Lots of quarterbacks went down with injuries in NFL Week 8, always have a rating in mind as to how much or little of a downgrade the second-string quarterback is to the starter.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-10-31Don't automatically upgrade a team that made a trade deadline move immediately for this week's game. Many of the players acquired at the deadline won't be making a full impact until Week 10 and beyond.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2023-11-01In the day and age of load management and extreme in-game volatility in the NBA, consider expanding a bit more on live betting the association to get a much better number in game than before the game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-02College basketball lines often times move drastically the morning of the game around 7-8 AM Eastern. If you see a number you like overnight and fear it will move, bet it overnight.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-06Do not overreact to one college basketball win or loss. Look at the context of a loss because making too many adjustments on prior expectations as a loss where a team gets pounded on the glass is much more concerning than an opponent getting hot from 3-point range.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-07Watch for the amount of fouls early on in college basketball games. Usually refs will call more fouls early on in the season and has been the case the first two nights of the season, so be mindful of this & consider shading totals up when handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-08When handicapping totals, utilize stats on a per possession basis rather than a per game basis in tandem with how quickly a team plays as there's a massive variety of styles between the 362 Division I teams.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-09Know the venue of where games are being played. College basketball is starting to have a lot of neutral court events so don't assume the team on the bottom is playing a home game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-13Pay attention to matchups involving two teams in the same state as the underdog often times comes out with a lot of motivation and something prove, which happened with Penn defeating Villanova and FIU covers against Miami on Monday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-14When looking at basketball totals: both college and pro, the first place to look is at the pace a team plays out. An over can still hit on a cold shooting night if the game is uptempo.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-11-15Always be cautious about evaluating players in their first game after returning from an injury. Most players in nearly any sport needs at least a game to regain their rhythm and should not return to their normal worth in their 1st game back.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-16When live betting basketball, having eyes on the game is a must. The box score can not tell you how heavily shots are being contested along with the overall momentum and feel of the game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-20Pay attention start times in tournament games this week. There will be a good amount of west coast teams playing before 10:00 AM local time and east coast teams playing after 10:00 PM local time.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-11-21When you see extreme totals like the Pacers vs Hawks in the NBA and the low Iowa football, know that the bookmakers have set these totals demonstratively high and low for a reason. Additionally, a lot of trends show super low totals have a high under rate and the high ones a big over rate.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-22Most books post lines on college basketball games in the early AM (around 7-8 AM Eastern) and the opening numbers move quickly so set your alarms!
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-23When gauging totals, the tempo a team plays at can be even more impactful than their shooting percentage.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-11-27When evaluating college basketball, when you see a team with very good or bad early season stats, check to see the schedule they have played to this point because not all the stats accumulated in this small of a sample size are created equally.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-11-28The calendar is turning to December, for any games not played in a dome, be sure to be checking the weather throughout the week as it can impact a team's game plan and whether or not quarterbacks will have to throw in heavy winds.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-11-29While finding juicy trends is fun and if you get on them early it can be highly profitable, often times the moment a trend gets talked about is when the trend dies out. When betting hot trends, always makes sure to have more of a reason for the bet other than just the fact that it is a trend.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-11-30If there is a player you like in an awards market that is playing in a stand alone game like Thursday Night Football can provide a great opportunity to find value. If you think it will be a big game for that player, bet their future before the game and wait for the price to drop if you expect a bad game.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-04Seemingly every team in college basketball has had an outlier performance to the negative this season. Be sure to evaluate a team's entire body of work and not get hung up too much on one amazing or bad performance.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-12-05Do not award a boilerplate number for home court advantage. Certain rivalry games and events should cause for a small bump in home court advantage while things that prevent a crowd from being at full force, like Christmas break in college basketball, should diminish its worth.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-06Be mindful when handicapping college basketball that a lot of college after this week that will be on Christmas break, which can lessen how much home court advantage is worth.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-12-07Sometimes the obvious play should not be ignored. Just because the entire world is talking up the under in Army-Navy does not mean you must go contrarian, have a season other than being different when place a bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2023-12-12Just because you didn't get the best number on a bowl game does not mean that the number is without value. Sometimes it is better to sacrifice some closing line value for better information on who will/will not play.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-12-12Taking underdog value in the futures market in a time of uncertainty often yields value, a good example is the AFC as a whole right now.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-13Due to a court ruling on Wednesday, many two time transfers that were ineligible either have become or will soon be eligible to play. Take caution in evaluating how much they will impact a team in the first few games though as these guys will enter with rust and play against other guys 8+ games of experience under their belt, & could also lead to bad chemistry for teams with these players in the first game or two trying to work them into the rotation.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-14Not all neutral court games are created equal in college basketball. Look to see specifically where these neutral court games are being played as some are mere miles away from a teams campus, others are played more than 500 miles from each team's campus.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-18Be mindful that many games this week in college basketball are being played on neutral sites, do not assume the team listed on the bottom of the betting board is the home team.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-12-19If you are betting a specialized section of the game like a 1st quarter or first half, researching using statistical splits curtailed to the section of game you are looking to bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-20When evaluating college basketball teams this time of year, keep in a mind a team's schedule when looking at their stats. Some teams have very good stats that have all come against bad teams and needs to be kept in mind.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2023-12-21Be mindful of tip times in college basketball. Looking at overs on games the begin before noon local time can be a dicey proposition with 18-22 year olds that might be groggy for the early game, leading to an edge on early AM unders.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-12-26If you are like at Lamar Jackson to win MVP, perhaps look at betting over on his player props instead. This protects you in case if another MVP frontrunner has a massive performance and with Jackson at north of -150 to win MVP at most shops, the payout on most Jackson over props in Week 17 is much better.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2023-12-27Try to identify players with contract incentives the next two weeks when betting player props. If a player gets a bonus for a 1,000 yard season and is around 175 yards away, chances are the team will look to give that player a few more touches the next two weeks.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2023-12-28Do not place a bet because a player/team is "due." If there is reason to bet a team in a funk, absolutely place the bet, but don't just base it on the due for one thought process.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCFB2024-01-01Washington sustained a lot of injuries in their game against Texas, check in on the status of running back Dillon Johnson and others before betting the game unless if you have a massive edge on a side or total.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-02Just because one team has playoff possibilities and another team does not does not mean the eliminated team has no motivation to give a good effort in Week 18. A lot of players on the eliminated team are playing for a future contract and incentives.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-03Don't be afraid to handicap a few days in advance in college basketball for these massive college basketball Saturdays if a team does not have another game until Saturday, with north of 125 games every Saturday the next two months, trying to lessen the workload for Friday can make the handicapping process easier,
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-04Be mindful of teams that might have more or less to play for in the late window of Sunday's games. Keep in mind clinching scenarios and perhaps if things are murky with whether or not a team in a late game will have something to play for, wait until the early games are coming to a conclusion to bet the late Sunday games.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-08If there's a team that you think will make a deep playoff run but don't like their futures price, consider the NFL Playoff prop market where all you need to do is evaluate one player and can get afford a loss in the big game and still cash a ticket.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-09Look at scheduling spots in college basketball as many teams can have a less than stellar effort in a look ahead spot prior to facing a top team.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-10When handicapping college basketball totals, identifying teams that either create second chances on the glass or generate live ball turnovers can be a good look for betting overs. A dead ball turnover is much less likely to generate a fast break opportunity than a steal and offensive rebounds often lead to put backs.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-11With east coast books posting a lot of openers during the middle of the afternoon the day before games, there's now two waves of big line movement, around midnight eastern the day or the games and around 7-8 AM Eastern
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-15If possible, try to look at shot selection when evaluating college basketball. Not all teams will have data on exact shot charts, but teams taking a lot of long 2-point shots and having turnover issues are ones to downgrade.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-16Take caution when betting NFL teasers in the playoffs, with it being an all or nothing scenario, teams have a tenancy to go for broke in desperation when trailing and can lead to a lopsided result.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-17Look at how much rest all eight teams remaining in the NFL Playoffs have had. All four games this weekend involve a team with a rest disadvantage.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-18When live betting college basketball, do more than just watch the box score. Seeing what shots and looks a team has been getting to lead to a hot or cold start gives much more perspective than just the raw stats.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-01-23Player awards markets often become inflated after a player has a ridiculously good or bad showing, look for sustained performance and not just take a moving number in the midst of an outlier performance.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-23If you have a strong Super Bowl take and how the teams will play in the AFC and NFC title games this week, a lot of books are offering lookahead lines for hypothetical Super Bowl matchups that can provide value if your reads this week are correct.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-24While using poll rankings for handicapping and ranking teams is never recommended, looking at a team that might be getting a higher ranking than they are accustom to can provide a good fade spot. Often times these teams are not used to being a sizable favorite and slip up after hearing outside noise of how great they are.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-25Do not be afraid to handicap forward when a team has a few days off until the next game in college basketball. The college basketball has the biggest scheduling imbalance of any sport with 8 games on Friday and over 140 on Saturday, so do not be shy to get a head start on teams who will not play again until Saturday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-01-29If you are coming to Las Vegas for the Super Bowl from out of state, one of the first things you want to do is sign up for a mobile account. Unlike in most states, you must sign up in person so be sure to account for the time it takes to sign up for all the apps you want for the week.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-01-30At this point of the season, do not let preseason perception play any factor in your college basketball handicapping. There is more than enough data from this season for splits that how you can move on from those priors and use scheduling spots and overall season data for handicapping.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNBA2024-01-31If you are looking to bet the NBA overnight, you have more protection taking player props early in the night. If a player does not log a minute, it results in the bet being voided whereas with if you a bet a team's spread and their stars sit out, you are stuck with the bet.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-01Be mindful of the juice that you need to lay on props, if you are laying -160, you need to hit 61.53% of bets to break even whereas that break even rate on -110 is 52.38%
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-05Everyone in the world is talking about the Super Bowl this week. If you have conviction of how you are going to bet the big game, don't listen to the outside noise. Most have an opinion on how the game will go, and many of those opinions will be wrong.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-06A bigger game should not equal a bigger bet, while the Super Bowl menu is expanded, by sure to still be practicing bankroll management and unless you see a big edge, doesn't feel the need to increase your bet size.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-07Look at props that say the same thing with different wording from book to books, it can lead to a better price on betting a similar/same prop.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-08Don't force action on slow college basketball nights like Friday on bets you may not normally make, allocate that time instead for the loaded Saturday card of 150 games if you don't have a lot of edges for Friday.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-12If transitioning to handicapping a new sport with the NFL season now done, do not rush to go full boar with your picks right away. Gauging the market for a few days and catching up on what you might have missed earlier in the season can pay big dividends long term.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-13Never underestimate the element of coaching when handicapping, even though they do not make plays on the field, their decisions often times lead to bets being won and lost.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-14In teams in college basketball that are playing for a second time, look at what happened in the first game to try to see if the spot was unfavorable for the team that lost the first time around or if it might be just a bad matchup.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-15Volatility is very much a part of college basketball, it is important to look at overall season averages and not overreact to one hot or cold game as every team has outliers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-18Tread lightly when betting an All Star game or exhibition, you don't want to have more invested in a game than the players in the game itself.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-19The biggest edge you have in live betting is using your eyes to evaluate the game flow and if the current score of a game is misleading based on how the game has been played. Be sure to not just live bet based on the box score of a game, focus in on the game to be find in-game edges.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-20When looking at college basketball this time of year, home and road splits can be a very valuable handicapping tool. There are a lot of teams that are not playing the same away from home as they do at home, though there are some diamonds in the rough like Niagara that have shined away from home.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-21There are a few teams that have been shifting their tempos since conference play has began like San Diego State. Look for these discrepancies and put more weight on the conference numbers than what happened out of conference in November and December.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-23Trying to extract value in the futures market is all about timing, trying to plot out which offseason dominoes fall first/last can allow you to get the best of the number.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNFL2024-02-25When gauging the NFL, look at teams that are willing to have young quarterbacks sit and develop before being thrown into live action. Most rookie quarterbacks starting week one have had disastrous year one results while guys that get a chance to learn what the NFL is about before starting seem to make a bigger impact both immediately and long term.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-26While you always want to get the best of the number, do not automatically panic if you place a bet and the line moves against you. In darn near every sport this season, there have been plenty of incorrect lines moves and many of these moves are not even due to player news or injuries.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-02-28When handicapping total, the tempo and possessions per game is such an important part of the handicap Uptempo teams can still hit overs on bad shooting nights and slower teams can hit under on hot shooting nights.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceALL2024-02-29The biggest edge you have in live betting is using your eyes to evaluate the game flow and if the current score of a game is misleading based on how the game has been played. Be sure to not just live bet based on the box score of a game, focus in on the game to be find in-game edges.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceNHL2024-03-01When there are questions as to who might start in goal, it's best to wait to bet these games until there is clarity as to whether or not the normal starting goalie will play.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-03Unlike most sports, every game is a motivational spot & a game of impact in college basketball. Even teams with conference tournament seeding locked up, they are still looking to build their resume for the NCAA Tournament and want to avoid a bad loss that could them to move down a seed line in the big dance.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-04When betting conference tournament games, know the venue these teams are playing at. Some small conferences have true home court games while some tournaments on neutral court use the home court of a team in the conference. This is the case for St. John's in the Big East and UNLV in the Mountain West.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-06There are a few teams that have been shifting their tempos since conference play has began like San Diego State. Look for these discrepancies and put more weight on the conference numbers than what happened out of conference in November and December.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-07Openers for college basketball conference tournaments involving back to backs often time pop up after midnight eastern and most openers will move drastically. Do yo best to pay attention late at night & early in the AM to get the best of the numbers.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-07When lookin at teams in conference tournaments that play on back to back days, place extra value on teams with deep benches and play a slower tempo, they will be less tired on day two and beyond.
The Greg Peterson ExperienceCBB2024-03-11Look at a team's tempo when handicapping teams in conference tournaments on a back to back. An uptempo team might have less in the tank when playing for a second or third day in a row than a slower team.